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NHC advisories to begin shortly on Storm 01L (Potential Tropical Cyclone 01L) in the Western Gulf. Elsewhere, low east of Bahamas being tracked.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 293 (Idalia) , Major: 293 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 293 (Idalia) Major: 293 (Idalia)
22.0N 92.6W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
Nne at 6 mph
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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge

Genesis
Weather Guru


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Posts: 125
Re: Katrina Strengthens - Destination Uncertain
      Sat Aug 27 2005 02:19 PM

Quote:

Is there a chance this track could make a major shift say to like the big bend of flordia.




Anything is possible, but that looks low-probability.

HOWEVER - this storm will be ugly enough that the surge can be trouble FAR from where it goes in. Remember Dennis - hits well clear of Appalachicola, yet there is massive surge trouble over there with Highway 98 damage 200nm away from the impact point!

Don't be complacent. This storm is going to be bigger and at least as strong as Dennis, and depending on exactly how the path comes through it may get really ugly a long way off from a standpoint of surge - and inland, in terms of rain.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Katrina Strengthens - Destination Uncertain hurricane expert Sat Aug 27 2005 02:19 PM
. * * Re: Katrina Strengthens - Destination Uncertain Genesis   Sat Aug 27 2005 02:19 PM
. * * Re: Katrina Strengthens - Destination Uncertain Hugh   Sat Aug 27 2005 02:18 PM

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