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Invest 95L near 100% chance to develop, advisories likely to come later today. Hurricane and/or Tropical Storm Watches are possible later tonight for parts of the Windward islands of the Caribbean. Area east of that 30% chance. 94L 30% chance.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 303 (Idalia) , Major: 303 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 303 (Idalia) Major: 303 (Idalia)
Td#2
ADV#1 10:00 pm EDT
9.1N 41.9W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
Re: Recurvature Model Bias
      Sat Aug 27 2005 10:59 PM

Until the models differ a bit (if they do) it's hard to go against them. And, yet she went against them with her sudden track to the SW over Miami. And, the biggest difference was not the track but the timing. Worried the timing is off again for a few reasons.. staring at water vapor and she can be deceptive. Watching.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Recurvature Model Bias jrkelly Sat Aug 27 2005 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Recurvature Model Bias gregoryb   Sat Aug 27 2005 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Recurvature Model Bias reasonmclucus   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:04 PM
. * * Re: Recurvature Model Bias berrywr   Sat Aug 27 2005 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Recurvature Model Bias LoisCane   Sat Aug 27 2005 10:59 PM

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