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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 298 (Idalia) , Major: 298 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 298 (Idalia) Major: 298 (Idalia)
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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
Re: Recurvature Model Bias
      Sat Aug 27 2005 10:59 PM

Until the models differ a bit (if they do) it's hard to go against them. And, yet she went against them with her sudden track to the SW over Miami. And, the biggest difference was not the track but the timing. Worried the timing is off again for a few reasons.. staring at water vapor and she can be deceptive. Watching.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Recurvature Model Bias jrkelly Sat Aug 27 2005 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Recurvature Model Bias gregoryb   Sat Aug 27 2005 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Recurvature Model Bias reasonmclucus   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:04 PM
. * * Re: Recurvature Model Bias berrywr   Sat Aug 27 2005 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Recurvature Model Bias LoisCane   Sat Aug 27 2005 10:59 PM

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