Well, once again, the other shoe drops. The same new wording we saw in the news at 9am this morning. Actually, I like the way they decided to do this. From the 10am discussion:
"Recalling that the average NHC 24-hour track forecast error is about 80 N mi...the actual landfall point could still be anywhere from southeastern Louisiana to the Mississippi coast. Also...we must continue to stress that the hurricane is not just a point on the map...because destructive winds...torrential rains...storm surge...and dangerous waves extend well away from the eye. It is impossible to specify which County or Parish will experience the worst weather."
What else could they do given the situation and forecasting limitations? NHC conservatively will always stay with the previous forecast unless there is some specific rationale to change it. But here they are saying the forecast is only as good as it is, and for a storm like this, the forecast isn't really good enough - not anyone's fault.
So anyone anywhere near can expect they might possibly see the worst, not just NO now.
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