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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 299 (Idalia) , Major: 299 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 299 (Idalia) Major: 299 (Idalia)
 


Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge

reasonmclucus
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Posts: 17
Loc: Kansas
Re: Recurvature Model Bias
      Sun Aug 28 2005 03:04 PM

since there she will have to hit land sometime and significant weakening doesn't seem likely given the high water temp and the fact it began warming along the coast, I hope you're right. I'm not sure NO could survive a direct hit by a storm that essentially is already off the scale. I don't just mean damage in NO, I mean there could be a question of whether it could be rebuilt or would have to be relocated.

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Almost only counts in horseshoes, hand grenades and hurricanes.


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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Recurvature Model Bias jrkelly Sun Aug 28 2005 03:04 PM
. * * Re: Recurvature Model Bias gregoryb   Sat Aug 27 2005 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Recurvature Model Bias reasonmclucus   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:04 PM
. * * Re: Recurvature Model Bias berrywr   Sat Aug 27 2005 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Recurvature Model Bias LoisCane   Sat Aug 27 2005 10:59 PM

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