Last went through wind model tests at 130. Since then, downtown NO has been built up/changed creating what are essentially wind corridors - completely invalidating any tests.
The 200 mph figure was the raw paper number when it was originally drawn up in the 70s.
As I iterated earlier - it truly is a "last resort" place to evac. My prayers are with everyone there, and honestly, I don't believe it's going to hold up nearly as well as people are hoping. Regardless of the numbers FEMA is giving out, I really hope and pray that we only see a fraction of that. Even half of their estimates would be nothing short of a miracle.
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