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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Ron Basso
Storm Tracker

Reged:
Posts: 267
Loc: hernando beach, FL

Re: early september crest
Sun Sep 04 2005 12:18 PM

Good morning all. Looks like some broad cyclonic turning starting to develop off the SE coast of FL. All of the global models have indicated over the last several days a closed low developing from the old surface trough that migrated southward and now stalled over south FL. 00Z CMC takes the low across the south half of the peninsula, into the GOM to NO. 00Z NOGAPs & UKMET move it slowly up the easy coast of FL and deepen it. 06Z GFS runs it up the middle of the state and then NE. From NWS Tampa Bay 2 AM Disc:

MOST MODELS NOW AGREE ON SOME SORT OF
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT IN OR NEAR THE BAHAMAS...WITH THE NAM BEING
THE WEAKEST AND FARTHEST SOUTH WHILE THE GFS BRINGS A MORE DEVELOPED
LOW ONTO THE EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND MOVES IT
PAINFULLY SLOW ACROSS THE PENINSULA AND INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF ON
FRIDAY. THE NAM SOLUTION WOULD FAVOR HIGHER POPS SOUTH AND LOWER
POPS NORTH ON WEDNESDAY WHILE THE GFS SUGGESTS THE REVERSE.
PRE-ECLIPSE SATELLITE IMAGERY DID SHOW SOME INCREASE IN CONVECTION
EAST OF THE BAHAMAS...AS MENTIONED IN TPC'S LATE EVENING TROPICAL
WEATHER OUTLOOK. BOTH MODELS TAKE THE LOW CURRENTLY EAST OF THE
BAHAMAS OFF TO THE NORTHEAST...SO THE LOW CENTER IN QUESTION FOR
MID-WEEK IS ACTUALLY A NEW ONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AS THE INITIAL
LOW LIFTS OUT. BOTH MODELS ALSO HAVE THIS LOW BECOMING TRAPPED
UNDER A FAIRLY STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE...WHICH WOULD EXPLAIN
THE SLOW MOVEMENT IF AND WHEN THIS LOW DOES DEVELOP.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kamx.shtml

--------------------
RJB

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Storm Maria Forms in Atlantic, No Threat to the US	MikeC	Sun Sep 04 2005 12:18 PM
Re:Before "During and After pics from Katrina	LadyStorm	Fri Sep 02 2005 11:08 PM
Re:Before "During and After pics from Katrina	Jeffmidtown	Sat Sep 03 2005 12:15 AM
Trough/Bahams/3 lows	Brad in Miami	Sat Sep 03 2005 12:29 AM
Re: Trough/Bahams/3 lows	Margie	Sat Sep 03 2005 12:52 AM
bouy data	abyrd	Sat Sep 03 2005 03:09 AM
Re: Trough/Bahams/3 lows	ralphfl	Sat Sep 03 2005 03:09 AM
Re: Trough/Bahamas/3 lows	Multi-Decadal Signal	Sat Sep 03 2005 03:39 AM
Re: Trough/Bahamas/3 lows	DebbiePSL	Sat Sep 03 2005 03:56 AM
Re: Trough/Bahamas/3 lows	Multi-Decadal Signal	Sat Sep 03 2005 04:24 AM
Re: Trough/Bahamas/3 lows	biochic	Sat Sep 03 2005 03:55 AM
Katrina's Influence	Clark	Fri Sep 02 2005 06:01 AM
Re: Katrina's Influence	Miami Beach, FLA USA	Fri Sep 02 2005 06:43 AM
Re: Katrina's Influence	Margie	Fri Sep 02 2005 12:36 PM
Re: Katrina's Influence	zacros	Fri Sep 02 2005 09:40 AM
Re: Katrina's Influence	Takingforever	Fri Sep 02 2005 10:17 AM
Re: Katrina's Influence	Random Chaos	Fri Sep 02 2005 11:33 AM
Re: Katrina's Influence	emackl	Fri Sep 02 2005 11:42 AM
Re: Katrina's Influence	weatherwatcher2	Fri Sep 02 2005 11:56 AM
Re: Katrina's Influence	emackl	Fri Sep 02 2005 12:17 PM
Re: Katrina's Influence	Juls	Fri Sep 02 2005 12:31 PM
Re: Katrina's Influence	NewWatcher	Fri Sep 02 2005 12:26 PM
Re: Katrina's Influence	emackl	Fri Sep 02 2005 12:38 PM
Re: Katrina's Influence	Beaumont, TX	Fri Sep 02 2005 01:30 PM
Re: Katrina's Influence	NewWatcher	Fri Sep 02 2005 01:36 PM
Re: Katrina's Influence	Steve H1	Fri Sep 02 2005 01:44 PM
Re: Katrina's Influence	native	Fri Sep 02 2005 02:20 PM
Re: Katrina's Influence	Ryan	Fri Sep 02 2005 02:24 PM
same story	HanKFranK	Fri Sep 02 2005 02:34 PM
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Re: Spaghetti Models	NewWatcher	Fri Sep 02 2005 02:31 PM
92L	Ryan	Fri Sep 02 2005 02:04 PM
Re: Katrina's Influence	luki	Fri Sep 02 2005 12:55 PM
Re: Katrina's Influence	zacros	Fri Sep 02 2005 11:04 AM
Re: Katrina's Influence	Takingforever	Fri Sep 02 2005 11:07 AM
Re: Future Systems	Catmando	Fri Sep 02 2005 05:06 AM
Re: Future Systems	Clark	Fri Sep 02 2005 05:48 AM
Re: Future Systems	tashina	Fri Sep 02 2005 05:27 AM
Re: Future Systems	Katie	Fri Sep 02 2005 02:21 AM
Re: Future Systems	Paulf	Fri Sep 02 2005 07:03 AM
Re: Future Systems	Ed in Va	Fri Sep 02 2005 01:14 PM
Re: Future Systems	DJINFLA	Fri Sep 02 2005 02:09 PM
Re: Future Systems	Ryan	Fri Sep 02 2005 02:12 PM
Re: Katrina Relief/Future Systems	Cindi	Fri Sep 02 2005 02:42 PM
Re: Katrina Relief/Future Systems	Ed in Va	Fri Sep 02 2005 02:48 PM
Re: Katrina Relief/Future Systems	native	Fri Sep 02 2005 03:00 PM
Re: Future Systems	DJINFLA	Fri Sep 02 2005 02:17 PM
Re: Future Systems	native	Fri Sep 02 2005 03:09 PM
Re: Future Systems	Katie	Fri Sep 02 2005 03:53 PM
Re: Future Systems	Margie	Fri Sep 02 2005 04:08 PM
Re: Future Systems Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	Big Red Machine	Fri Sep 02 2005 04:07 PM
Re: Future Systems Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	Tracey	Fri Sep 02 2005 04:45 PM
Re: Future Systems Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	OcalaKT	Fri Sep 02 2005 04:59 PM
Re: Future Systems Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	Big Red Machine	Fri Sep 02 2005 05:08 PM
Re: Future Systems	MikeC	Fri Sep 02 2005 06:54 PM
Re: Future Systems	tpratch	Fri Sep 02 2005 07:02 PM
Re: Future Systems	MikeC	Fri Sep 02 2005 07:16 PM
Re: Future Systems	tpratch	Fri Sep 02 2005 07:28 PM
Re: Future Systems	MikeC	Fri Sep 02 2005 08:02 PM
Re: Future Systems	ralphfl	Fri Sep 02 2005 08:21 PM
misleading	tashina	Sat Sep 03 2005 04:25 AM
Re: misleading	DebbiePSL	Sat Sep 03 2005 05:14 AM
Re: misleading	DebbiePSL	Sat Sep 03 2005 11:56 AM
Re:Local News on Maria	GuppieGrouper	Sat Sep 03 2005 01:06 PM
Re:Local News on Maria	DebbiePSL	Sat Sep 03 2005 01:30 PM
early september crest	HanKFranK	Sat Sep 03 2005 03:01 PM
Re: early september crest	DJINFLA	Sat Sep 03 2005 03:18 PM
Re: early september crest	weatherwatcher2	Sat Sep 03 2005 09:18 PM
Re: early september crest	HanKFranK	Sat Sep 03 2005 11:46 PM
Re: early september crest	GuppieGrouper	Sun Sep 04 2005 12:34 AM
Re: early september crest	BillD	Sun Sep 04 2005 01:20 AM
Re: early september crest	HanKFranK	Sun Sep 04 2005 03:18 AM
Re: early september crest	stormchazer	Sun Sep 04 2005 11:41 AM
Re: early september crest	Ron Basso	Sun Sep 04 2005 12:18 PM
Re: early september crest	Random Chaos	Sun Sep 04 2005 02:37 PM
Re: early september crest	tpratch	Sat Sep 03 2005 03:39 PM
Dead topic till The Nate	Takingforever	Fri Sep 02 2005 09:06 PM
Trough/Bahamas	Brad in Miami	Fri Sep 02 2005 09:36 PM
Re: Trough/Bahamas	GuppieGrouper	Fri Sep 02 2005 10:02 PM
Re: Future Systems	Brad in Miami	Fri Sep 02 2005 07:06 PM
Re: Future Systems	Steve H1	Fri Sep 02 2005 07:23 PM
Re: Future Systems	Brad in Miami	Fri Sep 02 2005 07:02 PM
Re: Future Systems	NewWatcher	Fri Sep 02 2005 05:15 PM
Re: Future Systems	GuppieGrouper	Fri Sep 02 2005 04:26 PM
Re: Future Systems Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	Ed in Va	Fri Sep 02 2005 04:18 PM
Re: Future Systems	Big Red Machine	Fri Sep 02 2005 04:27 PM
Re: Future Systems	NewWatcher	Fri Sep 02 2005 04:29 PM
Re: Future Systems	Big Red Machine	Fri Sep 02 2005 04:33 PM
Re: Future Systems Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	susieq	Fri Sep 02 2005 04:44 PM
Re: Future Systems Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	cjgsav	Fri Sep 02 2005 05:26 PM
Re: Future Systems Killed -- Sent to Graveyard DELETED	kapSt.Cloud	Fri Sep 02 2005 06:10 PM
Re: Future Systems	Takingforever	Fri Sep 02 2005 06:17 PM
Re: Future Systems	susieq	Fri Sep 02 2005 05:42 PM
Re: Future Systems	Beaumont, TX	Fri Sep 02 2005 06:04 PM
Re: 92L	Ryan	Fri Sep 02 2005 04:26 PM
Re: 92L	ralphfl	Fri Sep 02 2005 05:02 PM
Re: 92L	RyanRedCross1	Fri Sep 02 2005 04:29 PM
Re: Future Systems	Ryan	Fri Sep 02 2005 02:20 PM
DANNY!!!	LI Phil	Fri Sep 02 2005 03:01 AM
Re: DANNY!!!	AdvAutoBob	Fri Sep 02 2005 12:37 PM
Re: DANNY!!!	Big Red Machine	Fri Sep 02 2005 04:53 AM
Re: DANNY!!!	ohioaninmiss	Fri Sep 02 2005 04:21 AM
Re: DANNY!!!	Ricreig	Fri Sep 02 2005 03:26 AM
Re: DANNY!!!	SkeetoBite	Fri Sep 02 2005 03:22 AM
Re: DANNY!!!	MikeC	Fri Sep 02 2005 03:02 AM

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