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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

plague of invests
Mon Sep 05 2005 03:23 AM

maria has a mess of weakling company tonight.
the hurricane maria is staying well out in the atlantic.. will pass around 300 miles east of bermuda i guess. nhc official only taking it up to a 2... that seems very reasonable. the storm hasn't shown much tendency to strengthen.. don't expect it'll get a whole lot stronger.. will chuck the cat 3 idea.
the invests in order are:
92L. northerly shear, no improvement from earlier. there is a broad north/south elongated turning nearing 50w, with spotty convection. the upper trough that is advancing on it from the east shouldn't be able to keep up forever, so it ought to be under modest ridging as it nears the islands. potential for slow development during the next couple of days exists, no qualm with the nhc outlook. if this thing develops it'll be a problem for somebody.
93L is more of an issue for development. the storm is drifting northward under weakening northerly shear, and should find itself under the low-shear section of the ridge tomorrow.. probably get the degree of organization to be classified. right now it's a depression with its convection removed from the center.. another of these systems not classified solely on the basis of sheared profile.
94L appears more like 92L in its level of organization... an elongated low that is part of a larger trough, with fairly persistent convection but nothing like 93L has. this system is being pattern-forced and should produce a persistent onshore flow on the east coast of florida going into the week. may not get all that deep, but will probably produce strong enough winds by gradient to merit classification. most of the globals take it northward and northeastward eventually... some have it cross florida. it may never make landfall, but if it does it'll probably be fairly weak. probably more of a pesky system than anything else.
that's pretty much it. fairly active basin, but nothing looks that threatening.
HF 0323z05september

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Hurricane Maria and Other Culprits	Ed Dunham	Mon Sep 05 2005 03:23 AM
Re: Hurricane Maria and Other Culprits	hurricane expert	Mon Sep 05 2005 05:10 PM
Re: Hurricane Maria and Other Culprits	WXMAN RICHIE	Mon Sep 05 2005 05:15 PM
Re: Hurricane Maria and Other Culprits	Hugh	Mon Sep 05 2005 05:24 PM
Re: Hurricane Maria and Other Culprits	Steve H1	Mon Sep 05 2005 05:42 PM
Re: Hurricane Maria and Other Culprits	weatherwatcher2	Mon Sep 05 2005 07:12 PM
Re: Hurricane Maria and Other Culprits	weatherwatcher2	Mon Sep 05 2005 07:14 PM
Re: Hurricane Maria and Other Culprits	VolusiaMike	Mon Sep 05 2005 07:54 PM
Local Mets. take	WXMAN RICHIE	Mon Sep 05 2005 08:18 PM
Re: Local Mets. take	Storm Hunter	Mon Sep 05 2005 08:33 PM
Re: Local Mets. take	Hugh	Mon Sep 05 2005 08:36 PM
New TD 15	Lisa NC	Mon Sep 05 2005 08:29 PM
Re: New TD 15	Steve H1	Mon Sep 05 2005 08:35 PM
Re: Hurricane Maria and Other Culprits	DebbiePSL	Mon Sep 05 2005 07:20 PM
Re: Hurricane Maria and Other Culprits	NewWatcher	Mon Sep 05 2005 07:10 PM
Maria has formed an eye......Cat 3 anyone?	lunkerhunter	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:45 PM
Re: Maria has formed an eye......Cat 3 anyone?	Hugh	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:56 PM
Re: Hurricane Maria and Other Culprits	jusforsean	Sun Sep 04 2005 03:24 PM
spin starting??	ftlaudbob	Sun Sep 04 2005 03:44 PM
Re: spin starting??	stormchazer	Sun Sep 04 2005 04:19 PM
Re: spin starting??	Ryan	Sun Sep 04 2005 06:39 PM
Re: spin starting??	Reaper	Sun Sep 04 2005 07:45 PM
Re: spin starting??	h2ocean	Sun Sep 04 2005 07:57 PM
Re: spin starting??	Rich B	Sun Sep 04 2005 09:09 PM
Re: spin starting??	Random Chaos	Sun Sep 04 2005 09:59 PM
Re: spin starting??	DebbiePSL	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:00 AM
Re: spin starting??	Sheeper	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:11 AM
Re: spin starting??	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:10 AM
Re: spin starting??	DebbiePSL	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:27 AM
Re: spin starting??	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:36 AM
Re: spin starting??	Genesis	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:10 AM
Re: spin starting??	Lysis	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:06 AM
Re: spin starting??	SkeetoBite	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:18 AM
Re: spin starting??	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 05 2005 01:15 AM
Re: spin starting??	jlauderdal	Mon Sep 05 2005 01:35 AM
Re: spin starting??	SkeetoBite	Mon Sep 05 2005 01:32 AM
"Anular" Hurricane	JulieTampa	Mon Sep 05 2005 01:32 AM
Re: "Anular" Hurricane	Margie	Mon Sep 05 2005 06:27 AM
Re: SE FL Circulation	Ron Basso	Mon Sep 05 2005 12:44 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	Black Pearl	Mon Sep 05 2005 01:24 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	NewWatcher	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:45 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	zacros	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:55 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	NewWatcher	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:55 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	Hugh	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:58 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	NewWatcher	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:59 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	NewWatcher	Mon Sep 05 2005 03:02 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	Hugh	Mon Sep 05 2005 03:22 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	CocoCrk	Mon Sep 05 2005 04:55 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	h2ocean	Mon Sep 05 2005 04:26 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	B.C.Francis	Mon Sep 05 2005 04:48 PM
94L, GFDL	Ryan	Mon Sep 05 2005 04:51 PM
Re: 94L, GFDL	Hugh	Mon Sep 05 2005 04:59 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	Jekyhe904	Mon Sep 05 2005 04:22 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	NewWatcher	Mon Sep 05 2005 03:05 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	WXMAN RICHIE	Mon Sep 05 2005 03:14 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	weatherwatcher2	Mon Sep 05 2005 03:21 PM
Re: SE FL Circulation	LoisCane	Mon Sep 05 2005 04:45 PM
Re: "Anular" Hurricane	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:05 AM
Re: "Anular" Hurricane	SkeetoBite	Mon Sep 05 2005 01:46 AM
Re: "Anular" Hurricane	Storm Hunter	Mon Sep 05 2005 02:38 AM
plague of invests	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 05 2005 03:23 AM
Re: plague of invests	Ryan	Mon Sep 05 2005 03:33 AM
Re: plague of invests Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	Ryan	Mon Sep 05 2005 04:32 AM
Re: plague of invests	weatherwatcher2	Mon Sep 05 2005 05:13 AM
Re: plague of invests	Storm Hunter	Mon Sep 05 2005 05:46 AM
Re: plague of invests	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 05 2005 12:32 PM
Re: plague of invests	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 05 2005 01:21 PM
Closest to home	WXMAN RICHIE	Sun Sep 04 2005 01:50 PM
Re: Closest to home	Genesis	Sun Sep 04 2005 03:10 PM

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