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Now Tropical Storm Ernesto pulling away from Bermuda and out to sea. Likely to become post-tropical by Tuesday. Rest of ATL strangely quiet.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 13 (Debby) , Major: 354 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 13 (Debby) Major: 354 (Idalia)
TS Ernesto
ADV#27 5:00 am EDT
34.6N 63.0W
Wind: 70MPH
Pres: 978mb
Moving:
Nne at 9 mph
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News Talkback >> 2005 Storm Forum
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Ricreig
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Posts: 431
Loc: Orlando, Fl
Re: Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas
      Mon Sep 05 2005 07:00 PM

Quote:

Richard,

I hope you're right too, although I'm wondering what WV loop you're looking at. It looks to be headed straight for the east coast of Florida, to me...then a turn to the NNE/NE toward the Big Bend area. I'm sort of surprised that the NHC isn't paying more attention to it because that's just north of where Katrina formed.

I'm looking at http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-wv-loop.html
and while it may move somewhat West initially, I think it will move NW near the coast (east coast) or slightly inlland then be deflected to the NE. It is so weak that even low level currents should catch it. We'll see. Regardless, I see some rain and breeze in our future. I just don't really think it has the 'space' to spin up into anything serious before hitting land. In fact, the western edge is already grazing FLaud or so it appears.

--------------------
Richard
A forecast is NOT a promise!

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas Ed DunhamAdministrator Mon Sep 05 2005 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas ANNIE   Wed Sep 07 2005 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas Ricreig   Mon Sep 05 2005 07:34 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas Hugh   Mon Sep 05 2005 10:51 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas Ricreig   Mon Sep 05 2005 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas Hugh   Mon Sep 05 2005 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas HURRICANELONNY   Mon Sep 05 2005 01:14 PM

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