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90L crossing over Florida with flooding rains, strong winds and brief tornadoes/spouts. Next week eyes turn to W Gulf in active June pattern
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 288 (Idalia) , Major: 288 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 288 (Idalia) Major: 288 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2005 Storm Forum
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Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida
Re: Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas
      Mon Sep 05 2005 11:32 PM

Quote:

I'm looking at http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-wv-loop.html
and while it may move somewhat West initially, I think it will move NW near the coast (east coast) or slightly inlland then be deflected to the NE. It is so weak that even low level currents should catch it. We'll see. Regardless, I see some rain and breeze in our future. I just don't really think it has the 'space' to spin up into anything serious before hitting land. In fact, the western edge is already grazing FLaud or so it appears.



If the shear doesn't let up, it won't develop into anything - which looks likely in the immediate future I think. If the shear DOES let up, there's less chance of a NE deflection, I think. It's kind of interesting that the models went from taking it west across the Gulf to taking it NE along the Atlantic coast.

--------------------
Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)


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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas Ed DunhamAdministrator Mon Sep 05 2005 11:32 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas ANNIE   Wed Sep 07 2005 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas Ricreig   Mon Sep 05 2005 11:34 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas Hugh   Mon Sep 05 2005 02:51 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas Ricreig   Mon Sep 05 2005 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas Hugh   Mon Sep 05 2005 11:32 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas HURRICANELONNY   Mon Sep 05 2005 05:14 PM

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