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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Rich B
British Meteorologist

Reged:
Posts: 498
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK

Todays activity
Tue Sep 06 2005 10:05 PM

Well guys, here are my thoughts on our three systems today:

Maria - weakening now due to the hostile shear conditions now moving in from the west. Should be a TS by the 0300z advisory package i would have thought, but it may hold out for a further 6 hours. Interesting how the models keep it as a strong ET system out to 120 hrs. Certainly something i will be watching closely from this side of the pond!

Nate - Visible imagery shows Nate is very well organised. In fact there could well be a CDO feature now developing within the convective cloud shield. This would indicate that it is still strengthening, and will most likely become a Hurricane within the next 12 hours. Not alot of movement for the past 24 hours, and not really much motion expected for the next 24 hours. However, if i was in Bermuda right now i would be making my plans for an impact from Nate likely Thursday night - and likely to be a Hurricane.

TD 16 - seems to be struggling a bit looking at the visible imagery. however, recon found a closed circulation and reasonable wind field. Shear is the probelm at the moment, with the circulation centre located on the extreme southern edge of the convective activity. I dont think we will see much change overnight, and then possibly some slow strengthening on Wednesday. Given the organisation of the depression any motion will likely be erratic for at least the next 12 to 18 hours. However, after that a general north-northwest track should occur. This could be a very wet storm for parts of central and north Florida, and for Georgia too. Still too many uncertainties with this one at the moment though.

Regards

--------------------
Rich B

SkyWarn UK

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	MikeC	Tue Sep 06 2005 10:05 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	zacros	Wed Sep 07 2005 10:31 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	crpeavley	Wed Sep 07 2005 12:01 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Jekyhe904	Tue Sep 06 2005 10:00 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Rasvar	Wed Sep 07 2005 01:19 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	weatherwatcher2	Wed Sep 07 2005 01:41 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Rasvar	Wed Sep 07 2005 01:53 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Beaumont, TX	Wed Sep 07 2005 01:55 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Colleen A.	Wed Sep 07 2005 01:40 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	GuppieGrouper	Wed Sep 07 2005 01:29 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Random Chaos	Wed Sep 07 2005 01:47 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	weatherwatcher2	Wed Sep 07 2005 01:58 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Random Chaos	Wed Sep 07 2005 02:19 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Clark	Wed Sep 07 2005 02:49 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Random Chaos	Wed Sep 07 2005 03:38 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Catawba	Wed Sep 07 2005 03:14 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Clark	Wed Sep 07 2005 04:41 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Beaumont, TX	Wed Sep 07 2005 01:05 PM
Quick hit thoughts	Clark	Wed Sep 07 2005 05:44 AM
Re: Quick hit thoughts	Storm Hunter	Wed Sep 07 2005 06:18 AM
Re: Quick hit thoughts	Storm Hunter	Wed Sep 07 2005 06:20 AM
Re: Quick hit thoughts	Storm Hunter	Wed Sep 07 2005 06:34 AM
Re: Quick hit thoughts	Random Chaos	Wed Sep 07 2005 10:31 AM
Re: Quick hit thoughts	Hugh	Wed Sep 07 2005 10:46 AM
Re: Quick hit thoughts	emackl	Wed Sep 07 2005 11:46 AM
Re: Quick hit thoughts	tpratch	Wed Sep 07 2005 11:52 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	scottsvb	Wed Sep 07 2005 05:26 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Storm Hunter	Wed Sep 07 2005 05:43 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Storm Hunter	Wed Sep 07 2005 02:29 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Storm Hunter	Wed Sep 07 2005 02:33 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	dolfinatic	Wed Sep 07 2005 03:17 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Wed Sep 07 2005 03:50 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Colleen A.	Wed Sep 07 2005 04:05 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Storm Hunter	Wed Sep 07 2005 02:07 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Hugh	Wed Sep 07 2005 02:31 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Clark	Wed Sep 07 2005 01:56 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	disneyfanfl	Tue Sep 06 2005 10:28 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	MikeC	Wed Sep 07 2005 12:26 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	tpratch	Tue Sep 06 2005 10:31 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Hootowl	Tue Sep 06 2005 10:40 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Beaumont, TX	Tue Sep 06 2005 03:43 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	tpratch	Tue Sep 06 2005 03:49 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Beaumont, TX	Tue Sep 06 2005 04:00 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Rich B	Tue Sep 06 2005 04:13 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	native	Tue Sep 06 2005 04:47 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	The Force 2005	Tue Sep 06 2005 04:42 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	trinibaje	Tue Sep 06 2005 04:52 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 06 2005 05:22 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	The Force 2005	Wed Sep 07 2005 01:22 PM
ophelia....	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 06 2005 05:43 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	NewWatcher	Tue Sep 06 2005 05:29 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast	Hootowl	Tue Sep 06 2005 05:44 PM
Re: TD16	Ron Basso	Tue Sep 06 2005 06:56 PM
Re: TD16	native	Tue Sep 06 2005 07:14 PM
Re: TD16	Ron Basso	Tue Sep 06 2005 07:50 PM
Gulf Of Mexico	Myles	Tue Sep 06 2005 08:00 PM
Re: Gulf Of Mexico	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 06 2005 08:29 PM
Re: Gulf Of Mexico	Storm Hunter	Tue Sep 06 2005 08:34 PM
Re: Gulf Of Mexico	Ed in Va	Tue Sep 06 2005 08:38 PM
Re: Gulf Of Mexico	Thunderbird12	Tue Sep 06 2005 08:54 PM
Re: Gulf Of Mexico	Rabbit	Tue Sep 06 2005 09:48 PM
Todays activity	Rich B	Tue Sep 06 2005 10:05 PM
Re: Todays activity	DebbiePSL	Tue Sep 06 2005 10:23 PM
Re: Todays activity	Random Chaos	Tue Sep 06 2005 10:35 PM
Re: Todays activity	DebbiePSL	Tue Sep 06 2005 10:55 PM
Re: Todays activity	Ryan	Tue Sep 06 2005 11:05 PM
Re: Todays activity	Random Chaos	Tue Sep 06 2005 11:10 PM
Re: Todays activity	Hugh	Tue Sep 06 2005 11:22 PM
Re: Gulf Of Mexico	Random Chaos	Tue Sep 06 2005 09:48 PM
Re: Gulf Of Mexico	doug	Tue Sep 06 2005 08:24 PM
uh oh...	Rick on boat in Mobile	Tue Sep 06 2005 08:34 PM
Re: uh oh...	native	Tue Sep 06 2005 08:52 PM
Re: Gulf Of Mexico	Tazmanian93	Tue Sep 06 2005 08:21 PM
Re: TD16	Clark	Tue Sep 06 2005 07:48 PM
Latest vortex message	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 06 2005 08:00 PM
WX in Charleston	Anton Ross	Tue Sep 06 2005 07:09 PM
Maria	Robert	Tue Sep 06 2005 01:31 AM
Observations in bahamas as of 8:00pm	Robert	Tue Sep 06 2005 12:49 AM
Re: Observations in bahamas as of 8:00pm	GuppieGrouper	Tue Sep 06 2005 01:22 AM
Re: Observations in bahamas as of 8:00pm	danielw	Tue Sep 06 2005 01:56 AM
Re: Observations in bahamas as of 8:00pm	Ricreig	Tue Sep 06 2005 12:51 PM
Re: Observations in bahamas as of 8:00pm	Clark	Tue Sep 06 2005 04:56 AM
setting the pace	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 05 2005 09:38 PM
Re: setting the pace	317288	Tue Sep 06 2005 02:05 AM
Re: setting the pace	Storm Hunter	Tue Sep 06 2005 02:42 AM
upgrade?	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 06 2005 03:01 AM
Re: upgrade?	Ed Dunham	Tue Sep 06 2005 03:05 AM
Re: setting the pace	Hootowl	Mon Sep 05 2005 10:55 PM
busy busy busy	Ryan	Mon Sep 05 2005 11:53 PM
Re: busy busy busy	tpratch	Tue Sep 06 2005 12:44 AM
Re: busy busy busy	Ryan	Tue Sep 06 2005 03:31 AM
Re: busy busy busy	LadyStorm	Tue Sep 06 2005 09:41 AM
Re: busy busy busy	Random Chaos	Tue Sep 06 2005 11:43 AM
Re: busy busy busy	GuppieGrouper	Tue Sep 06 2005 12:09 PM
Indications	Ed Dunham	Tue Sep 06 2005 01:36 PM
here goes	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 06 2005 01:50 PM
The loop	twizted sizter	Tue Sep 06 2005 02:02 PM
Re: The loop	native	Tue Sep 06 2005 02:49 PM
Re: The loop	DJINFLA	Tue Sep 06 2005 03:30 PM
Re: The loop	FlaMommy	Tue Sep 06 2005 02:56 PM
Re: The loop	Clark	Tue Sep 06 2005 03:36 PM
Re: The loop	native	Tue Sep 06 2005 03:54 PM
Re: The loop	NewWatcher	Tue Sep 06 2005 03:57 PM
Re: The loop	Juanjo	Tue Sep 06 2005 03:03 PM
Re: The loop	GuppieGrouper	Tue Sep 06 2005 03:46 PM
Re: The loop	Steve H1	Tue Sep 06 2005 03:56 PM
Re: The loop	Hootowl	Tue Sep 06 2005 04:09 PM
Re: The loop	MikeC	Tue Sep 06 2005 03:28 PM
Re: The loop	Wingman51	Tue Sep 06 2005 03:01 PM
Re: The loop	Ed in Va	Tue Sep 06 2005 02:53 PM
Re: busy busy busy	Colleen A.	Tue Sep 06 2005 01:13 PM
Re: busy busy busy	Steve H1	Tue Sep 06 2005 01:22 PM
TD 16 FORMS!	recmod	Tue Sep 06 2005 01:23 PM
Re: TD 16 FORMS!	emackl	Tue Sep 06 2005 01:27 PM
Re: TD 16 FORMS!	Ron Basso	Tue Sep 06 2005 02:54 PM
Re: TD 16 FORMS!	Steve H1	Tue Sep 06 2005 01:32 PM
Re: TD 16 FORMS!	emackl	Tue Sep 06 2005 01:35 PM
Re: busy busy busy	Random Chaos	Tue Sep 06 2005 12:27 PM
Wave Off FL Coast	cjzydeco	Mon Sep 05 2005 09:34 PM

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