The Vortex data AND the radar loop all suggest ENE at 4-5mph. The WV shows a sharp W to E flow ahead so it may be nearly maxed out on latitude until the loop occurs.
The ULL from the SE has a strong westerly flow with it so if it does not gain much latitude there is some cause for concern in the Florida peninsula after the loop. Im not sure how much that ULL has played into the model calculations. I agree it will be reclassified to Cat 1 this p.m. I don't think cat 1 is its limit, but not more than 2. Will see how the strom progesses in latitude before I buy a solution as far as South Carolina.
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