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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Ophelia's Movement
      Mon Sep 12 2005 12:37 AM

While its true that the ridge to the north of Ophelia is a lot stronger than the ridge to her south and west, a low pressure system north of Maine is expected to move eastward into the Atlantic and create a weakness in the ridge to her north. This would allow Ophelia to move north and eventually northeast as the strong westerlies currently to the north of the storm begin to relax. The high pressure ridge from the Great Lakes to Alabama (and even north Florida) is not moving much at all, but it presents quite a block against any significant westward movement. Ophelia is still 'stuck' in place as it has been all weekend. While there has been some jogs to the north and to the east, there really hasn't been any definitive movement for a couple of days. The warnings and watches issued by NHC seem to be a worthwhile precaution given the uncertainty of her future track. Ophelia certainly has a track record of some weakening and stalling in the evening followed by rebuilding and short movements in the morning. Until the overall weather pattern changes, her movement is still a 'best guess'.
Cheers,
ED

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again MikeCAdministrator Mon Sep 12 2005 12:37 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again NONAME   Sun Sep 11 2005 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again bigpapi   Sun Sep 11 2005 02:01 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Hugh   Sun Sep 11 2005 02:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again bigpapi   Sun Sep 11 2005 04:11 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again WisconsinWill   Sun Sep 11 2005 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Hugh   Sun Sep 11 2005 06:07 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Thunderbird12   Sun Sep 11 2005 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Thunderbird12   Sun Sep 11 2005 07:13 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Hugh   Sun Sep 11 2005 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again bigpapi   Sun Sep 11 2005 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Hugh   Sun Sep 11 2005 08:07 PM
. * * Ophelia's Movement Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Sep 11 2005 09:56 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement Hugh   Sun Sep 11 2005 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement GuppieGrouper   Sun Sep 11 2005 11:48 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:37 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement bigpapi   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:52 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement Hugh   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:05 AM
. * * ophelia in the middle seat HanKFranK   Mon Sep 12 2005 02:01 AM
. * * Could She? Ryan   Mon Sep 12 2005 02:54 AM
. * * Re: Could She? Clark   Mon Sep 12 2005 04:34 AM
. * * Re: Could She? bigpapi   Mon Sep 12 2005 07:01 PM
. * * 00z models HanKFranK   Mon Sep 12 2005 06:20 AM
. * * Re: 00z models Beaumont, TX   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:01 PM
. * * late sep/early oct HanKFranK   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:19 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct NewWatcher   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:36 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct GuppieGrouper   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:28 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:52 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct Random Chaos   Mon Sep 12 2005 09:53 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct Tantalus   Mon Sep 12 2005 08:31 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct Ed in Va   Mon Sep 12 2005 02:46 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct Ed in Va   Mon Sep 12 2005 05:04 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct B.C.Francis   Mon Sep 12 2005 05:38 PM
. * * Ophelia Thunderbird12   Mon Sep 12 2005 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Myles   Mon Sep 12 2005 08:08 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Clark   Mon Sep 12 2005 11:30 PM
. * * Just a Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Sep 13 2005 01:14 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Beaumont, TX   Tue Sep 13 2005 12:54 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia WisconsinWill   Tue Sep 13 2005 12:38 AM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct ralphfl   Mon Sep 12 2005 05:26 PM
. * * Re: 00z models Magic Hat   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:54 PM
. * * Re: 00z models Yikes   Mon Sep 12 2005 11:29 AM
. * * Re: 00z models Random Chaos   Mon Sep 12 2005 11:55 AM
. * * Re: 00z models J.C.   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:33 PM
. * * Re: 00z models Ed in Va   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:43 PM
. * * Re: 00z models J.C.   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:07 PM
. * * Re: 00z models Random Chaos   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:41 PM
. * * Re: 00z models Random Chaos   Mon Sep 12 2005 11:25 AM
. * * Re: Could She? twizted sizter   Mon Sep 12 2005 03:09 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement jusforsean   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:49 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement bigpapi   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:58 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement Hugh   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:17 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement GuppieGrouper   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:24 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement Hugh   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:29 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again emackl   Sun Sep 11 2005 09:29 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Hugh   Sun Sep 11 2005 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again CarolinaGurl   Sun Sep 11 2005 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again bigpapi   Sun Sep 11 2005 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Ryan   Sun Sep 11 2005 05:19 PM

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