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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser

Reged:
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida

Re: Ophelia's Movement
Sun Sep 11 2005 09:05 PM

Quote:

It appears the GFDL and GFS have both stayed with their more south and west tracks for two straight runs. The 18Z just came out. Does anyone believe the NHC may adjust at 11pm? I believe they have relied on the GFDL moreso this year than last. I could be wrong though.

They try not to make major adjustments to the forecast track because models can wobble... but the NHC forecast from 5pm is now well east of the model consensus, so they may adjust if the trend continues - or they may forecast a stalling again because the models are spread out again. GFDL has been effective for some storms, but I don't think Ophelia is one of them.

--------------------
Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	MikeC	Sun Sep 11 2005 09:05 PM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	NONAME	Sun Sep 11 2005 09:42 AM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	bigpapi	Sun Sep 11 2005 10:01 AM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	Hugh	Sun Sep 11 2005 10:54 AM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	bigpapi	Sun Sep 11 2005 12:11 PM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	WisconsinWill	Sun Sep 11 2005 01:19 PM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	Hugh	Sun Sep 11 2005 02:07 PM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	Thunderbird12	Sun Sep 11 2005 02:25 PM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	Thunderbird12	Sun Sep 11 2005 03:13 PM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	Hugh	Sun Sep 11 2005 03:29 PM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	bigpapi	Sun Sep 11 2005 03:49 PM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	Hugh	Sun Sep 11 2005 04:07 PM
Ophelia's Movement	Ed Dunham	Sun Sep 11 2005 05:56 PM
Re: Ophelia's Movement	Hugh	Sun Sep 11 2005 06:57 PM
Re: Ophelia's Movement	GuppieGrouper	Sun Sep 11 2005 07:48 PM
Re: Ophelia's Movement	Ed Dunham	Sun Sep 11 2005 08:37 PM
Re: Ophelia's Movement	bigpapi	Sun Sep 11 2005 08:52 PM
Re: Ophelia's Movement	Hugh	Sun Sep 11 2005 09:05 PM
ophelia in the middle seat	HanKFranK	Sun Sep 11 2005 10:01 PM
Could She?	Ryan	Sun Sep 11 2005 10:54 PM
Re: Could She?	Clark	Mon Sep 12 2005 12:34 AM
Re: Could She?	bigpapi	Mon Sep 12 2005 03:01 PM
00z models	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 12 2005 02:20 AM
Re: 00z models	Beaumont, TX	Mon Sep 12 2005 09:01 AM
late sep/early oct	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 12 2005 09:19 AM
Re: late sep/early oct	NewWatcher	Mon Sep 12 2005 09:36 AM
Re: late sep/early oct	GuppieGrouper	Mon Sep 12 2005 09:28 AM
Re: late sep/early oct	Ed Dunham	Mon Sep 12 2005 09:52 AM
Re: late sep/early oct	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 12 2005 05:53 PM
Re: late sep/early oct	Tantalus	Mon Sep 12 2005 04:31 PM
Re: late sep/early oct	Ed in Va	Mon Sep 12 2005 10:46 AM
Re: late sep/early oct	Ed in Va	Mon Sep 12 2005 01:04 PM
Re: late sep/early oct	B.C.Francis	Mon Sep 12 2005 01:38 PM
Ophelia	Thunderbird12	Mon Sep 12 2005 03:23 PM
Re: Ophelia	Myles	Mon Sep 12 2005 04:08 PM
Re: Ophelia	Clark	Mon Sep 12 2005 07:30 PM
Just a Note	Ed Dunham	Mon Sep 12 2005 09:14 PM
Re: Ophelia	Beaumont, TX	Mon Sep 12 2005 08:54 PM
Re: Ophelia	WisconsinWill	Mon Sep 12 2005 08:38 PM
Re: late sep/early oct	ralphfl	Mon Sep 12 2005 01:26 PM
Re: 00z models	Magic Hat	Mon Sep 12 2005 08:54 AM
Re: 00z models	Yikes	Mon Sep 12 2005 07:29 AM
Re: 00z models	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 12 2005 07:55 AM
Re: 00z models	J.C.	Mon Sep 12 2005 08:33 AM
Re: 00z models	Ed in Va	Mon Sep 12 2005 08:43 AM
Re: 00z models	J.C.	Mon Sep 12 2005 09:07 AM
Re: 00z models	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 12 2005 08:41 AM
Re: 00z models	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 12 2005 07:25 AM
Re: Could She?	twizted sizter	Sun Sep 11 2005 11:09 PM
Re: Ophelia's Movement	jusforsean	Sun Sep 11 2005 09:49 PM
Re: Ophelia's Movement	bigpapi	Sun Sep 11 2005 09:58 PM
Re: Ophelia's Movement	Hugh	Sun Sep 11 2005 08:17 PM
Re: Ophelia's Movement	GuppieGrouper	Sun Sep 11 2005 08:24 PM
Re: Ophelia's Movement	Hugh	Sun Sep 11 2005 08:29 PM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	emackl	Sun Sep 11 2005 05:29 PM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	Hugh	Sun Sep 11 2005 05:43 PM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	CarolinaGurl	Sun Sep 11 2005 02:56 PM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	bigpapi	Sun Sep 11 2005 01:54 PM
Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again	Ryan	Sun Sep 11 2005 01:19 PM

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