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HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA. HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. #RAFAEL
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 25 (Milton) , Major: 25 (Milton) Florida - Any: 25 (Milton) Major: 25 (Milton)
Rem Patty
ADV#10 11:00 am EDT
38.5N 16.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
Ene at 17 mph
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TS Rafael
ADV#5 3:00 pm EDT
15.5N 76.7W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 997mb
Moving:
N at 9 mph
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Lsr1166
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 15
Loc: Tallahassee, Florida
Re: Category 2
      Tue Sep 20 2005 02:13 PM

What are the chances of Rita following a path similar to the one Kate did in 1985? They both formed in about the same location, on 11/20 Kate was located at 23.9 & 83.5 (which is almost 2 degrees west of where Rita is now) and on 11/22 Kate was at 30.2 & 85.1 (just west of Tallahassee, Florida). I looked in the NHC archives and it said although Kate was a late November storm, the weather conditions and sea surface temperatures were more like what you would find in late September.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Category 2 Hurricane Rita in the Florida Straits MikeCAdministrator Tue Sep 20 2005 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Hurricane Rita in the Florida Straits JYarsh   Tue Sep 20 2005 07:46 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Hurricane Rita in the Florida Straits jr928   Tue Sep 20 2005 08:15 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Hurricane Rita in the Florida Straits lunkerhunter   Tue Sep 20 2005 03:10 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Heading for the Florida Straits Robert   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:14 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Heading for the Florida Straits Beaumont, TX   Tue Sep 20 2005 09:53 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Heading for the Florida Straits bigpapi   Tue Sep 20 2005 09:54 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nears Hurricane Strength Heading for the Florida Straits Beaumont, TX   Tue Sep 20 2005 09:08 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nears Hurricane Strength Heading for the Florida Straits Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 09:13 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nears Hurricane Strength Heading for the Florida Straits Cindi   Tue Sep 20 2005 07:35 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nears Hurricane Strength Heading for the Florida Straits Joshua   Tue Sep 20 2005 07:44 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nears Hurricane Strength Heading for the Florida Straits bigpapi   Tue Sep 20 2005 08:32 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nears Hurricane Strength Heading for the Florida Straits Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 09:02 AM
. * * miami@ 9... norcross thoughts on pressure..& Hurricane Status finally LoisCane   Tue Sep 20 2005 09:13 AM
. * * Re: miami@ 9... norcross thoughts on pressure..& Hurricane Status finally Beaumont, TX   Tue Sep 20 2005 09:18 AM
. * * texas LoisCane   Tue Sep 20 2005 09:23 AM
. * * Re: texas Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 09:31 AM
. * * Re: texas GuppieGrouper   Tue Sep 20 2005 09:49 AM
. * * Re: texas doug   Tue Sep 20 2005 11:13 AM
. * * Re: texas Hootowl   Tue Sep 20 2005 11:24 AM
. * * Re: texas Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:00 AM
. * * Re: texas pryord1   Tue Sep 20 2005 11:13 AM
. * * Re: texas Margie   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:22 AM
. * * Re: texas Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:38 AM
. * * Re: texas pryord1   Tue Sep 20 2005 11:18 AM
. * * radar Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:34 AM
. * * ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward LoisCane   Tue Sep 20 2005 11:04 AM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 11:38 AM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward pryord1   Tue Sep 20 2005 11:44 AM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward susieq   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:04 PM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:28 PM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward pryord1   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:35 PM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward amonty   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:57 PM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward pryord1   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:59 PM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward Tazmanian93   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:42 PM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward Colleen A.   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:20 PM
. * * Re: ne quadrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward Multi-Decadal Signal   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:32 PM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:03 PM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 20 2005 11:18 AM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward doug   Tue Sep 20 2005 11:28 AM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward Margie   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:36 PM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:42 PM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward Margie   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:03 PM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward pryord1   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:16 PM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward pcola   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:53 PM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:13 PM
. * * 11am advisory Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 20 2005 11:25 AM
. * * Re: 11am advisory Margie   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:04 PM
. * * Re: 11am advisory Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:26 PM
. * * Re: 11am advisory Steve H1   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:32 PM
. * * Re: 11am advisory Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:44 PM
. * * Re: 11am advisory pryord1   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:23 PM
. * * Re: 11am advisory oil trader   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:45 PM
. * * Re: 11am advisory ralphfl   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:06 PM
. * * Re: 11am advisory Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:26 PM
. * * Re: 11am advisory The Force 2005   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:36 PM
. * * Re: 11am advisory orlandocanewatcher   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:19 PM
. * * Re: 11am advisory ralphfl   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:23 PM
. * * Category 2 Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Margie   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 The Force 2005   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:10 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 lunkerhunter   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:09 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Margie   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 The Force 2005   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 The Force 2005   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:55 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Beaumont, TX   Tue Sep 20 2005 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 The Force 2005   Tue Sep 20 2005 03:45 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Margie   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:40 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 The Force 2005   Tue Sep 20 2005 03:02 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Clark   Tue Sep 20 2005 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 KATFIVE   Tue Sep 20 2005 07:20 PM
. * * recon interpretation Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 20 2005 07:39 PM
. * * Re: recon interpretation danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 20 2005 07:49 PM
. * * New Advisory-edited danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 20 2005 08:16 PM
. * * Re: New Advisory-edited Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 08:32 PM
. * * downward spiral HanKFranK   Tue Sep 20 2005 08:56 PM
. * * Re: downward spiral Beaumont, TX   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:04 PM
. * * Re: downward spiral Margie   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:02 PM
. * * Re: downward spiral Clark   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:13 PM
. * * Re: downward spiral lunkerhunter   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:35 PM
. * * Re: downward spiral danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:30 PM
. * * Re: downward spiral Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:31 PM
. * * Re: downward spiral Clark   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:38 PM
. * * Re: downward spiral Elaine H   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:33 PM
. * * Re: downward spiral danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:31 PM
. * * Re: downward spiral Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 09:03 PM
. * * Re: New Advisory-edited Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 08:42 PM
. * * Re: New Advisory-edited SirCane   Tue Sep 20 2005 08:47 PM
. * * WInds and Pressure danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 20 2005 08:54 PM
. * * Re: WInds and Pressure Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 20 2005 09:04 PM
. * * Rita Rita Rita Ryan   Tue Sep 20 2005 09:15 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita Hugh   Tue Sep 20 2005 09:51 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita Hugh   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:22 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita jr928   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita stevie   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita Hugh   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:34 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita Hugh   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:28 PM
. * * Local Mets. take WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:07 PM
. * * Re: Local Mets. take danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:10 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita Black Pearl   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita Hugh   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita La Nimo   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:39 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita Hugh   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:48 PM
. * * Models danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Models Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:58 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita JoeF   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita ralphfl   Tue Sep 20 2005 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita lunkerhunter   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:39 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita WeatherNut   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Rita Rita Rita jr928   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:19 PM
. * * Re: New Advisory-edited Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 08:44 PM
. * * New Vortex danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 20 2005 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Clark   Tue Sep 20 2005 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Beaumont, TX   Tue Sep 20 2005 06:37 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 nl   Tue Sep 20 2005 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 MissBecky   Tue Sep 20 2005 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Nutmeg   Tue Sep 20 2005 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 charlottefl   Tue Sep 20 2005 07:02 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 ShanaTX   Tue Sep 20 2005 07:28 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 03:11 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Ed in Va   Tue Sep 20 2005 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Kimberley Clark   Tue Sep 20 2005 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 The Force 2005   Tue Sep 20 2005 03:12 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Ed in Va   Tue Sep 20 2005 03:57 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 CoalCracker   Tue Sep 20 2005 04:27 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 WeatherNLU   Tue Sep 20 2005 04:38 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Kimberley Clark   Tue Sep 20 2005 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Ed in Va   Tue Sep 20 2005 04:45 PM
. * * 5pm advisory Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 20 2005 04:54 PM
. * * Re: 5pm advisory Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 ralphfl   Tue Sep 20 2005 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 StormKrone   Tue Sep 20 2005 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Rabbit   Tue Sep 20 2005 05:12 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 jusforsean   Tue Sep 20 2005 05:33 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 nl   Tue Sep 20 2005 05:49 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Lee-Delray   Tue Sep 20 2005 06:08 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 nl   Tue Sep 20 2005 06:09 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Chris Bryant   Tue Sep 20 2005 06:44 PM
. * * radar Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 20 2005 06:48 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 20 2005 06:14 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 nl   Tue Sep 20 2005 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 FireAng85   Tue Sep 20 2005 06:02 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Susan in Jupiter, FL   Tue Sep 20 2005 05:49 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 05:10 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 04:42 PM
. * * latest recon Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 20 2005 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Convergence   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:59 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 WeatherNut   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:55 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:51 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Lee-Delray   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:28 PM
. * * 12Z SHIPS output Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:37 PM
. * * Re: 12Z SHIPS output Ed in Va   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:52 PM
. * * Re: 12Z SHIPS output Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 20 2005 03:07 PM
. * * Re: 12Z SHIPS output Convergence   Tue Sep 20 2005 03:05 PM
. * * Re: 12Z SHIPS output WeatherNut   Tue Sep 20 2005 03:02 PM
. * * Re: 12Z SHIPS output Convergence   Tue Sep 20 2005 03:10 PM
. * * Re: 12Z SHIPS output Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 03:01 PM
. * * tornado warnings Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:41 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 The Force 2005   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 The Force 2005   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:43 PM
. * * consider this Rick on boat in Mobile   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:48 PM
. * * Re: consider this Jeffmidtown   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:53 PM
. * * Re: consider this The Force 2005   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:51 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 The Force 2005   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:39 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Bloodstar   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:53 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 lunkerhunter   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:56 PM
. * * GFDL Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:03 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 FlaMommy   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Lsr1166   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:15 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:59 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 FlaMommy   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:01 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Elaine H   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:15 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 FlaMommy   Tue Sep 20 2005 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Category 2 Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:46 PM
. * * Re: 11am advisory Steve H1   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:13 PM
. * * Re: 11am advisory Steve H1   Tue Sep 20 2005 01:07 PM
. * * Re: 11am advisory pryord1   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:55 PM
. * * Re: 11am advisory nate77   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:53 PM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward tpratch   Tue Sep 20 2005 11:09 AM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward Susan in Jupiter, FL   Tue Sep 20 2005 12:45 PM
. * * Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward Steve H1   Tue Sep 20 2005 11:14 AM
. * * Re: radar Psyber   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:51 AM
. * * Re: radar Random Chaos   Tue Sep 20 2005 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nears Hurricane Strength Heading for the Florida Straits tpratch   Tue Sep 20 2005 07:40 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nears Hurricane Strength Heading for the Florida Straits MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 20 2005 07:40 AM

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