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#Beryl now a Hurricane with 75mph. Now Forecast to be a 120mph Major Hurricane near the Windwards on Monday. Hurricane Warnings now up for Barbados, Watches for other areas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 304 (Idalia) , Major: 304 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 304 (Idalia) Major: 304 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#5 10:00 pm EDT
10.1N 49.3W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 992mb
Moving:
W at 22 mph
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback
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Brett
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Predictions
      Mon Sep 30 2002 12:11 PM

People in the northern GC really have to watch her. With her current forward speed, and the potential for it to increase slightly, regardless of whether she moves over Cuba or not, she is going to be full throttle in the SE GOM. Thinking back to Isidore, I recall how it seemed to pick up intensity just prior to landfall...think of what would have happened if Isidore had gotten its act together in the southern GOM... This is exactly what we could have on our hands with Lili. I am putting Lili just west of New Orleans, at strong Cat 3, with a large storm surge from fast forward speed. I see this one as more of a wind event, unless she slows or becomes more expansive as Isidore did.

I still don't know what to do with Kyle. Looks to me on visible that hes moving SW again...and I am not sure I buy the NHC's center. Looks to me like is much further south. But then again, I am always wrong as far as Florida predictions go....so perhaps indeed this one will get kicked out east.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch CFHCAdministrator Mon Sep 30 2002 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch dennis   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch Brad in Miami   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch dennis   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:03 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch Brad in Miami   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:08 PM
. * * Couple of Site Fixes MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 30 2002 02:34 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch MikeB   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:50 PM
. * * Predictions Brett   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Predictions Steve H.   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:47 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now A Hurricane. Rich B   Mon Sep 30 2002 11:57 AM
. * * Strike Possibilities..... Colleen A.   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:43 PM
. * * Wassup Guru Colleen? Steve   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:57 PM
. * * Silent ShawnS   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:10 PM
. * * Colleen.......HEY SHAWN Frank P   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:53 PM
. * * Hey Frank P.. Houstontracker   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:29 PM
. * * Re: Hey Frank P.. scottsvb   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:51 PM
. * * lili threatens, kyle toys HanKFranK   Mon Sep 30 2002 02:39 PM
. * * Re: Hey Frank P.. Frank P   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:45 PM
. * * Some differences in the new runs... Steve   Mon Sep 30 2002 02:45 PM
. * * Re: Some differences in the new runs... Stevenotloggedin   Mon Sep 30 2002 03:35 PM
. * * Kyle Brett   Mon Sep 30 2002 03:18 PM
. * * New Iberia jth   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:36 PM

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