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Alberto moving into Mexico, but large windfield causing surge flooding along Texas Coast. Also Invest 92L now being tracked east of the Bahamas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 295 (Idalia) , Major: 295 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 295 (Idalia) Major: 295 (Idalia)
TS Alberto
ADV#11 10:00 am EDT
22.3N 97.3W
Wind: 50MPH
Pres: 993mb
Moving:
W at 13 mph
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback
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Brett
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Predictions
      Mon Sep 30 2002 04:11 PM

People in the northern GC really have to watch her. With her current forward speed, and the potential for it to increase slightly, regardless of whether she moves over Cuba or not, she is going to be full throttle in the SE GOM. Thinking back to Isidore, I recall how it seemed to pick up intensity just prior to landfall...think of what would have happened if Isidore had gotten its act together in the southern GOM... This is exactly what we could have on our hands with Lili. I am putting Lili just west of New Orleans, at strong Cat 3, with a large storm surge from fast forward speed. I see this one as more of a wind event, unless she slows or becomes more expansive as Isidore did.

I still don't know what to do with Kyle. Looks to me on visible that hes moving SW again...and I am not sure I buy the NHC's center. Looks to me like is much further south. But then again, I am always wrong as far as Florida predictions go....so perhaps indeed this one will get kicked out east.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch CFHCAdministrator Mon Sep 30 2002 04:11 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch dennis   Mon Sep 30 2002 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch Brad in Miami   Mon Sep 30 2002 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch dennis   Mon Sep 30 2002 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch Brad in Miami   Mon Sep 30 2002 08:08 PM
. * * Couple of Site Fixes MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 30 2002 06:34 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch MikeB   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:50 PM
. * * Predictions Brett   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:11 PM
. * * Re: Predictions Steve H.   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:47 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now A Hurricane. Rich B   Mon Sep 30 2002 03:57 PM
. * * Strike Possibilities..... Colleen A.   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:43 PM
. * * Wassup Guru Colleen? Steve   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:57 PM
. * * Silent ShawnS   Mon Sep 30 2002 05:10 PM
. * * Colleen.......HEY SHAWN Frank P   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:53 PM
. * * Hey Frank P.. Houstontracker   Mon Sep 30 2002 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Hey Frank P.. scottsvb   Mon Sep 30 2002 05:51 PM
. * * lili threatens, kyle toys HanKFranK   Mon Sep 30 2002 06:39 PM
. * * Re: Hey Frank P.. Frank P   Mon Sep 30 2002 05:45 PM
. * * Some differences in the new runs... Steve   Mon Sep 30 2002 06:45 PM
. * * Re: Some differences in the new runs... Stevenotloggedin   Mon Sep 30 2002 07:35 PM
. * * Kyle Brett   Mon Sep 30 2002 07:18 PM
. * * New Iberia jth   Mon Sep 30 2002 05:36 PM

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