Invest 95L in the Tropical Atlantic now has a 90% chance to develop over the next 7 days, and a 70% chance to do so in the next 48 hours. Recon scheduled for Sunday morning.a
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
302 (Idalia)
, Major:
302 (Idalia)
Florida - Any: 302 (Idalia)
Major:
302 (Idalia)
Quote: SHIPS is actually one of the best-performing intensity models out there. Out intensity forecast errors are generally fairly substantial despite rapidly-improving track forecasts, unfortunately.
Clark, I'm looking at the 00Z SHIPS and I hope it's wrong on the intensity at 84hrs. 115mph and 41nm inland. Further out to 120hrs, still indicating 69 kts at 651nm inland. The lat/ longs with that 120 hr look to be near Seminole,Oklahoma???
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