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#Beryl now a Hurricane with 75mph. Now Forecast to be a 120mph Major Hurricane near the Windwards on Monday. Hurricane Warnings now up for Barbados, Watches for other areas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 304 (Idalia) , Major: 304 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 304 (Idalia) Major: 304 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#5 10:00 pm EDT
10.1N 49.3W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 992mb
Moving:
W at 22 mph
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback
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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Strike Possibilities.....
      Mon Sep 30 2002 12:43 PM

I just spent a good 1/2 hour looking at the Strike Probabilities between 9/27 and 9/30

Key West now has the highest strike probabilities @18% at 11:00AM which is up from 14% at 5:00AM today.

Buras, LA was at it's highest, 18% on 9/30 at 5:00AM, and has now dropped to 13% as of the 11AM advisory.

Texas strike probablities range as high as 12% at 11AM today (Galveston) and as low as 4% in Brownsville, TX today at 11AM.

I don't know if this means the storm track has been shifted to the right; giving Key West the highest percentage or what.

If you have any thoughts on this, please let me know.



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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch CFHCAdministrator Mon Sep 30 2002 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch dennis   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch Brad in Miami   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch dennis   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:03 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch Brad in Miami   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:08 PM
. * * Couple of Site Fixes MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 30 2002 02:34 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch MikeB   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:50 PM
. * * Predictions Brett   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Predictions Steve H.   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:47 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now A Hurricane. Rich B   Mon Sep 30 2002 11:57 AM
. * * Strike Possibilities..... Colleen A.   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:43 PM
. * * Wassup Guru Colleen? Steve   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:57 PM
. * * Silent ShawnS   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:10 PM
. * * Colleen.......HEY SHAWN Frank P   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:53 PM
. * * Hey Frank P.. Houstontracker   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:29 PM
. * * Re: Hey Frank P.. scottsvb   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:51 PM
. * * lili threatens, kyle toys HanKFranK   Mon Sep 30 2002 02:39 PM
. * * Re: Hey Frank P.. Frank P   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:45 PM
. * * Some differences in the new runs... Steve   Mon Sep 30 2002 02:45 PM
. * * Re: Some differences in the new runs... Stevenotloggedin   Mon Sep 30 2002 03:35 PM
. * * Kyle Brett   Mon Sep 30 2002 03:18 PM
. * * New Iberia jth   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:36 PM

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