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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
Wassup Guru Colleen?
      Mon Sep 30 2002 04:57 PM

I think that is a function of the fact that she's likely to pass nearer to Key West than any other American Point in the next day or so. Look at the A, B, C, D columns. Key West is 9% during "A" and 8% "B" (8am Tues to 8pm Tues) and 1% C. They added them all up and came up with 18%. New Iberia at 13% is the current highest probability in "D" (8am Wed to 8am Thurs). New Iberia is my landfall call within 60 miles. The reason I think Buras went down is that it's now evident to the TPC that Lili is going to pass south of her - possibly by as much as 125 miles. In no way IMHO is the threat to FL increasing with time - certainly not the peninsula. You guys should get off without even any feeder bands except possibly extreme SW FL might get clipped with a brief squall.

And you should know this: The main threat to Florida this year is from Paloma! Paloma is coming, and he/she's coming to get us all!

Steve

--------------------
MF'n Super Bowl Champions

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch CFHCAdministrator Mon Sep 30 2002 04:57 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch dennis   Mon Sep 30 2002 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch Brad in Miami   Mon Sep 30 2002 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch dennis   Mon Sep 30 2002 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch Brad in Miami   Mon Sep 30 2002 08:08 PM
. * * Couple of Site Fixes MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 30 2002 06:34 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch MikeB   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:50 PM
. * * Predictions Brett   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:11 PM
. * * Re: Predictions Steve H.   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:47 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now A Hurricane. Rich B   Mon Sep 30 2002 03:57 PM
. * * Strike Possibilities..... Colleen A.   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:43 PM
. * * Wassup Guru Colleen? Steve   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:57 PM
. * * Silent ShawnS   Mon Sep 30 2002 05:10 PM
. * * Colleen.......HEY SHAWN Frank P   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:53 PM
. * * Hey Frank P.. Houstontracker   Mon Sep 30 2002 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Hey Frank P.. scottsvb   Mon Sep 30 2002 05:51 PM
. * * lili threatens, kyle toys HanKFranK   Mon Sep 30 2002 06:39 PM
. * * Re: Hey Frank P.. Frank P   Mon Sep 30 2002 05:45 PM
. * * Some differences in the new runs... Steve   Mon Sep 30 2002 06:45 PM
. * * Re: Some differences in the new runs... Stevenotloggedin   Mon Sep 30 2002 07:35 PM
. * * Kyle Brett   Mon Sep 30 2002 07:18 PM
. * * New Iberia jth   Mon Sep 30 2002 05:36 PM

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