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#95L in the Tropical Atlantic with now 80% NHC odds of becoming a Tropical Cyclone. Those in the Lesser Antilles should watch closely.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 302 (Idalia) , Major: 302 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 302 (Idalia) Major: 302 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback
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HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
lili threatens, kyle toys
      Mon Sep 30 2002 02:39 PM

ill be checking my intensity against fixes over the next 60hr.. by the time lili is making landfall i should be on the road back home... but until then, betting i wont be off by more than 8mb/15mph. give or take 50miles on the landfall point, if i have to make any corrections i'd expect to nudge it east.. but doubt i'll be going past say atchafalaya bay.
kyle just did the center reform stunt... now it's a complex system that, as scott alluded to.. could possibly get under the westerlies. funny how the center reform has made the anticyclonic loop prediction come true.. in a mishmosh fashion. sunk the eightball, but wrong pocket. anyhow im not expecting kyle to move much for the next 24hrs.. and even if it does go east, it might not get taken out, just dragged some and then dropped.
94L.. spitting out low level swirls. exactly what is going on under the remaining convection is unsure but probably nothing.. we are probably watching this invest in its death throes. interestingly, ive got an inkling that an itcz wave may be forming near 9N54W. take a look on visible closeups and youll see what i'm getting at. yeah, probably nothing, but if it isnt.. you know.
have a good day, and smile shawn, the bullseye is close to you this time. dont think youll get a direct hit, but could be in on some of the action.
HF 1836z30september

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch CFHCAdministrator Mon Sep 30 2002 02:39 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch dennis   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch Brad in Miami   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch dennis   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:03 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch Brad in Miami   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:08 PM
. * * Couple of Site Fixes MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 30 2002 02:34 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch MikeB   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:50 PM
. * * Predictions Brett   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Predictions Steve H.   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:47 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now A Hurricane. Rich B   Mon Sep 30 2002 11:57 AM
. * * Strike Possibilities..... Colleen A.   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:43 PM
. * * Wassup Guru Colleen? Steve   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:57 PM
. * * Silent ShawnS   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:10 PM
. * * Colleen.......HEY SHAWN Frank P   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:53 PM
. * * Hey Frank P.. Houstontracker   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:29 PM
. * * Re: Hey Frank P.. scottsvb   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:51 PM
. * * lili threatens, kyle toys HanKFranK   Mon Sep 30 2002 02:39 PM
. * * Re: Hey Frank P.. Frank P   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:45 PM
. * * Some differences in the new runs... Steve   Mon Sep 30 2002 02:45 PM
. * * Re: Some differences in the new runs... Stevenotloggedin   Mon Sep 30 2002 03:35 PM
. * * Kyle Brett   Mon Sep 30 2002 03:18 PM
. * * New Iberia jth   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:36 PM

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