We all like to look at the wobbles we see in the satellite images and think they represent a long term change. We just have to be a little patient and see. The timing of the weakening of high pressure north of the storm, the speed of forward motion of Rita and how quickly the next trough drifts east will determine the outcome. And yes the latest models look like the storm may be towards the right (North ) of the guidance.
Weakening is a tougher question - eyewall replacement doesn't necessarily mean the overall storm energy is decreased as the wind field can expand - But as the storm turns more northward the protected environment over the warmest gulf waters with an upper level anti-cyclone will slowly be lost - I would guess a scenario similar to Katrina - a devastating major hurricane but prob not Cat 5 at landfall
0 registered and 92 anonymous users are browsing this forum.
Moderator:
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 70676
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center
Previous
Index
Next
Flat
Re: Category 5 Hurricane Rtia Moves Westward in the Gulf
Edit
Reply
Quote
