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HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA. HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. #RAFAEL
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 25 (Milton) , Major: 25 (Milton) Florida - Any: 25 (Milton) Major: 25 (Milton)
Rem Patty
ADV#10 11:00 am EDT
38.5N 16.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
Ene at 17 mph
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Td#18
ADV#4A 12:00 pm EDT
15.1N 76.4W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
N at 9 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback
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jth
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 275
Re: Climatology
      Tue Oct 01 2002 04:58 PM

I don't think they were too far west, but I think they should have extended them a little further east. With a storm this powerful, why take chances. All of the models have Lili turning northeast either just before or immediately after landfall. Hypothetically, this turn could occur 12- 24 hours earlier than expected and poof a landfall in MS or even AL without enough time to evacuate. Poor judgment in my opinion. I grew up on the coast and I know how people are. Now that they have been basically given the all clear, they will not be prepared if a sudden change occurs.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Lili Near Cuba MikeCAdministrator Tue Oct 01 2002 04:58 PM
. * * worrisome things HanKFranK   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:15 PM
. * * Re: worrisome things Justin in Miami   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:28 PM
. * * Re: Lili Near Cuba game 1   Tue Oct 01 2002 08:48 PM
. * * Re: Lili Near Cuba bobby   Tue Oct 01 2002 08:25 PM
. * * 3 YEARS IN A ROW (NOT!!!) WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Oct 01 2002 08:38 PM
. * * Yeah you right, Richie... Steve   Tue Oct 01 2002 09:16 PM
. * * wow........... Southern4sure   Tue Oct 01 2002 09:28 PM
. * * Re: wow........... windblown   Tue Oct 01 2002 09:47 PM
. * * Re: wow........... tom5r   Tue Oct 01 2002 09:55 PM
. * * On-line media for LA joepub1   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:07 PM
. * * Lake Charles-No shelters joepub1   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:26 PM
. * * 11pm Update WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:32 PM
. * * Re: 11pm Update joepub1   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:11 PM
. * * Re: 11pm Update RickinMobile   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:17 PM
. * * Re: 11pm Update Justin in Miami   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:27 PM
. * * Re: 11pm Update joepub1   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:40 PM
. * * New Orleans could get smashed.......sure could rickinmobile   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:50 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans could get smashed.......sure could Domino   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:59 PM
. * * when Andrew hit Rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 12:07 AM
. * * Re: when Andrew hit (the conspiracy) HanKFranK   Wed Oct 02 2002 01:19 AM
. * * New Orleans? Rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:33 AM
. * * Andrew Cover-up Tony   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:40 AM
. * * Re: Andrew Cover-up troy2   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:01 AM
. * * Re: Andrew Cover-up jth   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:23 AM
. * * Re: Andrew Cover-up Tony   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:37 AM
. * * Re: Andrew Cover-up troy2   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:16 AM
. * * Re: Andrew Cover-up Tony   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Andrew Cover-up FlaRebel   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:32 AM
. * * Re: New Orleans? Hurric   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:36 AM
. * * Re: when Andrew hit BillD   Wed Oct 02 2002 12:53 AM
. * * latest recon HanKFranK   Wed Oct 02 2002 01:53 AM
. * * Re: latest recon Domino   Wed Oct 02 2002 03:51 AM
. * * Re: 11:03pm Update troy2   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:25 PM
. * * Re: 11pm Update anon(ShawnS)   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:59 PM
. * * Re: 11pm Update Mary K.   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:07 PM
. * * Re: 11pm Update tom5r   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:51 PM
. * * wow Southern4sure   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:57 PM
. * * Re: wow Southern4sure   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:02 PM
. * * Re: wow BillD   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:25 PM
. * * Reminds me of Andrew LoisCane   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:41 PM
. * * Re: Reminds me of Andrew BillD   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:07 PM
. * * Re: Reminds me of Andrew dudewheresmycar?   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Reminds me of Andrew Justin in Miami   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:50 PM
. * * Re: wow........... BillD   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:06 PM
. * * Re: wow........... kyle   Tue Oct 01 2002 09:52 PM
. * * New Orleans and Evacuation Routes and Times Justin in Miami   Tue Oct 01 2002 09:26 PM
. * * Justin... Steve   Tue Oct 01 2002 09:51 PM
. * * Re: Lili Near Cuba bobby   Tue Oct 01 2002 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Lili Near Cuba game   Tue Oct 01 2002 04:06 PM
. * * Re: Lili Near Cuba dennis   Tue Oct 01 2002 03:19 PM
. * * and something even more different troy2   Tue Oct 01 2002 03:22 PM
. * * Re: and something even more different troy2   Tue Oct 01 2002 03:25 PM
. * * Re: and something even more different HanKFranK   Tue Oct 01 2002 03:42 PM
. * * Re: and something even more different Bill   Tue Oct 01 2002 03:40 PM
. * * Re: and something even more different VolusiaMike   Tue Oct 01 2002 03:51 PM
. * * Alice update Bill   Tue Oct 01 2002 03:43 PM
. * * Re: Alice update troy2   Tue Oct 01 2002 03:50 PM
. * * Re: Alice update troy2   Tue Oct 01 2002 03:52 PM
. * * Re: Alice update Bill   Tue Oct 01 2002 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Alice update caneman   Tue Oct 01 2002 04:04 PM
. * * and something even more different troy2   Tue Oct 01 2002 03:21 PM
. * * Hurricane from NE in jan in Miami? Repost for visbility.... Bill   Tue Oct 01 2002 02:12 PM
. * * Re: Lili Near Cuba Bill   Tue Oct 01 2002 01:53 PM
. * * Re: Lili Cat 2 at 1400 10/1/02 Bill   Tue Oct 01 2002 01:52 PM
. * * Hurricane that struck Miami from NE in january? Bill   Tue Oct 01 2002 01:48 PM
. * * Lilli Cat 2 at 1400 10/1/02 Bill   Tue Oct 01 2002 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Lilli now Cat 2 Bill   Tue Oct 01 2002 01:49 PM
. * * Don't Count Kyle Out!! tom   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Don't Count Kyle Out!! Justin in Miami   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:17 AM
. * * Lili Cat 2 at 1400 10/1/02 Bill   Tue Oct 01 2002 01:51 PM
. * * Lil's collapsing eyewall? Rich B   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:23 AM
. * * Lilly and Isidore usufruct   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:23 AM
. * * Re: Lili Near Cuba BabyCat   Tue Oct 01 2002 09:23 AM
. * * Models jth   Tue Oct 01 2002 09:36 AM
. * * Re: Models Frank P   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:38 AM
. * * nhc Frank P   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:00 AM
. * * should have made a track... HanKFranK   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:25 AM
. * * My call... Unlogged Steve   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:18 AM
. * * Re: My call... tom5r   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:45 AM
. * * Re: moving over Cuba tom5r   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:59 AM
. * * Re: moving over Cuba garyb   Tue Oct 01 2002 01:42 PM
. * * Re: moving over Cuba joepub1   Tue Oct 01 2002 02:18 PM
. * * Hey garyb Frank P   Tue Oct 01 2002 01:46 PM
. * * Definitely a jog to the north Frank P   Tue Oct 01 2002 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Definitely a jog to the north Bill   Tue Oct 01 2002 02:01 PM
. * * Re: Definitely a jog to the north Frank P   Tue Oct 01 2002 02:20 PM
. * * RE: Lousiana landfalls.... Bill   Tue Oct 01 2002 02:29 PM
. * * Hum the Jaws Themesong... Unlogged Steve   Tue Oct 01 2002 03:11 PM
. * * Re: Hum the Jaws Themesong... Frank P   Tue Oct 01 2002 03:56 PM
. * * Re: moving over Cuba Frank P   Tue Oct 01 2002 01:37 PM
. * * Re: moving over Cuba tom5r   Tue Oct 01 2002 01:54 PM
. * * Climatology jth   Tue Oct 01 2002 12:52 PM
. * * Re: Climatology Brad in Miami   Tue Oct 01 2002 12:54 PM
. * * Re: Climatology jth   Tue Oct 01 2002 12:59 PM
. * * Re: Climatology jth   Tue Oct 01 2002 01:04 PM
. * * Re: Climatology FlaRebel   Tue Oct 01 2002 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Climatology chevyman   Tue Oct 01 2002 04:11 PM
. * * Re: Climatology caneman   Tue Oct 01 2002 04:23 PM
. * * Re: Climatology hurricanefreak   Tue Oct 01 2002 04:35 PM
. * * TPC acknowledges the NW movement, but moves track further west in 48 hours (near Lake Charles)... Unloggedsteve   Tue Oct 01 2002 04:47 PM
. * * Re: TPC acknowledges the NW movement, but moves track further west in 48 hours (near Lake Charles)... Anonymous   Tue Oct 01 2002 05:01 PM
. * * Re: TPC acknowledges the NW movement, but moves track further west in 48 hours (near Lake Charles)... Kevin   Tue Oct 01 2002 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Climatology kyle   Tue Oct 01 2002 04:46 PM
. * * Re: Climatology jth   Tue Oct 01 2002 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Climatology joepub1   Tue Oct 01 2002 05:19 PM
. * * Here's what I think they're doing... Steve-unplugged   Tue Oct 01 2002 05:25 PM
. * * The alternative... Steve-unplugged   Tue Oct 01 2002 05:28 PM
. * * Re: The alternative... BabyCat at work   Tue Oct 01 2002 06:12 PM
. * * Re: The alternative... Frank J P   Tue Oct 01 2002 06:30 PM
. * * hell no to N.O. (the saints will play) Anon (HF)   Tue Oct 01 2002 07:05 PM
. * * Going more to the west right now... HEY SHAWN.... FJP   Tue Oct 01 2002 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Going more to the west right now... HEY SHAWN.... Houstontracker   Tue Oct 01 2002 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Going more to the west right now... HEY SHAWN.... Frank P   Tue Oct 01 2002 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Going more to the west right now... HEY SHAWN.... joepub1   Tue Oct 01 2002 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Going more to the west right now... HEY SHAWN.... joepub1   Tue Oct 01 2002 08:51 PM
. * * joepub1.... Frank P   Tue Oct 01 2002 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Going more to the west right now... HEY SHAWN.... joepub1   Tue Oct 01 2002 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Going more to the west right now... HEY SHAWN.... Frank P   Tue Oct 01 2002 08:22 PM
. * * Re: The alternative... tom5r   Tue Oct 01 2002 05:36 PM
. * * Re: The alternative... BabyCat at work   Tue Oct 01 2002 05:57 PM
. * * What are the chances..... Southern4sure   Tue Oct 01 2002 06:09 PM
. * * Re: Climatology BabyCat at work   Tue Oct 01 2002 05:25 PM
. * * Re: Climatology joepub1   Tue Oct 01 2002 06:04 PM
. * * Kyle getting stronger joepub1   Tue Oct 01 2002 04:46 PM
. * * Kyle! Rasvar   Tue Oct 01 2002 01:12 PM
. * * Hey Steve...... Frank P   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:23 AM
. * * Re: Hey Steve...... turkeyman   Tue Oct 01 2002 04:02 PM
. * * Re: nhc JustMe   Tue Oct 01 2002 11:16 AM
. * * Re: Models tom5r   Tue Oct 01 2002 10:04 AM

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