Rita IS tracking right of the forecast track, but it is also PARALLELING it at the moment
if two cars are travelling north, and one is to the east, that does not mean that the one on the right is moving northeast, such is the same for the hurricanes track
it WOBBLED off of the forecast path, and is now paralleling it, that does not mean by any means that it is moving NNW or it would still be getting farther off the track. The fact that it is moving away from the initial point (which any non-stalled storm would do) is confusing people since there is no forecast track line on the satellite loops. NW movement? yes, but not NNW. there is a difference
It is also of note that warm water is not the only factor in intensification--there is a lot of dry air ahead of Rita, and the western Gulf at the moment has a lot of southerly shear in it, which the hurricane will be entering in another 12-24 hours
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