Invest 95L in the Tropical Atlantic now has a 90% chance to develop over the next 7 days, and a 70% chance to do so in the next 48 hours. Recon scheduled for Sunday morning.a
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
302 (Idalia)
, Major:
302 (Idalia)
Florida - Any: 302 (Idalia)
Major:
302 (Idalia)
It looks like she's already starting to respond to the eddy. Look at the convection spreading and increasing to the north and east and wraping around the south. The west is still intensifying as it's still over the loop current. If she completes the ERC while over the eddy, she might be able to regain her strength from last night.
I'm surprised she hasn't regained cat 5 intensity already, honestly. The last several hours on IR have been VERY impressive.
Max Mayfield on CNN just said he expects it to strengthen overnight.
-------------------- Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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