Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 26 (Milton) , Major: 26 (Milton) Florida - Any: 26 (Milton) Major: 26 (Milton)

NEWS

CURRENT STORMS

ADV#10 11:00 am EDT

Click for Storm Spotlight

ADV#5A 6:00 pm EDT

Click for Storm Spotlight

HypeScale: 4

COMMUNICATION

STORM DATA

CONTENT

FOLLOW US

National Hurricane Center

You are not logged in. [Login]

Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

HanKFranK
User

Reged:
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

worrisome things
Tue Oct 01 2002 10:15 PM

lili's appearance has improved dramatically since this morning. eye is now well cut, cdo a more circular ring. its really hard to predict how strong these things will get.. think this may max offshore as ssts will drop slightly near landfall. of course the bastardi gradient crunch effect could counter this or overrule it. will see.
the way i figure it, lili is dropping 20mb every 24hr. assume early landfall and put the storm in in 36 (thursday late morning).. and the storm is 30mb deeper.. 938mb at the overall rate of deepening. now consider.. lili is crossing the open gulf and will not have to contend with land.. and will probably get closer to 42hrs over the ocean... this could be a very mature hurricane.
kyle is my other note. still partially exposed low level center but much improved appearance since this morning, as with lili. convection is now almost half way around the llc.. should slowly intensify and begin to crawl westward under the ridge by tomorrow. so i think.
94L.. sputtering, maybe still going to try something.
nothing else looks any good tonight in the basin.. but with lili its not like anyone notices that.
by the way, steve, got my road atlas out and studied the louisiana coastline. i think youre too far east. but then again im probably too far west. though i'm not changing my beaumont take, lili may well come in between... cameron or vemillion parish. not much in the way of populace down there.. im sure they know to get out of the bayou when one of these babies comes roaring up out of the gulf.
beaumont, lake charles, lafayette.. one of these cities stands to take considerable damage from this storm.
HF 0209z02october

Post Extras

Print Post

Remind Me!

Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Lili Near Cuba	MikeC	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:15 PM
worrisome things	HanKFranK	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:15 PM
Re: worrisome things	Justin in Miami	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:28 PM
Re: Lili Near Cuba	game 1	Tue Oct 01 2002 08:48 PM
Re: Lili Near Cuba	bobby	Tue Oct 01 2002 08:25 PM
3 YEARS IN A ROW (NOT!!!)	WXMAN RICHIE	Tue Oct 01 2002 08:38 PM
Yeah you right, Richie...	Steve	Tue Oct 01 2002 09:16 PM
wow...........	Southern4sure	Tue Oct 01 2002 09:28 PM
Re: wow...........	windblown	Tue Oct 01 2002 09:47 PM
Re: wow...........	tom5r	Tue Oct 01 2002 09:55 PM
On-line media for LA	joepub1	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:07 PM
Lake Charles-No shelters	joepub1	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:26 PM
11pm Update	WXMAN RICHIE	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:32 PM
Re: 11pm Update	joepub1	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:11 PM
Re: 11pm Update	RickinMobile	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:17 PM
Re: 11pm Update	Justin in Miami	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:27 PM
Re: 11pm Update	joepub1	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:40 PM
New Orleans could get smashed.......sure could	rickinmobile	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:50 PM
Re: New Orleans could get smashed.......sure could	Domino	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:59 PM
when Andrew hit	Rickinmobile	Wed Oct 02 2002 12:07 AM
Re: when Andrew hit (the conspiracy)	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 02 2002 01:19 AM
New Orleans?	Rickinmobile	Wed Oct 02 2002 07:33 AM
Andrew Cover-up	Tony	Wed Oct 02 2002 08:40 AM
Re: Andrew Cover-up	troy2	Wed Oct 02 2002 09:01 AM
Re: Andrew Cover-up	jth	Wed Oct 02 2002 09:23 AM
Re: Andrew Cover-up	Tony	Wed Oct 02 2002 09:37 AM
Re: Andrew Cover-up	troy2	Wed Oct 02 2002 09:16 AM
Re: Andrew Cover-up	Tony	Wed Oct 02 2002 09:30 AM
Re: Andrew Cover-up	FlaRebel	Wed Oct 02 2002 09:32 AM
Re: New Orleans?	Hurric	Wed Oct 02 2002 08:36 AM
Re: when Andrew hit	BillD	Wed Oct 02 2002 12:53 AM
latest recon	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 02 2002 01:53 AM
Re: latest recon	Domino	Wed Oct 02 2002 03:51 AM
Re: 11:03pm Update	troy2	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:25 PM
Re: 11pm Update	anon(ShawnS)	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:59 PM
Re: 11pm Update	Mary K.	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:07 PM
Re: 11pm Update	tom5r	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:51 PM
wow	Southern4sure	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:57 PM
Re: wow	Southern4sure	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:02 PM
Re: wow	BillD	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:25 PM
Reminds me of Andrew	LoisCane	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:41 PM
Re: Reminds me of Andrew	BillD	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:07 PM
Re: Reminds me of Andrew	dudewheresmycar?	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:51 PM
Re: Reminds me of Andrew	Justin in Miami	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:50 PM
Re: wow...........	BillD	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:06 PM
Re: wow...........	kyle	Tue Oct 01 2002 09:52 PM
New Orleans and Evacuation Routes and Times	Justin in Miami	Tue Oct 01 2002 09:26 PM
Justin...	Steve	Tue Oct 01 2002 09:51 PM
Re: Lili Near Cuba	bobby	Tue Oct 01 2002 04:58 PM
Re: Lili Near Cuba	game	Tue Oct 01 2002 04:06 PM
Re: Lili Near Cuba	dennis	Tue Oct 01 2002 03:19 PM
and something even more different	troy2	Tue Oct 01 2002 03:22 PM
Re: and something even more different	troy2	Tue Oct 01 2002 03:25 PM
Re: and something even more different	HanKFranK	Tue Oct 01 2002 03:42 PM
Re: and something even more different	Bill	Tue Oct 01 2002 03:40 PM
Re: and something even more different	VolusiaMike	Tue Oct 01 2002 03:51 PM
Alice update	Bill	Tue Oct 01 2002 03:43 PM
Re: Alice update	troy2	Tue Oct 01 2002 03:50 PM
Re: Alice update	troy2	Tue Oct 01 2002 03:52 PM
Re: Alice update	Bill	Tue Oct 01 2002 03:58 PM
Re: Alice update	caneman	Tue Oct 01 2002 04:04 PM
and something even more different	troy2	Tue Oct 01 2002 03:21 PM
Hurricane from NE in jan in Miami? Repost for visbility....	Bill	Tue Oct 01 2002 02:12 PM
Re: Lili Near Cuba	Bill	Tue Oct 01 2002 01:53 PM
Re: Lili Cat 2 at 1400 10/1/02	Bill	Tue Oct 01 2002 01:52 PM
Hurricane that struck Miami from NE in january?	Bill	Tue Oct 01 2002 01:48 PM
Lilli Cat 2 at 1400 10/1/02	Bill	Tue Oct 01 2002 01:50 PM
Re: Lilli now Cat 2	Bill	Tue Oct 01 2002 01:49 PM
Don't Count Kyle Out!!	tom	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:46 AM
Re: Don't Count Kyle Out!!	Justin in Miami	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:17 AM
Lili Cat 2 at 1400 10/1/02	Bill	Tue Oct 01 2002 01:51 PM
Lil's collapsing eyewall?	Rich B	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:23 AM
Lilly and Isidore	usufruct	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:23 AM
Re: Lili Near Cuba	BabyCat	Tue Oct 01 2002 09:23 AM
Models	jth	Tue Oct 01 2002 09:36 AM
Re: Models	Frank P	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:38 AM
nhc	Frank P	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:00 AM
should have made a track...	HanKFranK	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:25 AM
My call...	Unlogged Steve	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:18 AM
Re: My call...	tom5r	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:45 AM
Re: moving over Cuba	tom5r	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:59 AM
Re: moving over Cuba	garyb	Tue Oct 01 2002 01:42 PM
Re: moving over Cuba	joepub1	Tue Oct 01 2002 02:18 PM
Hey garyb	Frank P	Tue Oct 01 2002 01:46 PM
Definitely a jog to the north	Frank P	Tue Oct 01 2002 01:54 PM
Re: Definitely a jog to the north	Bill	Tue Oct 01 2002 02:01 PM
Re: Definitely a jog to the north	Frank P	Tue Oct 01 2002 02:20 PM
RE: Lousiana landfalls....	Bill	Tue Oct 01 2002 02:29 PM
Hum the Jaws Themesong...	Unlogged Steve	Tue Oct 01 2002 03:11 PM
Re: Hum the Jaws Themesong...	Frank P	Tue Oct 01 2002 03:56 PM
Re: moving over Cuba	Frank P	Tue Oct 01 2002 01:37 PM
Re: moving over Cuba	tom5r	Tue Oct 01 2002 01:54 PM
Climatology	jth	Tue Oct 01 2002 12:52 PM
Re: Climatology	Brad in Miami	Tue Oct 01 2002 12:54 PM
Re: Climatology	jth	Tue Oct 01 2002 12:59 PM
Re: Climatology	jth	Tue Oct 01 2002 01:04 PM
Re: Climatology	FlaRebel	Tue Oct 01 2002 01:50 PM
Re: Climatology	chevyman	Tue Oct 01 2002 04:11 PM
Re: Climatology	caneman	Tue Oct 01 2002 04:23 PM
Re: Climatology	hurricanefreak	Tue Oct 01 2002 04:35 PM
TPC acknowledges the NW movement, but moves track further west in 48 hours (near Lake Charles)...	Unloggedsteve	Tue Oct 01 2002 04:47 PM
Re: TPC acknowledges the NW movement, but moves track further west in 48 hours (near Lake Charles)...	Anonymous	Tue Oct 01 2002 05:01 PM
Re: TPC acknowledges the NW movement, but moves track further west in 48 hours (near Lake Charles)...	Kevin	Tue Oct 01 2002 05:03 PM
Re: Climatology	kyle	Tue Oct 01 2002 04:46 PM
Re: Climatology	jth	Tue Oct 01 2002 04:58 PM
Re: Climatology	joepub1	Tue Oct 01 2002 05:19 PM
Here's what I think they're doing...	Steve-unplugged	Tue Oct 01 2002 05:25 PM
The alternative...	Steve-unplugged	Tue Oct 01 2002 05:28 PM
Re: The alternative...	BabyCat at work	Tue Oct 01 2002 06:12 PM
Re: The alternative...	Frank J P	Tue Oct 01 2002 06:30 PM
hell no to N.O. (the saints will play)	Anon (HF)	Tue Oct 01 2002 07:05 PM
Going more to the west right now... HEY SHAWN....	FJP	Tue Oct 01 2002 07:57 PM
Re: Going more to the west right now... HEY SHAWN....	Houstontracker	Tue Oct 01 2002 08:24 PM
Re: Going more to the west right now... HEY SHAWN....	Frank P	Tue Oct 01 2002 08:54 PM
Re: Going more to the west right now... HEY SHAWN....	joepub1	Tue Oct 01 2002 09:02 PM
Re: Going more to the west right now... HEY SHAWN....	joepub1	Tue Oct 01 2002 08:51 PM
joepub1....	Frank P	Tue Oct 01 2002 09:03 PM
Re: Going more to the west right now... HEY SHAWN....	joepub1	Tue Oct 01 2002 08:09 PM
Re: Going more to the west right now... HEY SHAWN....	Frank P	Tue Oct 01 2002 08:22 PM
Re: The alternative...	tom5r	Tue Oct 01 2002 05:36 PM
Re: The alternative...	BabyCat at work	Tue Oct 01 2002 05:57 PM
What are the chances.....	Southern4sure	Tue Oct 01 2002 06:09 PM
Re: Climatology	BabyCat at work	Tue Oct 01 2002 05:25 PM
Re: Climatology	joepub1	Tue Oct 01 2002 06:04 PM
Kyle getting stronger	joepub1	Tue Oct 01 2002 04:46 PM
Kyle!	Rasvar	Tue Oct 01 2002 01:12 PM
Hey Steve......	Frank P	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:23 AM
Re: Hey Steve......	turkeyman	Tue Oct 01 2002 04:02 PM
Re: nhc	JustMe	Tue Oct 01 2002 11:16 AM
Re: Models	tom5r	Tue Oct 01 2002 10:04 AM

Extra information

0 registered and 47 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:

Thread views: 53013

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center