You just posted, "On Rita: the last two hours of sat loops and radar show a serious jog north...overall slightly west of north."
This is the kind of thing that gets a lot of people aggravated here. All you'd have to do is put the edge of a piece of paper against your monitor screen to realize that that statement above is just false. And the reason why it gets people aggravated is that this stuff matters a lot. The storm is going exactly where the NHC has it forecast to go - on a line straight toward the LA/TX border.
Everyone needs to stop imagining curves that aren't there and stop extrapolating short-term jogs into greater trends. Most of us have seen enough hurricanes to know better.
Michael Cash (of the newly reflooded town of New Orleans)
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