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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks
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recmod
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 188
Loc: Orlando, FL
Rita's Intensity
      Fri Sep 23 2005 04:59 PM

Well, it looks as if the downgrade to a Cat 3 may have been premature. No sooner did they downgrade when recon found 129kt winds which would correlate to 135 at the surface. The central pressure has actually dropped a tad and the satellite presentation has DRAMATICALLY improved in the past 3 hours. The earlier dry-air intrusion observed has since been mixed out and the convection has blossomed with a much larger CDO with colder cloud tops.

Even the 5pm discussion hints at the fact that Rita may be intensifying. They stated that objective T-Numbers have started to come up, indicating winds are stronger than the quoted 125mph in the latest advisory. As usual, the NHC is taking the conservative road, stating that they are waiting for a trend before officially declaring Rita as a stronger hurricane.

I think they are trying to avoid the negative emotional impact of declaring Rita as once again attaining Cat 4 status unless absolutely necessary.

--Lou

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas/Louisiana Border MikeCAdministrator Fri Sep 23 2005 04:59 PM
. * * Size of wind field hawg92   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas n1unicorn   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas LisaMaria65   Fri Sep 23 2005 09:04 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas teal61   Fri Sep 23 2005 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas jlauderdal   Fri Sep 23 2005 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas Psyber   Fri Sep 23 2005 09:11 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas lunkerhunter   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas lunkerhunter   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas JYarsh   Fri Sep 23 2005 02:55 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas zmdz01   Fri Sep 23 2005 03:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 03:10 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas zmdz01   Fri Sep 23 2005 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas garrison   Fri Sep 23 2005 03:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas Tazmanian93   Fri Sep 23 2005 03:16 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 03:20 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas Allison   Fri Sep 23 2005 04:03 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas oil trader   Fri Sep 23 2005 04:42 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas pcola   Fri Sep 23 2005 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas nate77   Fri Sep 23 2005 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas BabyCat   Fri Sep 23 2005 04:08 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas mr jimmy   Fri Sep 23 2005 04:23 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas nate77   Fri Sep 23 2005 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 03:43 PM
. * * TS Philippe Ryan   Fri Sep 23 2005 03:46 PM
. * * Re: TS Philippe typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 03:48 PM
. * * RITA running into a brick wall of dry air NorEaster   Fri Sep 23 2005 01:23 PM
. * * News from Houston Allison   Fri Sep 23 2005 01:48 PM
. * * Re: News from Houston Psyber   Fri Sep 23 2005 02:02 PM
. * * Pressure Drops along the Coast of Texas NorEaster   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:27 AM
. * * Re: Pressure Drops along the Coast of Texas typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:44 AM
. * * Re: You read things that just make you wonder MapMaster   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:07 AM
. * * Re: Pressure Drops along the Coast of Texas Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:49 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas lunkerhunter   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:48 AM
. * * NHC Rick on boat in Mobile   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:44 AM
. * * Re: NHC rhendryx   Fri Sep 23 2005 09:11 AM
. * * Re: NHC SMOKE   Fri Sep 23 2005 09:35 AM
. * * Re: NHC nate77   Fri Sep 23 2005 09:59 AM
. * * Re: NHC Genesis   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:09 AM
. * * under 24 til landfall HanKFranK   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:24 AM
. * * Re: NHC Rabbit   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:16 AM
. * * Re: NHC The Force 2005   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:17 AM
. * * CNN News Alert Lsr1166   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:38 AM
. * * Re: CNN News Alert Tazmanian93   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:13 AM
. * * Re: CNN News Alert BabyCat   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:12 AM
. * * Re: CNN News Alert Margie   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:44 AM
. * * Re: CNN News Alert nate77   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:44 AM
. * * Re: CNN News Alert ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:50 AM
. * * Re: NHC nate77   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:12 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas Margie   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:16 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas nate77   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:22 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas jth   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:23 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas NewWatcher   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:29 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas Susan in Jupiter, FL   Fri Sep 23 2005 09:31 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas tpratch   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas pcola   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:17 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas clyde w.   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:23 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas pryord1   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:13 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:19 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas jth   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:25 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas jth   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas pryord1   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:51 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas *DELETED* funky   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:59 AM
. * * Funky.... Rick on boat in Mobile   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Funky.... rmcinorlando   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:10 AM
. * * Re: Funky.... funky   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:15 AM
. * * direction? Rick on boat in Mobile   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:13 AM
. * * Re: direction? funky   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:23 AM
. * * Re: direction? andy1tom   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:35 AM
. * * Re: direction? Steve H1   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:30 AM
. * * Re: direction? funky   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:28 AM
. * * Re: direction? Margie   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:34 AM
. * * Re: direction? pryord1   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:45 AM
. * * Re: direction? doug   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:44 AM
. * * Re: direction? typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:50 AM
. * * Re: direction? Kimberley Clark   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:12 PM
. * * Re: direction? typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:21 PM
. * * Re: direction? Kimberley Clark   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:46 PM
. * * LAST LITTLE BIT Rick on boat in Mobile   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:19 PM
. * * new frame now shows back west Rick on boat in Mobile   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:22 PM
. * * Re: new frame now shows back west typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:37 PM
. * * Re: new frame now shows back west tpratch   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:40 PM
. * * Re: direction? *DELETED* *DELETED* ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:43 AM
. * * Re: direction? *DELETED* Wxwatcher2   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:59 PM
. * * Re: direction? SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2005 01:02 PM
. * * Re: direction? MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2005 01:05 PM
. * * Re: direction? The Force 2005   Fri Sep 23 2005 01:15 PM
. * * Re: direction? funky   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:36 AM
. * * Re: direction? typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:46 AM
. * * Re: direction? doug   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:53 AM
. * * Re: direction? Genesis   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:59 AM
. * * Re: direction? pcola   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:07 PM
. * * Re: direction? pryord1   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:05 PM
. * * Re: direction? *DELETED* ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:56 AM
. * * Re: direction? rmcinorlando   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:10 PM
. * * Re: direction? bucagator   Fri Sep 23 2005 01:00 PM
. * * Re: direction? *DELETED* ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:19 PM
. * * Re: direction? rmcinorlando   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:26 PM
. * * Re: direction? Psyber   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:40 PM
. * * Re: levees carolt   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:52 PM
. * * Re: direction? The Force 2005   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:48 PM
. * * Re: direction? Terra   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:55 PM
. * * Re: direction? doug   Fri Sep 23 2005 01:17 PM
. * * Re: direction? Hootowl   Fri Sep 23 2005 01:05 PM
. * * Re: direction? pryord1   Fri Sep 23 2005 01:02 PM
. * * Re: direction? pryord1   Fri Sep 23 2005 01:01 PM
. * * Re: direction? The Force 2005   Fri Sep 23 2005 01:06 PM
. * * Re: direction? typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 01:31 PM
. * * Re: developing system doug   Fri Sep 23 2005 01:42 PM
. * * Re: developing system Cash   Fri Sep 23 2005 01:52 PM
. * * Re: developing system zmdz01   Fri Sep 23 2005 02:18 PM
. * * Re: developing system HURRICANELONNY   Fri Sep 23 2005 02:58 PM
. * * Re: developing system HURRICANELONNY   Fri Sep 23 2005 03:02 PM
. * * Re: developing system pryord1   Fri Sep 23 2005 02:29 PM
. * * Re: developing system typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 02:26 PM
. * * Re: developing system Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Fri Sep 23 2005 02:05 PM
. * * Re: developing system bobbutts   Fri Sep 23 2005 02:30 PM
. * * Unusual Outlook? Marianne   Fri Sep 23 2005 02:45 PM
. * * Re: Unusual Outlook? Margie   Fri Sep 23 2005 02:57 PM
. * * Re: Unusual Outlook? Marianne   Fri Sep 23 2005 04:11 PM
. * * Re: Unusual Outlook? Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Unusual Outlook? funky   Fri Sep 23 2005 04:37 PM
. * * Buoy 42001 zmdz01   Fri Sep 23 2005 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Buoy 42001 Psyber   Fri Sep 23 2005 04:50 PM
. * * Rita's Intensity recmod   Fri Sep 23 2005 04:59 PM
. * * Re: Rita's Intensity zacros   Fri Sep 23 2005 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Rita's Intensity Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 05:21 PM
. * * Re: Rita's Intensity Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 05:49 PM
. * * 18z GFS and NAM.... teal61   Fri Sep 23 2005 06:13 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 06:45 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 07:04 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... teal61   Fri Sep 23 2005 07:09 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 07:24 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 07:47 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 07:49 PM
. * * Hypothetical Landfall Location danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:06 PM
. * * Administrative Reminders Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:59 PM
. * * Max Mayfield tashina   Fri Sep 23 2005 09:12 PM
. * * Rita Postion Update danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Hypothetical Landfall Location oil trader   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Hypothetical Landfall Location danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:46 PM
. * * Re: Hypothetical Landfall Location nate77   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Hypothetical Landfall Location jmk818   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:42 PM
. * * Re: Hypothetical Landfall Location danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2005 09:12 PM
. * * Re: Hypothetical Landfall Location jmk818   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:34 PM
. * * Re: Hypothetical Landfall Location Allison   Fri Sep 23 2005 09:00 PM
. * * Re: Hypothetical Landfall Location... - gueswork Jonathan Franklin   Fri Sep 23 2005 09:04 PM
. * * Re: Hypothetical Landfall Location... - gueswork jlauderdal   Fri Sep 23 2005 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Hypothetical Landfall Location lunkerhunter   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:51 PM
. * * BALETED tpratch   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:46 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 07:57 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... Random Chaos   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:00 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:07 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... Dougyd   Fri Sep 23 2005 07:19 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2005 07:12 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... oil trader   Fri Sep 23 2005 07:18 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... UKCloudgazer   Fri Sep 23 2005 07:44 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... BabyCat   Fri Sep 23 2005 07:22 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... collegemom   Fri Sep 23 2005 07:37 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... nl   Fri Sep 23 2005 07:30 PM
. * * Re: 18z GFS and NAM.... danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2005 07:39 PM
. * * Specail Advisory cjzydeco   Fri Sep 23 2005 06:49 PM
. * * pressure readings BabyCat   Fri Sep 23 2005 07:06 PM
. * * Re: Rita's Intensity GuppieGrouper   Fri Sep 23 2005 06:08 PM
. * * Re: Rita's Intensity pcola   Fri Sep 23 2005 05:33 PM
. * * Latest Recon zmdz01   Fri Sep 23 2005 05:19 PM
. * * Re: developing system tpratch   Fri Sep 23 2005 02:13 PM
. * * Re: direction? tpratch   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:52 PM
. * * Re: direction? pryord1   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:32 PM
. * * Re: direction? rmcinorlando   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:39 PM
. * * Re: direction? BabyCat   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:43 PM
. * * Re: direction? SirCane   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:35 PM
. * * Re: direction? *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:31 PM
. * * Re: direction? *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* rwjaco19   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:36 PM
. * * Re: direction? tpratch   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:35 PM
. * * Re: direction? Sportsfreak1989s   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:52 PM
. * * Re: direction? MadDog   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:43 PM
. * * Re: direction? *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:46 PM
. * * Re: direction? rmcinorlando   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:53 PM
. * * Re: direction? ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:51 PM
. * * Re: direction? typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:45 PM
. * * Re: direction? Allison   Fri Sep 23 2005 01:19 PM
. * * Re: direction? jth   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:21 PM
. * * Re: direction? jth   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:17 PM
. * * Re: direction? typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 12:08 PM
. * * Re: direction? The Force 2005   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:31 AM
. * * Re: direction? funky   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:33 AM
. * * Re: direction? The Force 2005   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:17 AM
. * * Re: Funky.... pryord1   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:08 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas pryord1   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:21 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas Wxwatcher2   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:44 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas Rasvar   Fri Sep 23 2005 09:24 AM
. * * 5 large oil refineries Rick on boat in Mobile   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:51 AM
. * * Re: 5 large oil refineries Rick on boat in Mobile   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:55 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas nate77   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:39 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas Lee-Delray   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:40 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas Ormond Suzie   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:36 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas clyde w.   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:14 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas The Force 2005   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:21 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas clyde w.   Fri Sep 23 2005 10:33 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Rita Approaches Texas MadDog   Fri Sep 23 2005 08:40 AM

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