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I have been following this stuff since afternoon. Maybe it is me but posts make me very confused about what is really happening.

I need from some patient poster a very simply synthesis of what is going on to understand at least something:

a) It is right now weakening or strengthening?
b) What is more likely? Landfall at Cat 2 or Cat 4, or maybe still Cat 3
c) Track is NW or NNW?
d) Landfall closer to Port Arthur or Lake Charles?
e) Why electricity power is still up in all places?
f) What is that that after landfall the system can not go anywhere and perhaps return offshore through the same inverse line?

Thanks in advance

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A.Status quo maybe a little weaker

B.3 maybe a 2 but 4 very very unlikely very.

c.NW

d.inbetween but a jog may take it somewhere else.

E.Cause not enough winds to put it all out yet.

F. too tired and makes no sense.

G. My own sell your oil stocks they are droping

Ralph. That's pretty good. Go take a nap now.~danielw

F: The High Pressure system that is responsible for steering Rita into the coast. Has weakened. A trough (trof) of Low pressure west of Texas, presently, should move through and nudge Rita out of the area. BUT, the models aren't predicting that to happen for a while. Last check around 24-36 hours. That's probably where NWS is getting the rainfall amounts. One inch per hour for 24-36 hours is Way too much rainfall and water. Especailly when the rivers have crested in the 15-20 foot range.
Excuse the expression. Double Whammy or worst case scenario.~danielw

Edited by danielw (Fri Sep 23 2005 11:58 PM)

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