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Recon has departed Keesler to check out #93L in the SW Gulf. #92L is now just inland along SE GA coast. June systems can dump lots of rain.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 297 (Idalia) , Major: 297 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 297 (Idalia) Major: 297 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks
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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Re: Recon
      Sat Sep 24 2005 12:06 AM

Agreed.

While recon does show a trend of weakening which is basically negligible at this point, the wv sat images taken 15 min before and 15 min after the recon still show a very significant increase in convection in the core, which is just offshore.

Pressure is solidly in the Cat 4 range and the temp diff at the eyewall is still 6 deg. The limited Cat system has to officially stay at a 3 because it is based on the max sustained surface winds, but the strength of this storm still has potential beyond a Cat 3, of course in terms of surge, and I would assume in terms of localized wind gusts as well.

Starting about 30 to 60 minutes ago this powerful central area of convection was at the coast between Galveston and Intracoastal City, with what looks like the deepest area of convection about to hit right at the TX/LA state line. The convection is still very strong even over portion that extends the first 5 miles inland, probably because of the low marshy elevation.

Just pulled this from Jeff Master's Wunderground blog as it is applicable and does explain the increase in convection:

"Radar shows some very intense echoes in the northern eyewall smashing into the coast, and infrared satellite imagery confirms the presence of extremely cold cloud tops in the northern eyewall. It appears that the interaction of the eyewall with land is producing extra surface convergence of winds that is forcing up some strong updrafts, creating very high thunderstorm tops."

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp

Edited by Margie (Sat Sep 24 2005 12:20 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression MikeCAdministrator Sat Sep 24 2005 12:06 AM
. * * 99L Bloodstar   Mon Sep 26 2005 01:31 PM
. * * Re: 99L Margie   Mon Sep 26 2005 02:00 PM
. * * Re: 99L doug   Mon Sep 26 2005 04:11 PM
. * * Re: 99L HURRICANELONNY   Mon Sep 26 2005 04:44 PM
. * * Heading back to Abbeville heynow   Sun Sep 25 2005 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Heading back to Abbeville heynow   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:09 AM
. * * Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression Lee-Delray   Sun Sep 25 2005 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression Wxwatcher2   Sun Sep 25 2005 02:40 PM
. * * Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression GuppieGrouper   Sun Sep 25 2005 02:55 PM
. * * tornado time HanKFranK   Sun Sep 25 2005 04:04 PM
. * * Re: tornado time Margie   Sun Sep 25 2005 07:58 PM
. * * Re: tornado time Ryan   Sun Sep 25 2005 08:25 PM
. * * Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2005 07:28 AM
. * * Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression Catmando   Sun Sep 25 2005 09:06 AM
. * * Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression HURRICANELONNY   Sun Sep 25 2005 12:08 PM
. * * Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression pcola   Sun Sep 25 2005 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression Lee-Delray   Sun Sep 25 2005 07:15 PM
. * * Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression Random Chaos   Sun Sep 25 2005 06:33 PM
. * * last few days of september HanKFranK   Sun Sep 25 2005 01:33 PM
. * * Re: last few days of september danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2005 08:41 PM
. * * SE Texas danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2005 08:52 PM
. * * Re: SE Texas Storm Hunter   Mon Sep 26 2005 01:17 AM
. * * Re: last few days of september WeatherNut   Sun Sep 25 2005 01:38 PM
. * * Lull Random Chaos   Sun Sep 25 2005 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Lull Hootowl   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:11 AM
. * * i get it... HanKFranK   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:34 AM
. * * Re: i get it... Ed in Va   Mon Sep 26 2005 01:08 PM
. * * Re: i get it... twizted sizter   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:52 AM
. * * recon Thunderbird12   Mon Sep 26 2005 12:56 PM
. * * Re: i get it... doug   Mon Sep 26 2005 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Lull Ed in Va   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:25 AM
. * * Let's give NHC their props misunderestimator   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:33 PM
. * * Extended Models danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:51 PM
. * * Re: Extended Models CoalCracker   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:10 PM
. * * Re: Extended Models Sportsfreak1989s   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:32 PM
. * * Re: Extended Models mojorox   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:45 PM
. * * Re: Extended Models LoisCane   Sun Sep 25 2005 07:50 PM
. * * Re: Extended Models mojorox   Mon Sep 26 2005 01:17 AM
. * * Re: Extended Models Margie   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:09 AM
. * * ignoring the fat lady HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:56 PM
. * * Re: ignoring the fat lady danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2005 12:12 AM
. * * SW LA Roads danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 10:01 PM
. * * Rita now a Tropical Depression danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 10:46 PM
. * * Rita danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Rita BTfromAZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border hurricane expert   Sat Sep 24 2005 10:29 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border GuppieGrouper   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:23 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border collegemom   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:26 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border wiley   Sat Sep 24 2005 10:49 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border TheSkyGuy-in-OZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:21 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border bobbutts   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:27 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border bobbutts   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Margie   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border bobbutts   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border ralphfl   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border BTfromAZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:36 PM
. * * SE TX and SW Louisiana Update danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:49 PM
. * * Texas Oil and Gas Assoc. BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Clark   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:40 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Dawn   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:04 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Clark   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:43 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border collegemom   Sat Sep 24 2005 07:10 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border collegemom   Sat Sep 24 2005 07:42 PM
. * * Rita and cool front danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Sheeper   Sat Sep 24 2005 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border oil trader   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border GuppieGrouper   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border TheSkyGuy-in-OZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:57 AM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border JMII   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:36 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:59 PM
. * * onward then? HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:29 PM
. * * Freshwater canal locks carolt   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:49 PM
. * * Re: Freshwater canal locks Random Chaos   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:53 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border leetdan   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border dave foster   Sun Sep 25 2005 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Margie   Sun Sep 25 2005 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border dave foster   Mon Sep 26 2005 03:33 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Margie   Mon Sep 26 2005 04:11 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border dave foster   Mon Sep 26 2005 05:38 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border MapMaster   Mon Sep 26 2005 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Margie   Mon Sep 26 2005 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Sheeper   Mon Sep 26 2005 06:31 PM
. * * Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Sep 26 2005 05:26 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:12 PM
. * * Recon danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:21 PM
. * * Re: Recon typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:24 PM
. * * Re: Recon typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:26 PM
. * * Re: Recon Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Recon ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:22 PM
. * * Re: Recon oil trader   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:42 PM
. * * Re: Recon Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:54 PM
. * * Re: Recon ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:48 PM
. * * Re: Recon oil trader   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:00 AM
. * * Re: Recon ralphfl   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:07 AM
. * * Re: Recon Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:19 AM
. * * Re: Recon Random Chaos   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:43 AM
. * * Cameron danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:48 AM
. * * Re: Cameron LSUHurricane   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:57 AM
. * * Re: Cameron ralphfl   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:06 AM
. * * Re: Cameron Rad   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:05 AM
. * * Re: Cameron Rad   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:59 AM
. * * Re: Cameron Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:02 AM
. * * Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:08 AM
. * * Re: Cameron Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:24 AM
. * * Re: Cameron danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:17 AM
. * * rita delivers HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:41 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:44 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:51 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:57 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:01 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:07 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:12 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:16 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:18 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:32 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:40 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:36 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:57 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:03 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:12 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:42 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:43 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:46 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:47 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:49 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:02 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers oil trader   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:09 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:16 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:08 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:21 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Clark   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:28 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Margie   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:52 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Clark   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:57 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Margie   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:15 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers BTfromAZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:10 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers BTfromAZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:15 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:18 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:37 AM
. * * Lake Charles NWS danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:13 AM
. * * Re: Lake Charles NWS Margie   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:51 AM
. * * Re: Lake Charles NWS danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 05:14 AM
. * * Recon danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 05:30 AM
. * * Rita danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 05:34 AM
. * * Re: Rita Raymond   Sat Sep 24 2005 05:42 AM
. * * Re: Rita Frank P   Sat Sep 24 2005 05:53 AM
. * * Re: Rita danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:01 AM
. * * Re: Rita danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:06 AM
. * * Re: Rita danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:10 AM
. * * Re: Rita Multi-Decadal Signal   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:24 AM
. * * Re: Rita collegemom   Sat Sep 24 2005 07:55 AM
. * * Re: Rita nate77   Sat Sep 24 2005 08:50 AM
. * * Re: Rita collegemom   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:35 AM
. * * Re: Rita pcola   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:38 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:04 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:17 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:12 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:23 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:32 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:41 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:40 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers nate77   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:43 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:47 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:49 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers nate77   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:46 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers BTfromAZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:52 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:42 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:42 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:30 AM
. * * Recon danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:14 AM
. * * Re: Recon Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:17 AM
. * * Re: Recon Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:21 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:54 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:35 AM
. * * Vortex at landfall danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:14 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:12 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:12 AM
. * * Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:56 AM
. * * Re: Cameron danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:27 AM
. * * Re: Cameron danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:34 AM
. * * Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:37 AM
. * * Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:39 AM
. * * Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:26 AM
. * * Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:28 AM
. * * Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:31 AM
. * * Re: Cameron Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:44 AM
. * * Re: Cameron bobbutts   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:57 AM
. * * Re: Cameron Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:15 AM
. * * Re: Cameron danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:25 AM
. * * Re: Cameron nate77   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:28 AM
. * * Re: Cameron danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:31 AM
. * * Re: Cameron Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:55 AM
. * * Re: Cameron Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:57 AM
. * * Re: Cameron Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:05 AM
. * * Re: Recon danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Recon bobbutts   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:47 AM
. * * Re: Recon garrison   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Recon Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:44 PM
. * * Re: Recon Margie   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:06 AM
. * * Winds danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Recon ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:38 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:21 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:11 PM

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