Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Miami Florida 209 PM EDT Monday Sep 26 2005
Discussion...middle level trough southwest of Andros moving west and approaching South Florida showing up well on water vapor. 12z sounding showed cooling from 700 mb to h4 but we still have a weak subsidence cap around 600 mb. Short wave and front to move into North Florida and northeast Gulf and stall. GFS shows a low developing in the northeast Gulf of Mexico possibly on the south end of the front. That seems to weaken and fade away by Friday but another low forms over the northwest Caribbean and moves northwest through the Yucatan Channel early Saturday. This one really needs to be monitored.
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