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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

watching down the road
Tue Sep 27 2005 01:45 AM

a few things worth watching, all of which will take a couple to few days to do anything... but definite signs of life in the models right now. quick rundown from west to east:
north gulf: a vorticity lobe peeled off of rita and has descended into the gulf. it's non-tropical and elongated and northerly-sheared, and has little model support.. but a few of the globals are watching it for the next couple of days... showing it as quasi-stationary. i'm not as certain that it will completely go away as some are showing, but am assuming the no-development idea is right because not a single model has any interest in it.
central caribbean: wave/low 99L is still undergoing some easterly shear. there are a good number of upper lows running around the basin, and this one is still tangling with them. model consensus is that it moves wnw-nw and becomes more defined later in the week in the nw caribbean. from there some show it moving over the yucatan and into the western gulf. potential threat if it develops.
central atlantic: the philippe eater. currently an extratropical low east of bermuda that's peeled back off the front it earlier merged with. it's been devoid of convection until some suddenly blew up at the center this evening. doesn't mean much.. yet. if that persists it'll transition into something. if it isn't generating gales right now it's dang close. shoul;d it develop it'll just get yanked out when the next trough comes by.
45 wave: sheared, broad, plodding west. several reliable globals show it moving wnw on a recurvature-type track this week, then getting blocked and turning west towards the u.s. over the weekend as a strong ridge develops over the western atlantic and eastern u.s. next week. it has to survive this week and miss the first trough connection... but a potential threat if it makes it through... to the southeast coast.
gfs shows waves behind perking up but common sense says they won't do anything this late in the year in the far eastern atlantic.
none of those four areas is imminent to do anything.... but at least one and quite possibly two should develop over the next week to ten days.
HF 0545z27september

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Watching the Caribbean	MikeC	Tue Sep 27 2005 01:45 AM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	Beaumont, TX	Wed Sep 28 2005 09:05 AM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	Beaumont, TX	Wed Sep 28 2005 12:03 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	Margie	Wed Sep 28 2005 01:09 PM
Katrina's surge...	Frank P	Wed Sep 28 2005 07:38 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	MapMaster	Wed Sep 28 2005 04:48 PM
Waveland	danielw	Wed Sep 28 2005 08:52 PM
Re: Waveland	MapMaster	Wed Sep 28 2005 09:46 PM
Re: Waveland	Margie	Thu Sep 29 2005 12:59 AM
Waveland K-Mart Photo	TheElNino	Wed Sep 28 2005 09:54 PM
Re: Waveland K-Mart Photo	Margie	Wed Sep 28 2005 11:02 PM
Re: Waveland	MapMaster	Wed Sep 28 2005 09:29 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	Thunderbird12	Wed Sep 28 2005 05:30 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	Rich B	Wed Sep 28 2005 05:48 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	zmdz01	Wed Sep 28 2005 05:49 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	typhoon_tip	Wed Sep 28 2005 07:29 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	SMOKE	Wed Sep 28 2005 07:44 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	Thunderbird12	Wed Sep 28 2005 06:37 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	typhoon_tip	Wed Sep 28 2005 07:18 PM
rita jr, 99L, and the precursor	HanKFranK	Wed Sep 28 2005 07:51 PM
Re: rita jr, 99L, and the precursor	SC Bill	Wed Sep 28 2005 09:17 PM
Re: rita jr, 99L, and the precursor	Ryan	Wed Sep 28 2005 09:29 PM
Re: rita jr, 99L, and the precursor	typhoon_tip	Wed Sep 28 2005 11:17 PM
Re: rita jr, 99L, and the precursor	Ryan	Thu Sep 29 2005 04:06 PM
TD15--EPAC	Ryan	Wed Sep 28 2005 06:49 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	Storm Hunter	Wed Sep 28 2005 03:52 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	MapMaster	Wed Sep 28 2005 04:46 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	LisaMaria65	Wed Sep 28 2005 12:43 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	Lee-Delray	Wed Sep 28 2005 12:21 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	GEScott71	Wed Sep 28 2005 10:41 AM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	Ed in Va	Wed Sep 28 2005 09:41 AM
Tropical System Off of Central Florida Next Week	TheElNino	Tue Sep 27 2005 10:41 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	stevie	Mon Sep 26 2005 08:11 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	Ryan	Mon Sep 26 2005 10:51 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	Margie	Mon Sep 26 2005 11:47 PM
watching down the road	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 27 2005 01:45 AM
Re: watching down the road	Margie	Tue Sep 27 2005 09:04 AM
Re: watching down the road	Random Chaos	Tue Sep 27 2005 09:43 AM
Re: watching down the road	ftlaudbob	Tue Sep 27 2005 09:55 AM
Re: watching down the road	Ed in Va	Tue Sep 27 2005 10:35 AM
Re: watching down the road	Thunderbird12	Tue Sep 27 2005 11:19 AM
Re: watching down the road	doug	Tue Sep 27 2005 12:31 PM
Re: watching down the road	Margie	Tue Sep 27 2005 12:22 PM
Re: watching down the road	javlin	Tue Sep 27 2005 01:08 PM
Re: watching down the road	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 27 2005 01:50 PM
Re: watching down the road	Thunderbird12	Tue Sep 27 2005 02:32 PM
Re: watching down the road	doug	Tue Sep 27 2005 03:04 PM
Re: watching down the road	Random Chaos	Tue Sep 27 2005 03:15 PM
Re: watching down the road	SirCane	Tue Sep 27 2005 03:36 PM
Re: watching down the road	doug	Tue Sep 27 2005 04:04 PM
Re: watching down the road	ParrishNStPeteFL	Tue Sep 27 2005 04:41 PM
Re: watching down the road	satellite steve	Tue Sep 27 2005 05:17 PM
Re: watching down the road	Thunderbird12	Tue Sep 27 2005 05:31 PM
Re: watching down the road	Margie	Tue Sep 27 2005 06:14 PM
Re: watching down the road	oil trader	Tue Sep 27 2005 06:53 PM
Re: watching down the road	GuppieGrouper	Tue Sep 27 2005 07:00 PM
Re: watching down the road	Reaper	Tue Sep 27 2005 07:28 PM
Re: watching down the road	Thunderbird12	Tue Sep 27 2005 09:36 PM
all day in miami they said tomorrow conditions would be favorable	LoisCane	Tue Sep 27 2005 10:30 PM
Re: all day in miami they said tomorrow conditions would be favorable	Thunderbird12	Tue Sep 27 2005 10:46 PM
no rush	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 27 2005 11:34 PM
Re: no rush	Beaumont, TX	Wed Sep 28 2005 11:53 AM
Re: no rush	Thunderbird12	Wed Sep 28 2005 11:24 AM
Re: no rush	Ed in Va	Wed Sep 28 2005 11:40 AM
Re: watching down the road	Hugh	Tue Sep 27 2005 08:17 PM
Re: watching down the road	GuppieGrouper	Tue Sep 27 2005 07:50 PM
Re: watching down the road	Reaper	Tue Sep 27 2005 08:15 PM
Re: watching down the road	Convergence	Tue Sep 27 2005 06:22 PM
Re: watching down the road	satellite steve	Tue Sep 27 2005 05:59 PM
Re: watching down the road	Random Chaos	Tue Sep 27 2005 04:03 PM
Re: watching down the road	Thunderbird12	Tue Sep 27 2005 03:35 PM
Re: watching down the road	Margie	Tue Sep 27 2005 04:23 PM
Re: watching down the road	CoalCracker	Tue Sep 27 2005 04:47 PM
Re: watching down the road	Hootowl	Tue Sep 27 2005 06:22 PM
Re: watching down the road	CoalCracker	Tue Sep 27 2005 08:54 PM
Re: watching down the road	Allison	Tue Sep 27 2005 08:17 PM
Re: watching down the road	StormHound	Tue Sep 27 2005 08:31 PM
Re: watching down the road	javlin	Tue Sep 27 2005 06:45 PM
Re: watching down the road	Reaper	Tue Sep 27 2005 03:08 PM
Re: watching down the road	essan	Wed Sep 28 2005 08:45 PM
Re: watching down the road	Random Chaos	Tue Sep 27 2005 02:31 PM
Re: watching down the road	lennox	Tue Sep 27 2005 12:44 PM
Re: Watching the Caribbean	Storm Cooper	Mon Sep 26 2005 07:23 PM

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