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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 291 (Idalia) , Major: 291 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 291 (Idalia) Major: 291 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

Re: Tropic Watch
Thu Sep 29 2005 05:47 PM

that batch of convection/sfc trough being enhanced by an upper low near 23/57 may also be the precursor thing i was talking about last night. the little low being masked by an upper low out near 29/71 also may be the thing that'll get low pressure started. later ukmet runs favor the thing doug is talking about... nogaps still sees my feature today but not as well. either or, the pattern wants there to be a storm approaching the east coast next week.
i'm guessing recon has been through the low in the nw caribbean already, and no vortex. it's probably still too broad. even though convection is firing near the center, it keeps migrating northward away from the formative system. overall the last three or four days it has slowly but consistently improved, so pretty soon it should cross the threshold and become a classified system. been saying that for two days now, but the basic synoptic reasoning for it hasn't changed in that time.
headline for this thread could just as easily have been 'waiting on the tropics.'
HF 1747z29september

well, clark just straightened that out. i was guessing recon had already run through, but that was presumptuous. could somebody give me a link to that site that plots the recon obs? -HF

Edited by HanKFranK (Thu Sep 29 2005 05:49 PM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
TD 20 Forms in the Caribbean, TD 19 Out at Sea	MikeC	Thu Sep 29 2005 05:47 PM
Re: TD 19 Forms in the Eastern Atlantic	weatherwatcher999	Sat Oct 01 2005 01:56 AM
development-impaired	HanKFranK	Sat Oct 01 2005 04:00 AM
Re: development-impaired	teal61	Sat Oct 01 2005 07:11 AM
Re: development-impaired	ParrishNStPeteFL	Sat Oct 01 2005 01:02 PM
Re: development-impaired	TDW	Sat Oct 01 2005 01:21 PM
Re: development-impaired	ParrishNStPeteFL	Sat Oct 01 2005 01:36 PM
Re: development-impaired	Margie	Sat Oct 01 2005 02:02 PM
Re: development-impaired	GuppieGrouper	Sat Oct 01 2005 02:29 PM
Re: development-impaired	Margie	Sat Oct 01 2005 02:45 PM
Re: development-impaired	Thunderbird12	Sat Oct 01 2005 03:08 PM
Re: development-impaired	Margie	Sat Oct 01 2005 03:31 PM
Re: development-impaired	typhoon_tip	Sat Oct 01 2005 03:49 PM
Re: development-impaired	Margie	Sat Oct 01 2005 03:57 PM
Re: development-impaired	HanKFranK	Sat Oct 01 2005 04:45 PM
Re: development-impaired	Steve H1	Sat Oct 01 2005 06:45 PM
Re: development-impaired	GuppieGrouper	Sat Oct 01 2005 10:12 PM
Re: development-impaired	Margie	Sat Oct 01 2005 11:52 PM
Re: development-impaired	Steve H1	Sun Oct 02 2005 12:15 AM
Re: development-impaired	weatherwatcher999	Sun Oct 02 2005 02:12 AM
Re: development-impaired	tpratch	Sun Oct 02 2005 02:24 AM
Re: development-impaired	Storm Hunter	Sun Oct 02 2005 02:41 AM
Re: development-impaired	HanKFranK	Sun Oct 02 2005 04:26 AM
Re: development-impaired	Storm Hunter	Sun Oct 02 2005 05:24 AM
Re: development-impaired	Storm Hunter	Sun Oct 02 2005 05:33 AM
Re: development-impaired	Storm Hunter	Sun Oct 02 2005 06:26 AM
Re: development-impaired	Storm Hunter	Sun Oct 02 2005 06:34 AM
Re: development-impaired	Storm Hunter	Sun Oct 02 2005 06:50 AM
Re: development-impaired	Storm Hunter	Sun Oct 02 2005 06:59 AM
Re: development-impaired	danielw	Sun Oct 02 2005 06:42 AM
Re: development-impaired	Rubén	Sun Oct 02 2005 07:02 AM
Re: development-impaired	Rubén	Sun Oct 02 2005 07:30 AM
Stan 19 and the models	Bloodstar	Sun Oct 02 2005 08:35 AM
Re: Stan 19 and the models	Rich B	Sun Oct 02 2005 09:30 AM
Re: development-impaired	Steve H1	Sat Oct 01 2005 11:12 PM
Re: development-impaired	GuppieGrouper	Sat Oct 01 2005 11:42 PM
Re: development-impaired	Margie	Sat Oct 01 2005 05:51 PM
Re: development-impaired	typhoon_tip	Sat Oct 01 2005 05:21 PM
Re: development-impaired	typhoon_tip	Sat Oct 01 2005 05:26 PM
Re: development-impaired	typhoon_tip	Sat Oct 01 2005 04:38 PM
TD 20	Jamiewx	Sat Oct 01 2005 02:36 PM
Re: development-impaired	GuppieGrouper	Sat Oct 01 2005 01:17 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	doug	Thu Sep 29 2005 02:11 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	sara33	Thu Sep 29 2005 04:03 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	doug	Thu Sep 29 2005 04:53 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	Wingman51	Thu Sep 29 2005 04:59 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	Hootowl	Thu Sep 29 2005 05:56 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	doug	Thu Sep 29 2005 04:44 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	Steve H1	Thu Sep 29 2005 04:56 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	doug	Thu Sep 29 2005 05:04 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	typhoon_tip	Thu Sep 29 2005 05:58 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	SMOKE	Fri Sep 30 2005 12:11 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	HanKFranK	Thu Sep 29 2005 05:47 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	Clark	Thu Sep 29 2005 05:39 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	Margie	Thu Sep 29 2005 08:16 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	Tazmanian93	Fri Sep 30 2005 04:15 AM
Re: Tropic Watch	HanKFranK	Fri Sep 30 2005 05:41 AM
Re: Tropic Watch	Beaumont, TX	Fri Sep 30 2005 01:11 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	stevie	Fri Sep 30 2005 02:02 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	Thunderbird12	Fri Sep 30 2005 02:08 PM
90/99	HanKFranK	Fri Sep 30 2005 02:33 PM
Re: 90/99	Margie	Fri Sep 30 2005 04:12 PM
Re: 90/99	Thunderbird12	Fri Sep 30 2005 04:25 PM
Re: 90/99	Big Kahuna	Fri Sep 30 2005 04:39 PM
Re: 90/99	MapMaster	Fri Sep 30 2005 05:34 PM
So many Features.... so little time!	Bloodstar	Fri Sep 30 2005 06:06 PM
Re: So many Features.... so little time!	Clark	Fri Sep 30 2005 06:34 PM
TD 19	Thunderbird12	Fri Sep 30 2005 08:19 PM
Re: TD 19	Ed in Va	Fri Sep 30 2005 08:26 PM
Re: TD 19	Thunderbird12	Fri Sep 30 2005 08:28 PM
Re: TD 19	Susan in Jupiter, FL	Sat Oct 01 2005 12:05 AM
Re: TD 19	andy1tom	Sat Oct 01 2005 12:40 AM
Re: Just for fun	MapMaster	Fri Sep 30 2005 09:04 PM
Re: Just for fun	Clark	Fri Sep 30 2005 09:11 PM
Re: Just for fun	Margie	Fri Sep 30 2005 09:46 PM
Re: Just for fun	GuppieGrouper	Fri Sep 30 2005 11:00 PM
Re: TD 19	NONAME	Fri Sep 30 2005 08:32 PM
Re: 20N-60W	Ron Basso	Fri Sep 30 2005 08:03 PM
Re: 20N-60W	NONAME	Fri Sep 30 2005 08:17 PM
Re: 90/99	scottsvb	Fri Sep 30 2005 06:00 PM
Re: 90/99	typhoon_tip	Fri Sep 30 2005 03:45 PM
Re: 90/99 DELETED	Margie	Fri Sep 30 2005 04:00 PM
Re: 90/99	typhoon_tip	Fri Sep 30 2005 04:03 PM
latest TWO	Thunderbird12	Fri Sep 30 2005 03:38 PM
Re: latest TWO	Thunderbird12	Fri Sep 30 2005 03:48 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	damejune2	Fri Sep 30 2005 03:21 AM
Re: Tropic Watch	HURRICANELONNY	Fri Sep 30 2005 11:46 AM
Re: Tropic Watch	Tazmanian93	Fri Sep 30 2005 04:08 AM
Re: Tropic Watch	doug	Thu Sep 29 2005 06:48 PM
NOT YET !!!	Wingman51	Thu Sep 29 2005 08:09 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	sara33	Thu Sep 29 2005 04:51 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	Rabbit	Thu Sep 29 2005 04:10 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	SirCane	Thu Sep 29 2005 02:31 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	Thunderbird12	Thu Sep 29 2005 03:01 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	Thunderbird12	Thu Sep 29 2005 03:35 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	Margie	Thu Sep 29 2005 03:00 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	Fletch	Thu Sep 29 2005 01:15 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	Wingman51	Thu Sep 29 2005 01:36 PM
Re: Tropic Watch	Thunderbird12	Thu Sep 29 2005 01:50 PM

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