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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 283 (Idalia) , Major: 283 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 283 (Idalia) Major: 283 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: Tropic Watch
      Thu Sep 29 2005 05:47 PM

that batch of convection/sfc trough being enhanced by an upper low near 23/57 may also be the precursor thing i was talking about last night. the little low being masked by an upper low out near 29/71 also may be the thing that'll get low pressure started. later ukmet runs favor the thing doug is talking about... nogaps still sees my feature today but not as well. either or, the pattern wants there to be a storm approaching the east coast next week.
i'm guessing recon has been through the low in the nw caribbean already, and no vortex. it's probably still too broad. even though convection is firing near the center, it keeps migrating northward away from the formative system. overall the last three or four days it has slowly but consistently improved, so pretty soon it should cross the threshold and become a classified system. been saying that for two days now, but the basic synoptic reasoning for it hasn't changed in that time.
headline for this thread could just as easily have been 'waiting on the tropics.'
HF 1747z29september

well, clark just straightened that out. i was guessing recon had already run through, but that was presumptuous. could somebody give me a link to that site that plots the recon obs? -HF

Edited by HanKFranK (Thu Sep 29 2005 05:49 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* TD 20 Forms in the Caribbean, TD 19 Out at Sea MikeCAdministrator Thu Sep 29 2005 05:47 PM
. * * Re: TD 19 Forms in the Eastern Atlantic weatherwatcher999   Sat Oct 01 2005 01:56 AM
. * * development-impaired HanKFranK   Sat Oct 01 2005 04:00 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired teal61   Sat Oct 01 2005 07:11 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired ParrishNStPeteFL   Sat Oct 01 2005 01:02 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired TDW   Sat Oct 01 2005 01:21 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired ParrishNStPeteFL   Sat Oct 01 2005 01:36 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired Margie   Sat Oct 01 2005 02:02 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired GuppieGrouper   Sat Oct 01 2005 02:29 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired Margie   Sat Oct 01 2005 02:45 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired Thunderbird12   Sat Oct 01 2005 03:08 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired Margie   Sat Oct 01 2005 03:31 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 01 2005 03:49 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired Margie   Sat Oct 01 2005 03:57 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired HanKFranK   Sat Oct 01 2005 04:45 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired Steve H1   Sat Oct 01 2005 06:45 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired GuppieGrouper   Sat Oct 01 2005 10:12 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired Margie   Sat Oct 01 2005 11:52 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired Steve H1   Sun Oct 02 2005 12:15 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired weatherwatcher999   Sun Oct 02 2005 02:12 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired tpratch   Sun Oct 02 2005 02:24 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 02 2005 02:41 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired HanKFranK   Sun Oct 02 2005 04:26 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 02 2005 05:24 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 02 2005 05:33 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 02 2005 06:26 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 02 2005 06:34 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 02 2005 06:50 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 02 2005 06:59 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 02 2005 06:42 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired Rubén   Sun Oct 02 2005 07:02 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired Rubén   Sun Oct 02 2005 07:30 AM
. * * Stan 19 and the models Bloodstar   Sun Oct 02 2005 08:35 AM
. * * Re: Stan 19 and the models Rich B   Sun Oct 02 2005 09:30 AM
. * * Re: development-impaired Steve H1   Sat Oct 01 2005 11:12 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired GuppieGrouper   Sat Oct 01 2005 11:42 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired Margie   Sat Oct 01 2005 05:51 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 01 2005 05:21 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 01 2005 05:26 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 01 2005 04:38 PM
. * * TD 20 Jamiewx   Sat Oct 01 2005 02:36 PM
. * * Re: development-impaired GuppieGrouper   Sat Oct 01 2005 01:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch doug   Thu Sep 29 2005 02:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch sara33   Thu Sep 29 2005 04:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch doug   Thu Sep 29 2005 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Wingman51   Thu Sep 29 2005 04:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Hootowl   Thu Sep 29 2005 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch doug   Thu Sep 29 2005 04:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Steve H1   Thu Sep 29 2005 04:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch doug   Thu Sep 29 2005 05:04 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch typhoon_tip   Thu Sep 29 2005 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch SMOKE   Fri Sep 30 2005 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch HanKFranK   Thu Sep 29 2005 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Clark   Thu Sep 29 2005 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Margie   Thu Sep 29 2005 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Tazmanian93   Fri Sep 30 2005 04:15 AM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch HanKFranK   Fri Sep 30 2005 05:41 AM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Beaumont, TX   Fri Sep 30 2005 01:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch stevie   Fri Sep 30 2005 02:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 30 2005 02:08 PM
. * * 90/99 HanKFranK   Fri Sep 30 2005 02:33 PM
. * * Re: 90/99 Margie   Fri Sep 30 2005 04:12 PM
. * * Re: 90/99 Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 30 2005 04:25 PM
. * * Re: 90/99 Big Kahuna   Fri Sep 30 2005 04:39 PM
. * * Re: 90/99 MapMaster   Fri Sep 30 2005 05:34 PM
. * * So many Features.... so little time! Bloodstar   Fri Sep 30 2005 06:06 PM
. * * Re: So many Features.... so little time! Clark   Fri Sep 30 2005 06:34 PM
. * * TD 19 Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 30 2005 08:19 PM
. * * Re: TD 19 Ed in Va   Fri Sep 30 2005 08:26 PM
. * * Re: TD 19 Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 30 2005 08:28 PM
. * * Re: TD 19 Susan in Jupiter, FL   Sat Oct 01 2005 12:05 AM
. * * Re: TD 19 andy1tom   Sat Oct 01 2005 12:40 AM
. * * Re: Just for fun MapMaster   Fri Sep 30 2005 09:04 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun Clark   Fri Sep 30 2005 09:11 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun Margie   Fri Sep 30 2005 09:46 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun GuppieGrouper   Fri Sep 30 2005 11:00 PM
. * * Re: TD 19 NONAME   Fri Sep 30 2005 08:32 PM
. * * Re: 20N-60W Ron Basso   Fri Sep 30 2005 08:03 PM
. * * Re: 20N-60W NONAME   Fri Sep 30 2005 08:17 PM
. * * Re: 90/99 scottsvb   Fri Sep 30 2005 06:00 PM
. * * Re: 90/99 typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 30 2005 03:45 PM
. * * Re: 90/99 *DELETED* Margie   Fri Sep 30 2005 04:00 PM
. * * Re: 90/99 typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 30 2005 04:03 PM
. * * latest TWO Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 30 2005 03:38 PM
. * * Re: latest TWO Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 30 2005 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch damejune2   Fri Sep 30 2005 03:21 AM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch HURRICANELONNY   Fri Sep 30 2005 11:46 AM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Tazmanian93   Fri Sep 30 2005 04:08 AM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch doug   Thu Sep 29 2005 06:48 PM
. * * NOT YET !!! Wingman51   Thu Sep 29 2005 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch sara33   Thu Sep 29 2005 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Rabbit   Thu Sep 29 2005 04:10 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch SirCane   Thu Sep 29 2005 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Thunderbird12   Thu Sep 29 2005 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Thunderbird12   Thu Sep 29 2005 03:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Margie   Thu Sep 29 2005 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Fletch   Thu Sep 29 2005 01:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Wingman51   Thu Sep 29 2005 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropic Watch Thunderbird12   Thu Sep 29 2005 01:50 PM

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