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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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emackl
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 205
Loc: Indianapolis
Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity
      Mon Oct 03 2005 10:00 AM

Exactly what I was looking for. Thank You!

Here's what I found on HPC disco:

"TPC/NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK INDICATES POTENTIAL FOR SOME
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY EAST OF THE
BAHAMAS. GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THIS IDEA... BRINGING A WELL DEFINED SYSTEM INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. TRACK OF THIS FEATURE BY
THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD WILL DEPEND SOMEWHAT ON THE EVENTUAL
AMPLITUDE OF THE ERN CONUS TROF. THE ECMWF IS NOT USUALLY THE
BEST MODEL FOR TROPICAL SYSTEMS... BUT THERE IS REASONABLE
CONSENSUS THAT THE ERN TROF WILL EXERT LESS INFLUENCE THAN FCST BY
GFS RUNS... KEEPING THE TROPICAL FEATURE FARTHER SWWD. THEREFORE
THE 00Z ECMWF/06Z GFS COMPROMISE LEANS MORE IN THE ECMWF
DIRECTION."

That's just great. I'm sick of the storms. When they say a Well defined system, do they mean well defined as it goes to GOM or well defined after it gets there? That makes a big difference for FL.

Thanks!

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Ed DunhamAdministrator Mon Oct 03 2005 10:00 AM
. * * Re: Katrina Aftermath - even rebar Sheeper   Mon Oct 03 2005 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Katrina Aftermath - even rebar Margie   Mon Oct 03 2005 05:20 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity hurricane expert   Mon Oct 03 2005 11:53 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Margie   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:22 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:21 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity oil trader   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:28 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:35 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Ed in Va   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:51 PM
. * * Turning just north of PR? Bloodstar   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:53 PM
. * * Stan Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 03 2005 02:32 PM
. * * Re: gfs? Big Kahuna   Mon Oct 03 2005 02:54 PM
. * * Models and other things Bloodstar   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:08 PM
. * * Re: Models and other things NewWatcher   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:24 PM
. * * Re: Models and other things emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Models and other things Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:42 PM
. * * Stan Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:11 PM
. * * Re: Stan dave foster   Mon Oct 03 2005 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Stan Rubén   Mon Oct 03 2005 08:22 PM
. * * Re: Stan dave foster   Mon Oct 03 2005 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Stan Random Chaos   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:19 PM
. * * Re: Stan HanKFranK   Mon Oct 03 2005 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Stan Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:31 AM
. * * latest adv. on stan HanKFranK   Tue Oct 04 2005 02:41 AM
. * * Re: latest adv. on stan meranto   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:38 AM
. * * GFS Ryan   Mon Oct 03 2005 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Stan bobbutts   Mon Oct 03 2005 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Stan Genesis   Mon Oct 03 2005 08:55 PM
. * * Re: Stan Margie   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:45 PM
. * * Re: Models and other things Bloodstar   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Models and other things NewWatcher   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:30 PM
. * * Re: Models and other things Big Kahuna   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Models and other things Hootowl   Mon Oct 03 2005 07:10 PM
. * * Re: gfs? Ryan   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:03 PM
. * * Re: 92L a TD? MapMaster   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:03 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Storm Hunter   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:26 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity twizted sizter   Mon Oct 03 2005 09:50 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Storm Hunter   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:39 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Storm Hunter   Mon Oct 03 2005 02:15 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 08:00 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Ron Basso   Mon Oct 03 2005 09:26 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Margie   Mon Oct 03 2005 09:55 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity NewWatcher   Mon Oct 03 2005 09:57 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 09:47 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Susan in Jupiter, FL   Mon Oct 03 2005 09:51 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:00 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity NewWatcher   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:04 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity ParrishNStPeteFL   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:27 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity sara33   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:34 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Brad in Miami   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:47 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity sara33   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:50 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Storm Hunter   Mon Oct 03 2005 05:18 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Clark   Mon Oct 03 2005 05:39 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity crpeavley   Mon Oct 03 2005 07:19 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity crpeavley   Mon Oct 03 2005 07:02 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity D3m3NT3DVoRT3X   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:38 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity sara33   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:26 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity NewWatcher   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:30 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity sara33   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:37 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity NewWatcher   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:49 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 11:27 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity MapMaster   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:05 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:25 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity scottsvb   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:29 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Margie   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:46 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity MapMaster   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:52 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity HanKFranK   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:11 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Hootowl   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:34 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity scottsvb   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:38 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity scottsvb   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:45 PM
. * * Navy website zmdz01   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:32 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Rabbit   Mon Oct 03 2005 11:47 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 11:51 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Rabbit   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:54 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 03 2005 11:25 AM
. * * Bahama Baby Wingman51   Mon Oct 03 2005 11:16 AM
. * * 70W 25N Beach   Mon Oct 03 2005 08:05 AM
. * * Re: 70W 25N NewWatcher   Mon Oct 03 2005 08:29 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Magic Hat   Sun Oct 02 2005 02:47 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Margie   Sun Oct 02 2005 09:58 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Ryan   Sun Oct 02 2005 10:27 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Big Red Machine   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:07 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Beaumont, TX   Sun Oct 02 2005 12:07 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Wxwatcher2   Sun Oct 02 2005 08:10 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Cindi   Sun Oct 02 2005 08:23 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity dkpcb   Sun Oct 02 2005 11:56 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity HanKFranK   Sun Oct 02 2005 10:53 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 02 2005 12:16 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity jmk818   Sun Oct 02 2005 01:46 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Beaumont, TX   Sun Oct 02 2005 12:13 PM

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