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Area off the Southeast US Coast has a 10% to develop, either way will be wet in parts of the Southeast/NC this weekend. Beryl gone but not forgotten in Houston area where power outages still are widespread.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 4 (Beryl) , Major: 317 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 317 (Idalia) Major: 317 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Random Chaos
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
Re: Stan
      Mon Oct 03 2005 10:19 PM

Poking around the model runs a bit, looks to me that 92L is a little random on the track. One thing I am picking up - and the CMC does this the most interesting way - is it appears that there is a 2nd circulation/low right next to 92L that will develop and become the dominant one. A number of the tracks I'm seeing seem to jump from the 92L one to the newly forming one after a couple days - so I'd toss most tracks out the window. We don't even know if that new one will develop, or if is just the models having fun with our minds.

It looks to me that we'll have another named storm in the next week or two - it's more a matter of which low forms it first. 92L is likely to beat anything else. Somehow I doubt that we won't break the "end of the alphabet" this year - there's just too much time left in the season...and the Atlantic still seems quite interested in spawning lows associated with tropical waves.

--RC

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Ed DunhamAdministrator Mon Oct 03 2005 10:19 PM
. * * Re: Katrina Aftermath - even rebar Sheeper   Mon Oct 03 2005 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Katrina Aftermath - even rebar Margie   Mon Oct 03 2005 05:20 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity hurricane expert   Mon Oct 03 2005 11:53 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Margie   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:22 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:21 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity oil trader   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:28 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:35 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Ed in Va   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:51 PM
. * * Turning just north of PR? Bloodstar   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:53 PM
. * * Stan Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 03 2005 02:32 PM
. * * Re: gfs? Big Kahuna   Mon Oct 03 2005 02:54 PM
. * * Models and other things Bloodstar   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:08 PM
. * * Re: Models and other things NewWatcher   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:24 PM
. * * Re: Models and other things emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Models and other things Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:42 PM
. * * Stan Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:11 PM
. * * Re: Stan dave foster   Mon Oct 03 2005 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Stan RubĂ©n   Mon Oct 03 2005 08:22 PM
. * * Re: Stan dave foster   Mon Oct 03 2005 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Stan Random Chaos   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:19 PM
. * * Re: Stan HanKFranK   Mon Oct 03 2005 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Stan Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:31 AM
. * * latest adv. on stan HanKFranK   Tue Oct 04 2005 02:41 AM
. * * Re: latest adv. on stan meranto   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:38 AM
. * * GFS Ryan   Mon Oct 03 2005 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Stan bobbutts   Mon Oct 03 2005 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Stan Genesis   Mon Oct 03 2005 08:55 PM
. * * Re: Stan Margie   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:45 PM
. * * Re: Models and other things Bloodstar   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Models and other things NewWatcher   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:30 PM
. * * Re: Models and other things Big Kahuna   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Models and other things Hootowl   Mon Oct 03 2005 07:10 PM
. * * Re: gfs? Ryan   Mon Oct 03 2005 03:03 PM
. * * Re: 92L a TD? MapMaster   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:03 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Storm Hunter   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:26 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity twizted sizter   Mon Oct 03 2005 09:50 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Storm Hunter   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:39 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Storm Hunter   Mon Oct 03 2005 02:15 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 08:00 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Ron Basso   Mon Oct 03 2005 09:26 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Margie   Mon Oct 03 2005 09:55 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity NewWatcher   Mon Oct 03 2005 09:57 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 09:47 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Susan in Jupiter, FL   Mon Oct 03 2005 09:51 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:00 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity NewWatcher   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:04 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity ParrishNStPeteFL   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:27 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity sara33   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:34 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Brad in Miami   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:47 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity sara33   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:50 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Storm Hunter   Mon Oct 03 2005 05:18 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Clark   Mon Oct 03 2005 05:39 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity crpeavley   Mon Oct 03 2005 07:19 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity crpeavley   Mon Oct 03 2005 07:02 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity D3m3NT3DVoRT3X   Mon Oct 03 2005 04:38 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity sara33   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:26 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity NewWatcher   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:30 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity sara33   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:37 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity NewWatcher   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:49 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 11:27 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity MapMaster   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:05 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:25 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity scottsvb   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:29 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Margie   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:46 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity MapMaster   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:52 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity HanKFranK   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:11 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Hootowl   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:34 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity scottsvb   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:38 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity scottsvb   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:45 PM
. * * Navy website zmdz01   Mon Oct 03 2005 12:32 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Rabbit   Mon Oct 03 2005 11:47 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity emackl   Mon Oct 03 2005 11:51 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Rabbit   Mon Oct 03 2005 10:54 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 03 2005 11:25 AM
. * * Bahama Baby Wingman51   Mon Oct 03 2005 11:16 AM
. * * 70W 25N Beach   Mon Oct 03 2005 08:05 AM
. * * Re: 70W 25N NewWatcher   Mon Oct 03 2005 08:29 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Magic Hat   Sun Oct 02 2005 02:47 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Margie   Sun Oct 02 2005 09:58 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Ryan   Sun Oct 02 2005 10:27 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Big Red Machine   Mon Oct 03 2005 01:07 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Beaumont, TX   Sun Oct 02 2005 12:07 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Wxwatcher2   Sun Oct 02 2005 08:10 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Cindi   Sun Oct 02 2005 08:23 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity dkpcb   Sun Oct 02 2005 11:56 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity HanKFranK   Sun Oct 02 2005 10:53 AM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 02 2005 12:16 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity jmk818   Sun Oct 02 2005 01:46 PM
. * * Re: TS Stan and Other Basin Activity Beaumont, TX   Sun Oct 02 2005 12:13 PM

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