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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser

Reged:
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida

Re: Looks Like We Might Have Tammy
Wed Oct 05 2005 06:32 AM

Quote:

With the winds already reported with this system, will they upgrade to Tammy...or list this as TD #21??
--Lou

Based upon the NHC TWO... It will be directly designated as T.S. Tammy shortly. I say this because the TWO said a Tropical Cyclone had formed - it did not say a Tropical Depression. They may not yet know how strong the maximum winds are, and may wait until recon is in before naming it, however.

Chad Myers is saying it will run up the east coast - which is contrary to ALL of the computer models the last time I checked (which all forecast it to enter the GOM and basically hit me, or come close to me and then head back NE across the state again). Looking at the current models for 92L on WU, they show it moving parrallel to the coast but on shore.. except for NOGAPS which has it moving into the central GOM. NONE of them have it hitting Georgia (which is what Chad said it would do). What the heck was he basing his forecast on???

By the way... the movement on radar appears to be very slow, but WNW to my eyes (or due west as Daniel pointed out after my initial post). It may make landfall near Melborne before the NHC gets around to sending a plane into it... circulation looks VERY close to land. Any word on where the warnings will be put up for, or what the forecast track officially will be?

Added: From the MLB NWS office:
NOW...
...TROPICAL CIRCULATION DEVELOPING EAST OF MELBOURNE...
AT 545 AM...MELBOURNE RADAR DETECTED THE FORMATION OF A WEAK
CIRCULATION CENTER 30 MILES EAST OF MELBOURNE. THE CIRCULATION WAS
MOVING SLOWLY NORTH NORTHWEST PARALLEL TO THE COASTLINE.

Well so much for what my eyes were tellijng me about a due west/wnw motion, I guess. And where is the advisory on this thing? NHC TWO said 30 minutes ago that there would be a special advisory issued shortly. Weather Channel just said that the hurricane hunters found a circulation - but TWO said they were just standing by, not that they had even gone into the system! Is everyone on a different page with this thing???

--------------------
Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)

Edited by Hugh (Wed Oct 05 2005 06:52 AM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Bahamas Tropical Wave and Tropical Depression Stan	MikeC	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:32 AM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Clark	Wed Oct 05 2005 12:37 AM
92L maintains and Stan moves toward the E. Pacific	danielw	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:00 AM
Looks Like We Might Have Tammy	recmod	Wed Oct 05 2005 05:44 AM
Re: Looks Like We Might Have Tammy	Hugh	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:32 AM
Re: Looks Like We Might Have Tammy	Wxwatcher2	Wed Oct 05 2005 05:52 AM
Severe Weather Possible	danielw	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:34 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	amonty	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:54 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	Hugh	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:56 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	amonty	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:02 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	amonty	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:01 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	Hugh	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:04 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	Brown Brown	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:21 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	jlauderdal	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:25 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	Brown Brown	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:30 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	Wxwatcher2	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:09 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	Brown Brown	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:18 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	Random Chaos	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:37 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	Margie	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:03 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	Brown Brown	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:20 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	Ed in Va	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:23 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	Hugh	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:54 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	Brown Brown	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:02 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	craigm	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:15 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	OrlandoDan	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:29 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	Beach	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:33 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	Lsr1166	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:38 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	emackl	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:15 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	craigm	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:42 AM
Re: Severe Weather Possible	Hootowl	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:54 AM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Beaumont, TX	Tue Oct 04 2005 04:46 PM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Ed in Va	Tue Oct 04 2005 04:58 PM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	hurricane expert	Tue Oct 04 2005 02:16 PM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Wxwatcher2	Tue Oct 04 2005 09:53 AM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Margie	Tue Oct 04 2005 10:08 AM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	HanKFranK	Tue Oct 04 2005 10:29 AM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	dave foster	Tue Oct 04 2005 12:19 PM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	dave foster	Tue Oct 04 2005 09:40 PM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Margie	Tue Oct 04 2005 10:50 PM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Thunderbird12	Tue Oct 04 2005 11:30 PM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Storm Hunter	Tue Oct 04 2005 10:37 PM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Thunderbird12	Tue Oct 04 2005 10:48 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Tropics Guy	Tue Oct 04 2005 12:54 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Steve H1	Tue Oct 04 2005 01:02 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	HanKFranK	Tue Oct 04 2005 01:20 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	scottsvb	Tue Oct 04 2005 01:30 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	ralphfl	Tue Oct 04 2005 02:25 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	scottsvb	Tue Oct 04 2005 03:09 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Random Chaos	Tue Oct 04 2005 03:11 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	scottsvb	Tue Oct 04 2005 03:19 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	emackl	Tue Oct 04 2005 03:22 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Big Kahuna	Tue Oct 04 2005 04:09 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Thunderbird12	Tue Oct 04 2005 04:25 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	emackl	Tue Oct 04 2005 05:03 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Storm Hunter	Tue Oct 04 2005 05:11 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Hootowl	Tue Oct 04 2005 05:58 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Margie	Tue Oct 04 2005 06:18 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Hootowl	Tue Oct 04 2005 07:21 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	danielw	Tue Oct 04 2005 07:32 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Margie	Tue Oct 04 2005 08:22 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Brown Brown	Tue Oct 04 2005 11:08 PM
WS ETA	CoalCracker	Tue Oct 04 2005 08:10 PM
8pm obs	HanKFranK	Tue Oct 04 2005 08:24 PM
Re: 8pm obs	emackl	Tue Oct 04 2005 09:10 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Tue Oct 04 2005 06:34 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Thunderbird12	Tue Oct 04 2005 05:34 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	sara33	Tue Oct 04 2005 07:03 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Tue Oct 04 2005 07:28 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	sara33	Tue Oct 04 2005 07:42 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	jusforsean	Tue Oct 04 2005 08:18 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	emackl	Tue Oct 04 2005 05:57 PM
latest TWO	Thunderbird12	Tue Oct 04 2005 05:20 PM
Re: latest TWO	Margie	Tue Oct 04 2005 05:37 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	HURRICANELONNY	Tue Oct 04 2005 04:16 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Thunderbird12	Tue Oct 04 2005 04:04 PM
The odd chance event	Bloodstar	Tue Oct 04 2005 03:07 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Clark	Tue Oct 04 2005 01:47 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	Thunderbird12	Tue Oct 04 2005 03:09 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	sara33	Tue Oct 04 2005 01:28 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up	scottsvb	Tue Oct 04 2005 01:17 PM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Tazmanian93	Tue Oct 04 2005 12:12 PM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Margie	Tue Oct 04 2005 11:38 AM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Ed in Va	Tue Oct 04 2005 10:17 AM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	emackl	Tue Oct 04 2005 10:24 AM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Margie	Tue Oct 04 2005 08:00 AM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Katie	Tue Oct 04 2005 08:44 AM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	emackl	Tue Oct 04 2005 09:07 AM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Scrappy	Tue Oct 04 2005 09:06 AM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Lee-Delray	Tue Oct 04 2005 09:05 AM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	tpratch	Tue Oct 04 2005 09:09 AM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	Katie	Tue Oct 04 2005 10:59 AM
Katrina	zmdz01	Tue Oct 04 2005 11:35 AM
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave	emackl	Tue Oct 04 2005 09:23 AM

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