Buoy 42056 located at 19.9N, 85.0 W recently had the winds shift from the south to the west and increase to 23 knots sustained. This either indicates that there is a surface low located somewhere to its north near the Yucutan channel, or that the deep convection in that area is in the form of a squall line that is producing some gusty outflow winds along its leading flank. Considering the increase in wind speed, the rise in pressure, and the apparent circulation over the Yucutan is still well to the west, the squall line scenario seems more likely. If that is the case, it would not be surprising to see that area of convection weaken or even puff out at some point. Whether or not the circulation still over the Yucutan can redevelop convection and wrap it around the center will determine if this thing develops or not.
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