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The broad Gulf area is now up to 70/70% for development while the Atlantic area is 10/30% for development. Neither are marked as an invest area yet, but the Gulf may be tagged later today. Texas should watch the Gulf area for a large rain event. Atlantic is FL through the Carolinas depending on how soon (if at all) the system develops, sooner implies further north.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Thunderbird12
Meteorologist

Reged:
Posts: 644
Loc: Oklahoma

Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast
Wed Oct 05 2005 08:04 PM

The center of Tammy appears to be very close to the coast, though with the way the storm is structured, the center location is not necessarily that important. With nearly all of the action to the north and east of the center, the center will have to get well inland before significant weakening occurs. The main story appears to be the rain, anyway.

93L is starting to resemble Tammy of a couple of days ago, with an apparent weak surface low or trough that is somewhat removed from the main convection and an upper-level low to its north that is currently shearing the system but may provide a slightly more favorable environment if the ULL digs further west. One difference is that the pressure gradient across the area is not nearly as steep as it was with Tammy, so it will take more surface development than what Tammy needed before cranking up the winds to tropical storm strength. There is also more upper energy and dry air digging into the backside of the system, which may result in more of a hybrid system if anything develops further.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	MikeC	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:04 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	lawgator	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:15 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Beaumont, TX	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:24 PM
Can't make sense of the data	Rasvar	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:42 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Storm Hunter	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:40 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:04 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Yikes	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:03 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	crpeavley	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:26 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	damejune2	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:40 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	CoalCracker	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:51 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	damejune2	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:55 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	bobbutts	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:30 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Random Chaos	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:39 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Colleen A.	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:46 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Jane219ga	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:55 PM
quick	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 05 2005 10:43 PM
various thoughts	Clark	Thu Oct 06 2005 12:13 AM
Re: various thoughts	Hugh	Thu Oct 06 2005 12:57 AM
Re: various thoughts	dave foster	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:29 AM
Re: various thoughts	Hugh	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:36 AM
Re: various thoughts	dave foster	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:54 AM
Re: various thoughts	Convergence	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:07 AM
Re: various thoughts	Colleen A.	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:08 AM
Re: various thoughts	GuppieGrouper	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:12 AM
Re: quick	Yikes	Thu Oct 06 2005 12:10 AM
Re: quick	Hugh	Thu Oct 06 2005 12:01 AM
Re: quick	Storm Hunter	Thu Oct 06 2005 12:16 AM
Re: quick	HanKFranK	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:10 AM
Re: quick	suziqt	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:50 AM
Re: quick	Hugh	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:24 AM
Re: quick	Clark	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:56 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Big Kahuna	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:25 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	charlottefl	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:09 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	HCW	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:17 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Wxwatcher2	Wed Oct 05 2005 10:56 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	laureg	Wed Oct 05 2005 11:17 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	GuppieGrouper	Wed Oct 05 2005 11:09 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Hugh	Wed Oct 05 2005 11:56 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Random Chaos	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:29 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Storm Hunter	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:36 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:43 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	crpeavley	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:05 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	orlandocanewatcher	Wed Oct 05 2005 12:35 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Genesis	Wed Oct 05 2005 01:16 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	dave foster	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:58 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	HURRICANELONNY	Wed Oct 05 2005 11:51 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Hugh	Wed Oct 05 2005 11:58 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:50 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	bobbutts	Wed Oct 05 2005 01:22 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	bobbutts	Wed Oct 05 2005 01:35 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Tropics Guy	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:43 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	oklahoma	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:01 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	ZooKeeper	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:33 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:08 PM
TD 19 Making a comeback? and the Stan Rainband	Bloodstar	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:46 PM
Re: TD 19 Making a comeback? and the Stan Rainband	Clark	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:57 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Wxwatcher2	Wed Oct 05 2005 01:28 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	GuppieGrouper	Wed Oct 05 2005 12:06 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	LisaA	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:48 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	craigm	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:04 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:42 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Clark	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:00 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Hugh	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:46 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	dave foster	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:57 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Hugh	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:01 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	dave foster	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:30 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:06 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	tpratch	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:35 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Storm Hunter	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:13 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:23 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	Convergence	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:29 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:36 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Storm Hunter	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:51 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:06 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	jbmusic	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:14 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	tpratch	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:19 AM
fun with follow-ons	HanKFranK	Thu Oct 06 2005 06:20 AM
Re: fun with follow-ons	Susan in Jupiter, FL	Thu Oct 06 2005 08:56 AM
Re: fun with follow-ons	Random Chaos	Thu Oct 06 2005 10:31 AM
Re: fun with follow-ons	Hugh	Thu Oct 06 2005 10:54 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Tracey	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:11 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:09 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Convergence	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:07 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:15 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:27 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	La Nimo	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:30 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Sarasota3G	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:44 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	ralphfl	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:45 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Big Kahuna	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:07 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Fletch	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:13 PM
93L	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:38 PM
Re: 93L	Beaumont, TX	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:46 PM
Re: 93L	emackl	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:55 PM
Re: 93L	Beaumont, TX	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:15 PM
Re: 93L	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:40 PM
Re: 93L	CoalCracker	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:14 PM
Re: 93L	Genesis	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:27 PM
Re: 93L	Goosus	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:48 PM
Re: 93L	sara33	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:18 PM
Re: 93L	MissBecky	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:17 PM
Re: 93L	dave foster	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:04 PM
Re: 93L	Genesis	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:09 PM
Re: 93L	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:28 PM
Re: 93L	scottsvb	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:41 PM
Re: 93L	Ed in Va	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:45 PM
Re: 93L	scottsvb	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:00 PM
Re: 93L	ralphfl	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:04 PM
Re: 93L	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:24 PM
Re: 93L	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:46 PM
Re: 93L	sara33	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:45 PM
Re: 93L	Big Kahuna	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:54 PM
Re: 93L	Bloodstar	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:58 PM
Re: 93L	sara33	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:50 PM
Re: 93L	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:47 PM
Re: 93L	Steve H1	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:22 PM
Re: 93L	Storm Hunter	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:46 PM
Re: 93L	rmbjoe1954	Wed Oct 05 2005 05:27 PM
Re: 93L	emackl	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:58 PM
Re: 93L	Margie	Wed Oct 05 2005 05:37 PM
Re: 93L	emackl	Wed Oct 05 2005 05:42 PM
Re: 93L	Big Kahuna	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:05 PM
Re: 90L	Bloodstar	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:11 PM
Re: 90L	MapMaster	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:27 PM
Re: 90L	HURRICANELONNY	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:37 PM
Re: 93L	Margie	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:05 PM
Re: 94L	HCW	Wed Oct 05 2005 05:56 PM
Re: 94L	Big Kahuna	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:11 PM
Re: 93L	scottsvb	Wed Oct 05 2005 05:42 PM
Re: 93L	Rabbit	Wed Oct 05 2005 05:25 PM
Re: 93L	Beaumont, TX	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:51 PM
Re: 93L	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:59 PM
Re: 93L	Genesis	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:56 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Margie	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:30 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:03 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Hugh	Wed Oct 05 2005 12:09 PM

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