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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 272 (Idalia) , Major: 272 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 272 (Idalia) Major: 272 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser

Reged:
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida

Re: various thoughts
Thu Oct 06 2005 12:57 AM

Quote:

Anything we get close-in in the short term is likely to be another Michael (from last year) at best -- a hybrid system that moves at a fairly decent clip but brings a couple-few inches of rain to some area. That's the end result from Tammy and the likely end result from 93L...I just think the environment is more conducive to hybrid/extratropical development, particularly as that upper trough approaches from the central US, than anything tropical. Time will tell.

I agree, Clark... there is lots of incredibly dry air in the western GOM, and 93L seems to have gotten the punch squeezed out of it rather severely this afternoon. Still seems like we'll get some rain from it in the panhandle, but only if the ULL moves out of the way. Is that still looking possible at all? Watching the WV loop, it looks like the ULL isn't budging. Also, I notice on the WV loop and the JAX radar over the last hour or two that Tammy isn't moving as far north as it was earlier, relatively so anyway. Am I seeing things? Is there a chance it could get pushed back south?

--------------------
Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	MikeC	Thu Oct 06 2005 12:57 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	lawgator	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:15 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Beaumont, TX	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:24 PM
Can't make sense of the data	Rasvar	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:42 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Storm Hunter	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:40 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:04 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Yikes	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:03 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	crpeavley	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:26 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	damejune2	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:40 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	CoalCracker	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:51 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	damejune2	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:55 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	bobbutts	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:30 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Random Chaos	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:39 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Colleen A.	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:46 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Jane219ga	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:55 PM
quick	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 05 2005 10:43 PM
various thoughts	Clark	Thu Oct 06 2005 12:13 AM
Re: various thoughts	Hugh	Thu Oct 06 2005 12:57 AM
Re: various thoughts	dave foster	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:29 AM
Re: various thoughts	Hugh	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:36 AM
Re: various thoughts	dave foster	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:54 AM
Re: various thoughts	Convergence	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:07 AM
Re: various thoughts	Colleen A.	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:08 AM
Re: various thoughts	GuppieGrouper	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:12 AM
Re: quick	Yikes	Thu Oct 06 2005 12:10 AM
Re: quick	Hugh	Thu Oct 06 2005 12:01 AM
Re: quick	Storm Hunter	Thu Oct 06 2005 12:16 AM
Re: quick	HanKFranK	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:10 AM
Re: quick	suziqt	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:50 AM
Re: quick	Hugh	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:24 AM
Re: quick	Clark	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:56 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Big Kahuna	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:25 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	charlottefl	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:09 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	HCW	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:17 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Wxwatcher2	Wed Oct 05 2005 10:56 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	laureg	Wed Oct 05 2005 11:17 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	GuppieGrouper	Wed Oct 05 2005 11:09 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Hugh	Wed Oct 05 2005 11:56 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Random Chaos	Wed Oct 05 2005 09:29 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Storm Hunter	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:36 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 08:43 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	crpeavley	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:05 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	orlandocanewatcher	Wed Oct 05 2005 12:35 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Genesis	Wed Oct 05 2005 01:16 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	dave foster	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:58 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	HURRICANELONNY	Wed Oct 05 2005 11:51 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Hugh	Wed Oct 05 2005 11:58 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:50 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	bobbutts	Wed Oct 05 2005 01:22 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	bobbutts	Wed Oct 05 2005 01:35 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Tropics Guy	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:43 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	oklahoma	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:01 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	ZooKeeper	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:33 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:08 PM
TD 19 Making a comeback? and the Stan Rainband	Bloodstar	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:46 PM
Re: TD 19 Making a comeback? and the Stan Rainband	Clark	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:57 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Wxwatcher2	Wed Oct 05 2005 01:28 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	GuppieGrouper	Wed Oct 05 2005 12:06 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	LisaA	Wed Oct 05 2005 02:48 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	craigm	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:04 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:42 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Clark	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:00 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Hugh	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:46 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	dave foster	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:57 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Hugh	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:01 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	dave foster	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:30 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:06 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	tpratch	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:35 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Storm Hunter	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:13 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:23 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	Convergence	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:29 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:36 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Storm Hunter	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:51 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:06 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	jbmusic	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:14 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	tpratch	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:19 AM
fun with follow-ons	HanKFranK	Thu Oct 06 2005 06:20 AM
Re: fun with follow-ons	Susan in Jupiter, FL	Thu Oct 06 2005 08:56 AM
Re: fun with follow-ons	Random Chaos	Thu Oct 06 2005 10:31 AM
Re: fun with follow-ons	Hugh	Thu Oct 06 2005 10:54 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Tracey	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:11 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:09 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Convergence	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:07 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 03:15 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Brown Brown	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:27 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	La Nimo	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:30 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Sarasota3G	Thu Oct 06 2005 02:44 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	ralphfl	Thu Oct 06 2005 01:45 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Big Kahuna	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:07 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Fletch	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:13 PM
93L	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:38 PM
Re: 93L	Beaumont, TX	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:46 PM
Re: 93L	emackl	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:55 PM
Re: 93L	Beaumont, TX	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:15 PM
Re: 93L	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:40 PM
Re: 93L	CoalCracker	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:14 PM
Re: 93L	Genesis	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:27 PM
Re: 93L	Goosus	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:48 PM
Re: 93L	sara33	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:18 PM
Re: 93L	MissBecky	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:17 PM
Re: 93L	dave foster	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:04 PM
Re: 93L	Genesis	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:09 PM
Re: 93L	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:28 PM
Re: 93L	scottsvb	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:41 PM
Re: 93L	Ed in Va	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:45 PM
Re: 93L	scottsvb	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:00 PM
Re: 93L	ralphfl	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:04 PM
Re: 93L	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 05 2005 07:24 PM
Re: 93L	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:46 PM
Re: 93L	sara33	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:45 PM
Re: 93L	Big Kahuna	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:54 PM
Re: 93L	Bloodstar	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:58 PM
Re: 93L	sara33	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:50 PM
Re: 93L	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:47 PM
Re: 93L	Steve H1	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:22 PM
Re: 93L	Storm Hunter	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:46 PM
Re: 93L	rmbjoe1954	Wed Oct 05 2005 05:27 PM
Re: 93L	emackl	Wed Oct 05 2005 04:58 PM
Re: 93L	Margie	Wed Oct 05 2005 05:37 PM
Re: 93L	emackl	Wed Oct 05 2005 05:42 PM
Re: 93L	Big Kahuna	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:05 PM
Re: 90L	Bloodstar	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:11 PM
Re: 90L	MapMaster	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:27 PM
Re: 90L	HURRICANELONNY	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:37 PM
Re: 93L	Margie	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:05 PM
Re: 94L	HCW	Wed Oct 05 2005 05:56 PM
Re: 94L	Big Kahuna	Wed Oct 05 2005 06:11 PM
Re: 93L	scottsvb	Wed Oct 05 2005 05:42 PM
Re: 93L	Rabbit	Wed Oct 05 2005 05:25 PM
Re: 93L	Beaumont, TX	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:51 PM
Re: 93L	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:59 PM
Re: 93L	Genesis	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:56 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Margie	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:30 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 05 2005 03:03 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast	Hugh	Wed Oct 05 2005 12:09 PM

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