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Tonight "the calm before the storm" and time to finish preps. Even now, high precipitable water and instability values ahead of Beryl are triggering flash flood threats with rainfall rates up to over 3"/Hr #Beryl #TXWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 312 (Idalia) , Major: 312 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 312 (Idalia) Major: 312 (Idalia)
TS Beryl
ADV#35A 1:00 pm EDT
25.5N 94.9W
Wind: 60MPH
Pres: 992mb
Moving:
Nw at 12 mph
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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks
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abyrd
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 62
Loc: apopka
Re: Tammy Makes Landfall, Other Systems
      Thu Oct 06 2005 05:24 PM

Here we go again: from the Melbourne forecast:
BOTH UKMET AND TO A LARGER DEGREE...GFS INDICATES VORT INTERACTION
BETWEEN APCHG ATLC TROPICAL WAVE (CURRENTLY NEAR 50W) AND SOUTHERN
EXTENT OF OLD WAVE EAST OF STATE EARLY IN THE WEEK OVER THE BAHAMAS.
AM NOT LAYING TOO MUCH CONFIDENCE ON WHERE AND WHEN DEVELOPMENT WL
OCCUR BUT GFS HAS GENERALLY BEEN PERFORMING WELL WRT TO AN ACTIVE
PATTERN OF SURFACE GENESIS NEAR THE STATE THIS TROPICAL SEASON.

EXTENDED GUID KEEPS SURFACE TROPICAL LOW TRAPPED NEAR THE BAHAMAS
THROUGH MIDWEEK THEN A MOTION SEAWARD LATE IN TEH PERIOD.

I believe this is 94L we're talking about being trapped in the Bahamas midweek!
naw. that's whatever gets left after the tammy/93L mess gets out. note it says the stuff moves out to sea after that. its a very questionable bunch of model runs this is based on... very little consistency about the individual features. -HF

Edited by HanKFranK (Thu Oct 06 2005 06:04 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tammy Makes Landfall, Other Systems MikeCAdministrator Thu Oct 06 2005 05:24 PM
. * * Re: Tammy Makes Landfall, Other Systems abyrd   Thu Oct 06 2005 05:24 PM
. * * qualms HanKFranK   Thu Oct 06 2005 06:37 PM
. * * Re: qualms damejune2   Thu Oct 06 2005 07:26 PM
. * * Re: qualms Storm Hunter   Thu Oct 06 2005 09:08 PM
. * * Re: qualms Hugh   Thu Oct 06 2005 09:12 PM
. * * Re: qualms Storm Hunter   Thu Oct 06 2005 10:12 PM
. * * Re: qualms on all the systems LoisCane   Fri Oct 07 2005 12:39 AM
. * * Re: qualms on all the systems Storm Hunter   Fri Oct 07 2005 12:50 AM
. * * Re: qualms on all the systems Storm Hunter   Fri Oct 07 2005 02:16 AM
. * * 6AM EDT Update danielwAdministrator   Fri Oct 07 2005 05:54 AM
. * * Re: 6AM EDT Update GuppieGrouper   Fri Oct 07 2005 07:08 AM
. * * Re: 6AM EDT Update Hugh   Fri Oct 07 2005 08:08 AM
. * * add a new invest HanKFranK   Fri Oct 07 2005 09:59 AM
. * * Re: add a new invest tpratch   Fri Oct 07 2005 10:11 AM
. * * Re: Tammy Makes Landfall, Other Systems oil trader   Thu Oct 06 2005 04:52 PM
. * * Re: Tammy Makes Landfall, Other Systems Storm Hunter   Thu Oct 06 2005 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Tammy Makes Landfall, Other Systems Rich B   Thu Oct 06 2005 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Tammy Makes Landfall, Other Systems JYarsh   Thu Oct 06 2005 04:42 PM
. * * Re: Tammy Makes Landfall, Other Systems lunkerhunter   Thu Oct 06 2005 11:53 AM
. * * Re: Tammy Makes Landfall, Other Systems Ronn   Thu Oct 06 2005 12:33 PM
. * * rundown HanKFranK   Thu Oct 06 2005 01:33 PM
. * * Re: rundown Clark   Thu Oct 06 2005 04:32 PM
. * * Re: rundown Margie   Thu Oct 06 2005 04:30 PM
. * * L93 convection Bloodstar   Thu Oct 06 2005 12:16 PM
. * * Re: Tammy Makes Landfall, Other Systems SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Thu Oct 06 2005 09:38 AM
. * * Re: Tammy Makes Landfall, Other Systems Steve H1   Thu Oct 06 2005 08:52 AM
. * * Re: Tammy Makes Landfall, Other Systems SMOKE   Thu Oct 06 2005 11:18 AM
. * * Re: Tammy Makes Landfall, Other Systems Thunderbird12   Thu Oct 06 2005 09:44 AM

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