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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

typhoon_tip
Meteorologist

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Posts: 576

Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves
Fri Oct 07 2005 11:16 AM

Quote:

Man, and here I thought HankFrank was sometimes too technical for my uneducated mind.... I dont get one single thing you just tried to tell us that being said, I did look at the models you mentioned and see some things you are probably talking about so I guess in the end it is all copasetic.

Ah , sorry , my bad...
Basically I'm just saying (perhaps too implicitly) that the feature of interest (to me) should really be the hurricane being modeled by the CMC, which is also being somewhat supported by the NOGAPs - MET 101, it is always better to have more than one model forecasting a feature of interest.

What I also didn't mention is that the operational ECM and GFS models do not readily depict a feature such as the former two. However, and what I meant by "teleconnector" before, is that there is higher surface pressure in the means over the NW Atlantic and tending to migrate E.. This tends to lower surface pressure more than normal (potentially so) in the SW Atlantic Basin as a balancing mechanic against the higher surface pressure to the N. What this means is that you have an augmented (or enhanced) potential for cyclonic genesis between Cape Hatteras, Cuba and Bermuda. That area should be monitored for old frontal draps, U/A lows (such as that which we have approaching the area) and also TW's.

Having said all that... Hmmm...I wasn't paying attention but there is a gyre rotating around about 100miles ESE of the mouth of the Mississippi. I am uncertain whether this feature is a portion Tammy's remnants that might have sheared SW while she was in decay mode, but my memory is telling me that it is actually a separate entity. Either way, it has intense showers near it axis of rotation and though the U/A (as HPC has mentioned) is unfavorable over Florida and Cuba, I think it is actually "somewhat" better near this feature's precise lat/lon. Anyway...active tropics!

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves - Subtorpical Depression Short Lived	MikeC	Fri Oct 07 2005 11:16 AM
Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves	typhoon_tip	Fri Oct 07 2005 10:13 AM
Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves	NewWatcher	Fri Oct 07 2005 11:01 AM
Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves	typhoon_tip	Fri Oct 07 2005 11:16 AM
Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves	Hootowl	Fri Oct 07 2005 11:09 AM
Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves	Reaper	Fri Oct 07 2005 12:07 PM
Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves	Thunderbird12	Fri Oct 07 2005 12:51 PM
Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves	B.C.Francis	Fri Oct 07 2005 03:28 PM
Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves	Big Kahuna	Fri Oct 07 2005 04:36 PM
Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves	HanKFranK	Sat Oct 08 2005 12:33 AM
Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves	HanKFranK	Sat Oct 08 2005 05:08 AM
Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves	Bloodstar	Sat Oct 08 2005 05:23 AM
Azores system	Rich B	Sat Oct 08 2005 06:47 AM
Re: Azores system	Hugh	Sat Oct 08 2005 08:45 AM
Re: Azores system	Random Chaos	Sat Oct 08 2005 09:17 AM
Its here - 22L	Rich B	Sat Oct 08 2005 09:43 AM
Re: Its here - 22L	Margie	Sat Oct 08 2005 10:47 AM
Re: Its here - 22L	dave foster	Sat Oct 08 2005 11:56 AM
Azores - Canary Islands system	Rich B	Sat Oct 08 2005 12:05 PM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	HanKFranK	Sat Oct 08 2005 01:37 PM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	dave foster	Sat Oct 08 2005 06:11 PM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	HanKFranK	Sat Oct 08 2005 09:21 PM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	Clark	Sat Oct 08 2005 10:20 PM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	sara33	Sat Oct 08 2005 10:41 PM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	NONAME	Sat Oct 08 2005 10:46 PM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	sara33	Sat Oct 08 2005 10:50 PM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	NONAME	Sat Oct 08 2005 11:06 PM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Oct 08 2005 10:46 PM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	NONAME	Sat Oct 08 2005 10:28 PM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	Clark	Sun Oct 09 2005 12:17 AM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	Rich B	Sun Oct 09 2005 04:05 AM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	HCW	Sun Oct 09 2005 09:19 AM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	damejune2	Sun Oct 09 2005 09:28 AM
Vince	Cycloneye11	Sun Oct 09 2005 09:37 AM
Re: Vince	Rich B	Sun Oct 09 2005 09:45 AM
Re: Vince	Lysis	Sun Oct 09 2005 10:40 AM
Re: Vince	Lsr1166	Sun Oct 09 2005 10:57 AM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	Hugh	Sun Oct 09 2005 07:51 AM
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system	sara33	Sat Oct 08 2005 09:52 PM
Re: Its here - 22L	Hugh	Sat Oct 08 2005 10:35 AM
Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves	typhoon_tip	Fri Oct 07 2005 01:29 PM
Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves	Thunderbird12	Fri Oct 07 2005 01:46 PM
Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves	CoalCracker	Fri Oct 07 2005 12:14 PM
Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves	wasup	Fri Oct 07 2005 10:05 AM

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