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#HurricaneBeryl track creeping N with Texas increasingly at risk of significant impacts not just at the coast but pos. well inland #txwx

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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

oddball
Sun Oct 09 2005 11:53 AM

wasn't expecting they'd classify it, but the persistent eye feature and convective ring with complete occlusion for two days has been waaaay too convincing. those dynamic models pushing it northeast to the iberian peninsula don't agree with any of the globals.. which all turn it nne into an oncoming trough. the official taking it up towards ireland and having it absorbed near 40n is probably the right answer--not much push directly ne.
subtd 22 was quickly declassified last night, but is moving more slowly wnw this morning. still a weak puff of convection, but this is a badly sheared system and i don't totally disagree with nhc dropping it (though it was a bit hasty). strange thing is that more of the global models actually track it now, up towards the nc coast. only chances that it redevelops though would involve the upper low moving nw over it and it becoming re-established in the light-shear zone of the core... or it getting through the subsidence/shear double whammy on the western periphery of the upper trough. it's probably done.
94L persists, looking a tad worse for the wear. it's near 14/54 now plodding ever westward. the environment ahead is supporting a lot of convection, so in another day or two it could potentially become involved with all that. somewhat better chances that it weakens further and fades out.
have to watch the five o clock to ten o clock sweep around that upper low as it's supporting lots of convection and especially because there's some antecedent turning in the low levels along this region. nothing much right now, but there are some interesting-looking areas near the bahamas.
really interesting way to get vince, too.
HF 1553z09october

Edited by HanKFranK (Sun Oct 09 2005 11:55 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	MikeC	Sun Oct 09 2005 11:53 AM
The long, strange ride continues	Clark	Mon Oct 10 2005 11:19 PM
Something new?	Clark	Tue Oct 11 2005 04:27 PM
weirded out yet?	HanKFranK	Tue Oct 11 2005 12:47 AM
Re: weirded out yet?	doug	Tue Oct 11 2005 01:26 PM
Speaking Greek	tpratch	Tue Oct 11 2005 06:56 AM
Re: weirded out yet?	Storm Hunter	Tue Oct 11 2005 01:48 AM
Its official - Europes first on record	Rich B	Tue Oct 11 2005 04:47 AM
Re: Its official - Europes first on record	dave foster	Tue Oct 11 2005 12:13 PM
Re: Its official - Europes first on record	dave foster	Tue Oct 11 2005 02:24 PM
Re: Its official - Europes first on record	meranto	Wed Oct 12 2005 07:47 AM
Re: Its official - Europes first on record	dave foster	Wed Oct 12 2005 02:10 PM
Re: Its official - Europes first on record	Rick on boat in Mobile	Wed Oct 12 2005 08:09 AM
Re: Its official - Europes first on record	Cindi	Wed Oct 12 2005 10:26 AM
Re: Its official - Europes first on record	FlaMommy	Wed Oct 12 2005 12:39 PM
Re: Its official - Europes first on record	typhoon_tip	Wed Oct 12 2005 02:30 PM
a few obs	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 12 2005 03:59 PM
Re: a few obs	typhoon_tip	Wed Oct 12 2005 05:08 PM
Re: Its official - Europes first on record	GuppieGrouper	Wed Oct 12 2005 08:34 AM
Re: Its official - Europes first on record	Margie	Wed Oct 12 2005 11:15 AM
quieting down	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 12 2005 10:32 AM
Question for you-all	Beach	Wed Oct 12 2005 02:12 PM
Re: quieting down	Myles	Wed Oct 12 2005 11:13 AM
Re: quieting down	Clark	Wed Oct 12 2005 03:57 PM
Re: quieting down	doug	Wed Oct 12 2005 12:07 PM
And they say...	Beach	Tue Oct 11 2005 07:27 AM
Re: And they say...	GuppieGrouper	Tue Oct 11 2005 09:28 AM
Re: And they say...	Adam	Tue Oct 11 2005 01:34 PM
Re: And they say...	GuppieGrouper	Tue Oct 11 2005 06:31 PM
Re: And they say...	HanKFranK	Tue Oct 11 2005 06:54 PM
Re: And they say...	Margie	Tue Oct 11 2005 09:39 PM
Something Local	Beach	Wed Oct 12 2005 07:37 AM
Re: And they say...	typhoon_tip	Tue Oct 11 2005 07:08 PM
Re:MODELS	HURRICANELONNY	Tue Oct 11 2005 06:47 PM
winter website	tashina	Tue Oct 11 2005 04:44 PM
Re: And they say...	ChessieStorm	Tue Oct 11 2005 11:43 AM
Re: Its official - Europes first on record	SMOKE	Tue Oct 11 2005 06:51 AM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Domino	Mon Oct 10 2005 08:07 AM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Ed Dunham	Mon Oct 10 2005 10:46 AM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	weatherwatcher999	Mon Oct 10 2005 11:11 AM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	josef	Mon Oct 10 2005 11:36 AM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	bulletdodger	Sun Oct 09 2005 10:47 PM
Season	danielw	Mon Oct 10 2005 04:53 AM
Re: Season	josef	Mon Oct 10 2005 05:08 AM
Re: Season	josef	Mon Oct 10 2005 05:20 AM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	josef	Sun Oct 09 2005 06:39 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Margie	Sun Oct 09 2005 07:51 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	weatherwatcher999	Sun Oct 09 2005 08:19 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	dave foster	Sun Oct 09 2005 06:50 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	josef	Sun Oct 09 2005 07:09 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Hugh	Sun Oct 09 2005 06:46 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	josef	Sun Oct 09 2005 06:54 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Hugh	Sun Oct 09 2005 07:06 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	josef	Sun Oct 09 2005 07:16 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	danielw	Sun Oct 09 2005 08:24 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	dave foster	Sun Oct 09 2005 08:46 PM
vince/22L/94L	HanKFranK	Sun Oct 09 2005 10:22 PM
Re: vince/22L/94L	Steve H1	Mon Oct 10 2005 08:05 AM
Re: vince/22L/94L	dave foster	Mon Oct 10 2005 11:04 AM
Re: vince/22L/94L	OrlandoDan	Mon Oct 10 2005 06:33 PM
Re: vince/22L/94L	dave foster	Mon Oct 10 2005 06:43 PM
Re: vince/22L/94L	Steve H1	Mon Oct 10 2005 11:57 AM
Re: vince/22L/94L	emackl	Mon Oct 10 2005 05:05 PM
Re: vince/22/94L ... 97L?	Bloodstar	Mon Oct 10 2005 05:43 PM
Re: vince/22/94L ... 97L?	emackl	Mon Oct 10 2005 07:21 PM
Re: vince/22/94L ... 97L?	Hugh	Mon Oct 10 2005 10:53 PM
Re: vince/22L/94L	josef	Mon Oct 10 2005 05:16 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Margie	Sun Oct 09 2005 08:38 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Lysis	Sun Oct 09 2005 07:29 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Beaumont, TX	Sun Oct 09 2005 02:06 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Thunderbird12	Sun Oct 09 2005 05:48 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Lysis	Sun Oct 09 2005 02:21 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Hugh	Sun Oct 09 2005 11:12 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	typhoon_tip	Sun Oct 09 2005 11:53 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Clark	Sun Oct 09 2005 01:37 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	typhoon_tip	Sun Oct 09 2005 07:41 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	typhoon_tip	Sun Oct 09 2005 07:50 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Margie	Sun Oct 09 2005 06:37 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Old Sailor	Sun Oct 09 2005 03:28 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	La Nimo	Sun Oct 09 2005 07:33 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Old Sailor	Sun Oct 09 2005 08:32 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Clark	Sun Oct 09 2005 03:57 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Rabbit	Sun Oct 09 2005 04:47 PM
Hurricane Vince Where!!!!!!!!!!!!!	NONAME	Sun Oct 09 2005 04:53 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince Where!!!!!!!!!!!!!	dave foster	Sun Oct 09 2005 05:58 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince Where!!!!!!!!!!!!!	Lysis	Sun Oct 09 2005 06:31 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince Where!!!!!!!!!!!!!	Rich B	Sun Oct 09 2005 05:24 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic	Rabbit	Sun Oct 09 2005 01:51 PM
oddball	HanKFranK	Sun Oct 09 2005 11:53 AM

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