Yes, its showing (the GFDL) a 150 knot 950 mb storm at 120. I am not buying that solution at the moment.....at least not yet. Most of the 12Z models are not really developing the system much at all in the 144 time frame. This may be why the Euro is going with the solution HF pointed out earlier, with a split system; one going NE and the other hanging back in the Caribbean until next weekend. It also may be why the CMC is shooting the system NNE real fast, and more than likely too strong.
12Z Euro Update.....places cane over western Cuba into SW Florida late Thursday, then to the east coast of Florida early Saturday. Still way early, and the Euro can have a west bias. Maybe we can watch model trends go further east staying away from the US. Somehow I doubt it though.
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