.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)... WITH NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN...LITTLE CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST. AS SAID ALL THIS WEEK...THE VERY ACTIVE NORTHERN STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO SEND A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN US. THANKS TO RIDGING SURFACE AND ALOFT...NOT MUCH CHANCE OF ANY OF THESE SYSTEMS DIRECTLY IMPACTING US HERE IN THE SOUTHEAST. ON TUESDAY...A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL TRY TO PUSH INTO THE SOUTHEAST...BUT WILL LIKELY WASHOUT NORTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA. AS THE MAIN RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALIGNS TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY WEDNESDAY...LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY CAUSING FOR A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE LEVELS. AT THE SAME TIME... THE CUT OFF LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST US WILL EJECT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND SPAWN A RATHER STRONG SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AT THIS TIME...AS STATED EARLIER IN THE WEEK...MOST OF THE ENERGY WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN US.
WITH THE SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE NORTHEAST US BY FRIDAY... A WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY TRIES TO APPROACH OUR FORECAST AREA BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A FRONTAL PASSAGE...BUT VERY LITTLE AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND LIFT. HAVE CONTINUED THE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS...BUT DUE TO THE ABSENCE OF ANY LARGE SCALE FORCING AND INSTABILITY...HAVE ONLY GONE WITH SHOWERS AND NO MENTION OF THUNDER.
so looks like what someone wrote earlier..... the ohio valley will have a strong low up there.... if this sytem in carrib.. gets a going.... then it looks like late next week as clark said will be very busy for the eastern GOM..... just don't think we would have a strong cane that far up... maybe in western carrib... were the heat content is very warm... the gulf of mexico and the loop current is down some in heat
-------------------- www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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