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HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA. HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. #RAFAEL
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 25 (Milton) , Major: 25 (Milton) Florida - Any: 25 (Milton) Major: 25 (Milton)
Rem Patty
ADV#10 11:00 am EDT
38.5N 16.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
Ene at 17 mph
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TS Rafael
ADV#5 3:00 pm EDT
15.5N 76.7W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 997mb
Moving:
N at 9 mph
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bobbutts
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 71
Loc: New Hampshire
Re: wilma on the way
      Sun Oct 16 2005 01:14 PM

Since last night's 2100z forecast and today's 1500z the NHC have snuck the storm a bit farther west and stronger in the long term forecast. Still too early to say confidently, but it's starting to look like here in Port Charlotte we'll be watching another storm that is forecast to parallel the coast west of us hoping that it doesn't curve ne. As with Charley, on this course even a small change, in heading would mean a big change in landfall point.

initial 15/2100z 17.6n 78.8w 25 kt
12hr VT 16/0600z 17.5n 79.5w 35 kt
24hr VT 16/1800z 17.5n 80.0w 45 kt
36hr VT 17/0600z 17.5n 80.5w 60 kt
48hr VT 17/1800z 17.5n 81.0w 70 kt
72hr VT 18/1800z 17.5n 82.0w 80 kt
96hr VT 19/1800z 18.0n 82.5w 85 kt
120hr VT 20/1800z 19.5n 83.0w 85 kt

INITIAL 16/1500Z 17.1N 79.3W 30 KT
12HR VT 17/0000Z 17.1N 79.6W 35 KT
24HR VT 17/1200Z 17.2N 80.0W 45 KT
36HR VT 18/0000Z 17.3N 80.5W 55 KT
48HR VT 18/1200Z 17.7N 81.2W 65 KT
72HR VT 19/1200Z 18.5N 82.5W 80 KT
96HR VT 20/1200Z 20.5N 84.0W 90 KT
120HR VT 21/1200Z 23.5N 84.5W 95 KT

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Depression 24 Forms in Western Caribbean MikeCAdministrator Sun Oct 16 2005 01:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 24 Forms in Western Caribbean hurricane expert   Sun Oct 16 2005 10:52 PM
. * * confusing Hurricane Heat Potential maps lunkerhunter   Sun Oct 16 2005 10:28 PM
. * * Re: confusing Hurricane Heat Potential maps typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 16 2005 10:33 PM
. * * Re: confusing Hurricane Heat Potential maps lunkerhunter   Sun Oct 16 2005 10:50 PM
. * * Re: confusing Hurricane Heat Potential maps typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 16 2005 11:22 PM
. * * Re: confusing Hurricane Heat Potential maps lunkerhunter   Sun Oct 16 2005 11:27 PM
. * * Re: confusing Hurricane Heat Potential maps typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 16 2005 11:35 PM
. * * Re: confusing Hurricane Heat Potential maps typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 16 2005 11:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 24 Forms in Western Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Sun Oct 16 2005 08:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 24 Forms in Western Caribbean dave foster   Sun Oct 16 2005 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 24 Forms in Western Caribbean tornado00   Sun Oct 16 2005 08:38 AM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Random Chaos   Sat Oct 15 2005 09:19 AM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Hugh   Sat Oct 15 2005 09:03 AM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Oct 15 2005 09:16 AM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Ron Basso   Sat Oct 15 2005 10:12 AM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Margie   Sat Oct 15 2005 10:53 AM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica GuppieGrouper   Sat Oct 15 2005 10:40 AM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Thunderbird12   Sat Oct 15 2005 10:51 AM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica HanKFranK   Sat Oct 15 2005 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica bobbutts   Sat Oct 15 2005 01:07 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Spoken   Sat Oct 15 2005 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 12:06 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Goosus   Sat Oct 15 2005 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica scottsvb   Sat Oct 15 2005 01:17 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica scottsvb   Sat Oct 15 2005 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 01:38 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica scottsvb   Sat Oct 15 2005 01:48 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:08 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica scottsvb   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:26 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Ron Basso   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:12 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Hugh   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:19 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Thunderbird12   Sat Oct 15 2005 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 03:25 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Hugh   Sat Oct 15 2005 03:42 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Rabbit   Sat Oct 15 2005 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 04:22 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sat Oct 15 2005 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 04:47 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 04:49 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 04:56 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica sara33   Sat Oct 15 2005 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 08:15 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica sara33   Sat Oct 15 2005 08:10 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 04:59 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Clark   Sat Oct 15 2005 05:26 PM
. * * thanks clark and others LoisCane   Sat Oct 15 2005 08:20 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 05:35 PM
. * * wilma on the way HanKFranK   Sat Oct 15 2005 06:35 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way GuppieGrouper   Sat Oct 15 2005 08:54 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Random Chaos   Sat Oct 15 2005 09:09 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 09:18 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Clark   Sun Oct 16 2005 12:28 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 16 2005 12:37 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 16 2005 12:40 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Clark   Sun Oct 16 2005 11:17 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 16 2005 12:33 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way scottsvb   Sun Oct 16 2005 12:39 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way k___g   Sun Oct 16 2005 12:45 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way weatherwatcher999   Sun Oct 16 2005 12:15 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way MissBecky   Sun Oct 16 2005 12:50 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way bobbutts   Sun Oct 16 2005 01:14 PM
. * * how far west she goes makes a big difference LoisCane   Sun Oct 16 2005 01:16 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Old Sailor   Sun Oct 16 2005 01:01 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way GuppieGrouper   Sun Oct 16 2005 01:20 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 16 2005 01:48 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 16 2005 02:10 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Margie   Sun Oct 16 2005 02:40 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way damejune2   Sun Oct 16 2005 02:49 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Hootowl   Sun Oct 16 2005 02:59 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way damejune2   Sun Oct 16 2005 03:07 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Lysis   Sun Oct 16 2005 03:14 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way damejune2   Sun Oct 16 2005 03:23 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way StormHound   Sun Oct 16 2005 04:26 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way weatherwatcher2   Sun Oct 16 2005 04:39 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Tazmanian93   Sun Oct 16 2005 08:51 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way weatherwatcher2   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:07 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way weatherwatcher2   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:10 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Lee-Delray   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:16 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:31 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way weatherwatcher2   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:18 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Genesis   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:32 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 16 2005 10:03 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way dave foster   Sun Oct 16 2005 10:48 PM
. * * Bear Watch danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Bear Watch Jamiewx   Sun Oct 16 2005 10:06 PM
. * * Re: Bear Watch Wxwatcher2   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:01 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* The Force 2005   Sun Oct 16 2005 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Bear Watch Beaumont, TX   Sun Oct 16 2005 11:51 PM
. * * Re: Bear Watch *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* ralphfl   Sun Oct 16 2005 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Bear Watch Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:23 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 16 2005 11:29 PM
. * * Re: Bear Watch abyrd   Sun Oct 16 2005 11:02 PM
. * * Re: Bear Watch ralphfl   Sun Oct 16 2005 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Bear Watch Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:57 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:06 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch ralphfl   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:39 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:19 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch ralphfl   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:27 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:50 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 06:21 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch SMOKE   Mon Oct 17 2005 06:44 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:03 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch SMOKE   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:23 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch dave foster   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:40 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch Storm Hunter   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:45 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:12 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:09 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:05 AM
. * * Re: Bear Watch Storm Hunter   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:22 AM
. * * Models and TD24 danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:46 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way weatherwatcher2   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:39 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way sara33   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:47 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* SirCane   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:54 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way weatherwatcher2   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:55 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Lee-Delray   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:23 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way charlottefl   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:29 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way bobbutts   Sun Oct 16 2005 05:06 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way crpeavley   Sun Oct 16 2005 06:52 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Lee-Delray   Sun Oct 16 2005 07:16 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way GuppieGrouper   Sun Oct 16 2005 07:46 PM
. * * Models Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Oct 16 2005 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Models Kevin   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:10 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Lee-Delray   Sun Oct 16 2005 07:49 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Lee-Delray   Sun Oct 16 2005 07:33 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way MichaelA   Sun Oct 16 2005 07:39 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Lee-Delray   Sun Oct 16 2005 07:45 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way weatherwatcher2   Sun Oct 16 2005 05:55 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 16 2005 04:42 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Jamiewx   Sun Oct 16 2005 03:20 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way weatherwatcher999   Sun Oct 16 2005 02:39 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way HanKFranK   Sun Oct 16 2005 01:47 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way sara33   Sun Oct 16 2005 01:09 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 16 2005 01:08 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way LoisCane   Sun Oct 16 2005 01:14 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 16 2005 02:14 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 16 2005 02:50 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way damejune2   Sun Oct 16 2005 03:02 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* The Force 2005   Sun Oct 16 2005 01:33 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Convergence   Sun Oct 16 2005 01:48 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* The Force 2005   Sun Oct 16 2005 01:52 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 16 2005 02:17 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 16 2005 02:31 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way swimaway19   Sun Oct 16 2005 08:47 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 16 2005 08:53 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way scottsvb   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:01 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way scottsvb   Sun Oct 16 2005 09:30 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Thunderbird12   Sun Oct 16 2005 10:38 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 16 2005 10:43 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way scottsvb   Sun Oct 16 2005 10:49 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Storm Hunter   Sun Oct 16 2005 10:37 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way GuppieGrouper   Sun Oct 16 2005 02:44 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Sneakbridge   Sun Oct 16 2005 07:28 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 16 2005 01:03 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way HanKFranK   Sun Oct 16 2005 01:20 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 16 2005 10:58 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Random Chaos   Sun Oct 16 2005 12:03 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 16 2005 12:23 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Margie   Sun Oct 16 2005 12:09 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way damejune2   Sat Oct 15 2005 09:32 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 10:20 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sat Oct 15 2005 10:22 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 10:25 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 15 2005 10:31 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way sara33   Sat Oct 15 2005 11:38 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way debwire   Sun Oct 16 2005 12:06 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Margie   Sun Oct 16 2005 12:05 AM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 10:53 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sat Oct 15 2005 10:50 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way weatherwatcher2   Sat Oct 15 2005 11:14 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sat Oct 15 2005 11:29 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way weatherwatcher2   Sat Oct 15 2005 11:34 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way GuppieGrouper   Sat Oct 15 2005 09:50 PM
. * * Looking back on models from earlier this week Rasvar   Sat Oct 15 2005 09:57 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way damejune2   Sat Oct 15 2005 07:54 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 08:48 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Old Sailor   Sat Oct 15 2005 09:03 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 09:11 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Beaumont, TX   Sat Oct 15 2005 08:13 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 08:23 PM
. * * Re: wilma on the way Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 06:43 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 03:55 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 03:24 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:18 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Steve H1   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:24 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Hugh   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:43 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:49 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 03:09 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica typhoon_tip   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:24 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 01:59 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Hugh   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:11 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica scottsvb   Sat Oct 15 2005 01:34 PM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Hugh   Sat Oct 15 2005 11:18 AM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Hugh   Sat Oct 15 2005 10:56 AM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica dave foster   Sat Oct 15 2005 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Hugh   Sat Oct 15 2005 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica Hugh   Sat Oct 15 2005 09:26 AM
. * * Re: Watching Near Jamaica dave foster   Sat Oct 15 2005 09:32 AM

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