Quote: IF you go by models, only one major model suggests a northward motion, and this is what concerns me for the US, but most of the models continue it westward.
Both the 06Z GFS and the 00Z CMC are showing a northward movement between the Yucatan and Cuba followed by a hook east into FL. The rest of the models show Wilma either clipping the tip of the Yucatan of fully impacting the Yucatan. GFDL is calling for possibly a Cat 4 again, though not even sustaining that until the Yucatan. I suspect now that we have a TS, we'll get better model initialization and we might start to see some more reliable (and less divergent) tracks coming out.
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Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean
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