Hey Coll, you are right, looking at all the long range models, CMC, GFDL, and GFS all seem to pretty tight with their track (and it's early) and NOGAPS and UKM seem to take a similar path. It is and will be a wait and see probably till tomorrow for more consensus and even then as you said as we had seen with Charley, anything can change in a hurry.
-------------------- Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
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