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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

cooltiger
Unregistered

Re: looking back and looking ahead
Fri Oct 04 2002 09:33 AM

Lili proved that the hurricane forecasters with all the new technology, computers, satellites, and planes have a long way to go in predicting hurricane intensities.

While we here in La. lucked out and the windspeed of Lili without warning dropped 45 mph in 6 hours , it could certainly go the other way.

New Orleans' worst nightmare is a cat 1 storm tooling 10 mph towards N. O. from the southeast and without warning jump to a category 4 and gain forward speed in a sudden rush to the coast. Very few evacuate N. O. with a 85 mph storm coming. Until the forecasters get a better handle on predicting hurricane intensities there will always be a very real danger that this could happen.
Carmen in 74, Opal, and now Lili all prime examples of just how fickle these storms can be. The track is one thing the intensity forecast the other.
Hopefully next time the day after won't show a weak hurricane rapidly intensifying to a 3 or 4 at the last minute and throwing it's full fury onto an unprepared populace. How many times can you cry wolf before the wolf shows up? I don't know, but one day the wolf will bite and bite hard much like it did for Andrew, Audrey, and Camille.
The challenge to all the mets and especially ti the TPC in Miami will be to get a better understanding and a better handle on these mighty storms, and to maintain the confidence of those who rely on their information. The challenge is there. Let's all hope that it is met and met soon before there is a real worst case scenario.

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Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Lili Weakens a Bit Heading for Central Louisiana	MikeC	Fri Oct 04 2002 09:33 AM
Kyle is coming	Cool Breeze	Wed Oct 09 2002 12:16 AM
Kyle & Bucs...	Steveunplugged	Wed Oct 09 2002 02:03 AM
Kyle	Dan	Tue Oct 08 2002 08:00 PM
How Long Will Kyle be Around?...........If You Checked Out.....	Steve H.	Fri Oct 04 2002 11:41 PM
kyle still there	Anonymous (HF)	Sat Oct 05 2002 01:05 AM
CONVECTION FLARE UP	WXMAN RICHIE	Sat Oct 05 2002 06:22 AM
Re: CONVECTION FLARE UP	troy2	Sat Oct 05 2002 09:58 AM
Re: CONVECTION FLARE UP	recmod	Sat Oct 05 2002 10:21 AM
Re: CONVECTION FLARE UP	57497479	Sat Oct 05 2002 10:18 AM
Re: CONVECTION FLARE UP	Kevin	Sat Oct 05 2002 10:40 AM
Re: CONVECTION FLARE UP	57497479	Sat Oct 05 2002 11:26 AM
What's the official count as of now?	TheSaints	Sat Oct 05 2002 01:04 PM
Re: What's the official count as of now?	57497479	Sat Oct 05 2002 01:17 PM
Re: What's the official count as of now?	Steveunplugged	Sat Oct 05 2002 02:53 PM
Re: What's the official count as of now?	57497479	Sat Oct 05 2002 03:59 PM
Radar	Bill	Sat Oct 05 2002 04:08 PM
Re: Radar	57497479	Sat Oct 05 2002 04:30 PM
Re: Radar	Frank P	Sat Oct 05 2002 10:26 PM
Re: Radar	PewterPirates	Sun Oct 06 2002 05:18 PM
Re: Radar	57497479	Sun Oct 06 2002 08:41 PM
How bout those SECOND PLACE Bucs?	Steveunplugged	Sun Oct 06 2002 09:04 PM
Re: How bout those SECOND PLACE Bucs?	57497479	Sun Oct 06 2002 09:36 PM
Re: How bout those SECOND PLACE Bucs?	joepub1	Sun Oct 06 2002 09:50 PM
Re: How bout those SECOND PLACE Bucs?	57497479	Sun Oct 06 2002 10:12 PM
Re: How bout those SECOND PLACE Bucs?	joepub1	Sun Oct 06 2002 10:20 PM
Re: How bout those SECOND PLACE Bucs?	57497479	Sun Oct 06 2002 10:33 PM
Re: How bout those SECOND PLACE Bucs?	joepub1	Sun Oct 06 2002 11:08 PM
Re: How bout those SECOND PLACE Bucs?	57497479	Sun Oct 06 2002 11:50 PM
KYLE	WXMAN RICHIE	Mon Oct 07 2002 04:44 AM
Re: KYLE	57497479	Mon Oct 07 2002 06:40 AM
Re: KYLE	Jax Chris	Mon Oct 07 2002 08:09 AM
Re: KYLE	HanKFranK	Mon Oct 07 2002 11:02 PM
Re: KYLE	recmod	Mon Oct 07 2002 11:13 PM
Re: KYLE	joepub1	Mon Oct 07 2002 11:42 PM
Re: KYLE	57497479	Tue Oct 08 2002 06:47 AM
Re: KYLE	Mary K.	Tue Oct 08 2002 07:28 AM
Re: KYLE	Steve H.	Tue Oct 08 2002 07:46 AM
Will Kyle Live to Gte Under the Ridge??	Steve H.	Tue Oct 08 2002 11:19 AM
Re: Will Kyle Live to Get Under the Ridge??	joepub1	Tue Oct 08 2002 01:08 PM
Re: Will Kyle Live to Get Under the Ridge??	57497479	Tue Oct 08 2002 08:12 PM
Re: Will Kyle Live to Get Under the Ridge??	joepub1	Tue Oct 08 2002 09:48 PM
Re:Kyle Will Live And Get Under the Ridge??	Robert	Tue Oct 08 2002 10:21 PM
Re: Will Kyle Live to Get Under the Ridge??	57497479	Tue Oct 08 2002 10:14 PM
Re: Will Kyle Live to Get Under the Ridge??	joepub1	Tue Oct 08 2002 10:42 PM
Re: Will Kyle Live to Get Under the Ridge??	57497479	Tue Oct 08 2002 11:09 PM
Re: Will Kyle Live to Get Under the Ridge??	57497479	Tue Oct 08 2002 11:20 PM
kyle checking out?	HanKFranK	Tue Oct 08 2002 11:56 PM
Re: kyle checking out?	57497479	Wed Oct 09 2002 12:14 AM
Bulletin from Collier County	Bill	Tue Oct 08 2002 02:00 PM
Re: Bulletin from Collier County	joepub1	Tue Oct 08 2002 02:26 PM
Re: Bulletin from Collier County	Ricreig	Tue Oct 08 2002 02:42 PM
time for a downgrade	HanKFranK	Tue Oct 08 2002 03:05 PM
SHOWER KYLE	WXMAN RICHIE	Wed Oct 09 2002 05:31 AM
Re: SHOWER KYLE	Mary K.	Wed Oct 09 2002 09:14 AM
Re: SHOWER KYLE	Floridacane	Wed Oct 09 2002 09:54 AM
Re: time for a downgrade	Ricreig	Tue Oct 08 2002 04:56 PM
Re: time for a downgrade	Steve H.	Tue Oct 08 2002 03:24 PM
5PM Update	WXMAN RICHIE	Tue Oct 08 2002 04:38 PM
Re: 5PM Update	Marktropical	Tue Oct 08 2002 05:11 PM
Re: 5PM Update	Kevin	Tue Oct 08 2002 05:22 PM
Re: 5PM Update	Steve H.	Tue Oct 08 2002 08:04 PM
Re: 5PM Update	57497479	Tue Oct 08 2002 08:37 PM
Re: 5PM Update	ROB H	Tue Oct 08 2002 09:42 PM
Re: KYLE	VolusiaMike	Tue Oct 08 2002 06:46 AM
Re: KYLE	57497479	Mon Oct 07 2002 11:32 PM
Re: KYLE	Mary K.	Mon Oct 07 2002 07:43 AM
RAIN	Bruce	Sun Oct 06 2002 08:55 AM
TS Kyle	Bruce	Sun Oct 06 2002 11:29 AM
AVN & Canadian Models...	UnpluggedSteve	Sun Oct 06 2002 12:32 PM
Re: CONVECTION FLARE UP	Steve H.	Sat Oct 05 2002 10:16 AM
flooding in Terrebonne	cappycat	Thu Oct 03 2002 03:00 PM
Rest of the season	Bill	Fri Oct 04 2002 02:51 PM
Re: flooding in Terrebonne	anon	Thu Oct 03 2002 04:47 PM
Re: flooding in Terrebonne	andy1tom	Thu Oct 03 2002 03:49 PM
Re: Lili Weakens a Bit Heading for Central Louisiana	cappycat	Thu Oct 03 2002 09:46 AM
4:35 CDT...	Steve	Thu Oct 03 2002 05:58 AM
Re: 4:35 CDT...	joepub1	Thu Oct 03 2002 06:55 AM
Re: 4:35 CDT...	joepub1	Thu Oct 03 2002 07:04 AM
Re: 4:35 CDT...	joepub1	Thu Oct 03 2002 06:35 AM
Everything's cool...	Steve	Thu Oct 03 2002 06:47 AM
Re: Everything's cool...	clyde w.	Thu Oct 03 2002 10:05 AM
9:15am...	Steve	Thu Oct 03 2002 10:19 AM
Re: 9:15am...	Frank P	Thu Oct 03 2002 10:34 AM
Louisiana 1927	BabyCat	Thu Oct 03 2002 10:43 AM
Power of Prayer	Bill	Thu Oct 03 2002 11:14 AM
Re: Power of Prayer	hmmm	Thu Oct 03 2002 11:47 AM
LOL	Brett	Thu Oct 03 2002 11:50 AM
Re: LOL	Mary K.	Thu Oct 03 2002 12:05 PM
Re: LOL	BillD	Thu Oct 03 2002 09:57 PM
Perspective	Bill	Fri Oct 04 2002 02:28 PM
Well	Brett	Fri Oct 04 2002 03:53 PM
Re: LOL	FlaRebel	Thu Oct 03 2002 12:11 PM
Re: LOL	BabyCat	Thu Oct 03 2002 01:39 PM
Re: Power of Prayer	FlaRebel	Thu Oct 03 2002 11:35 AM
Its a good thought...	Brett	Thu Oct 03 2002 11:47 AM
Re: Power of Prayer	craig	Thu Oct 03 2002 11:43 AM
lili shows sympathy	HanKFranK	Thu Oct 03 2002 10:15 AM
Re: lili shows sympathy	chevyman	Thu Oct 03 2002 03:46 PM
Re: lili shows sympathy	Kimmie at home	Thu Oct 03 2002 05:25 PM
Re: lili shows sympathy	joepub1	Thu Oct 03 2002 06:11 PM
Re: lili shows sympathy	Kevin	Thu Oct 03 2002 07:32 PM
Re: lili shows sympathy	VolusiaMike	Fri Oct 04 2002 10:45 AM
Re: lili shows sympathy	Steve H.	Fri Oct 04 2002 02:13 PM
Everything's winding down...	Steve	Thu Oct 03 2002 07:55 PM
Thanks Steve.. water temps prooves a point	LoisCane	Thu Oct 03 2002 10:14 PM
2002 Hurricane season, ect	Bruce	Fri Oct 04 2002 07:29 AM
Re: looking back and looking ahead	cooltiger	Fri Oct 04 2002 09:33 AM
Re: looking back and looking ahead	Steve H.	Fri Oct 04 2002 10:26 AM
October/November	cooltiger	Fri Oct 04 2002 10:49 AM
Some Louisiana Humor...	Frank P	Fri Oct 04 2002 09:19 AM
pretty good, but.....	wannaBfrankP	Fri Oct 04 2002 03:32 PM
Hey WannabFrankP	Frank P	Fri Oct 04 2002 04:04 PM
Re: Some Louisiana Humor...	Bill	Fri Oct 04 2002 02:35 PM
Just for fun...	Spawn of Lili	Fri Oct 04 2002 02:47 PM
Re: Some Louisiana Humor...	Anonymous	Fri Oct 04 2002 12:36 PM
Re: Some Louisiana Humor...	BabyCat	Fri Oct 04 2002 01:58 PM
Re: Everything's winding down...	joepub1	Thu Oct 03 2002 08:44 PM
Re: Everything's cool...	cappycat	Thu Oct 03 2002 09:52 AM
Re: Everything's cool...	JustMe	Thu Oct 03 2002 08:23 AM
Re: Everything's cool...	BabyCat	Thu Oct 03 2002 08:39 AM
LANDFALL	Richard	Thu Oct 03 2002 08:48 AM

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