CMC has been off too much,,in general,,so far the best models to date have been the UKMET and NOGAPS and would of said GFDL but I didnt like that 12z run...at least we know its Cancun,,,but does it slide thru it and off the N coast or go just south of there and weaken over the peninsula of the Yucitan before it re-emerges...thats what we want to know over the next 24hrs...too hard to tell right now. I havent seen the UKMET yet but should be out in next 20-30min.
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